Gale Warning 96, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK52 PAFG 071234
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
334 AM AST FRI DEC 7 2007

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-080100-
334 AM AST FRI DEC 7 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 986 MB LOW ON THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO NEAR WRANGEL
ISLAND BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD AND
WEAKEN TO 1001 MB BY LATE SAT NIGHT. A 988 MB LOW WILL ENTER THE
SOUTHERN BERING SEA ON SUN AM.

$$

PKZ200-080100-
NORTON SOUND-
334 AM AST FRI DEC 7 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
.MON...W WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
.TUE...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-080100-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
334 AM AST FRI DEC 7 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.MON...NW WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-080100-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
334 AM AST FRI DEC 7 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT.  
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-080100-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
334 AM AST FRI DEC 7 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING
SPRAY.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.MON...NW WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

CF/CB/DJH DEC 07

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
512 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. UPPER LOWS WILL BE FOUND TO THE WEST OF THE 49TH STATE AS
WELL AS TO THE NORTH OF HUDSON BAY. IN BETWEEN...A RIDGE WILL
BUILD OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE CONUS AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

AT THE SURFACE...A 966 MB LOW IS NEAR 57N 177W JUST WEST OF SAINT
PAUL THIS MORNING.  THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO FILL AS IT LIFTS
TOWARD GAMBELL TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE BERING STRAIGHT FRIDAY
MORNING. MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW
WILL BE FOUND ALONG THE WEST COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH
A POTPOURRI OF ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED IN ZONES 210-211 AS WELL AS 215-216
WHERE SEVERAL INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
FREEZING RAIN WILL BE A CONCERN TODAY ACROSS THE SEWARD PENINSULA
AS WELL AS ON SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND.

A LEE SIDE TROUGH INTO THE INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SOME
STRONG WIND IN THE PASSES OF THE ALASKA RANGE TODAY WHERE FREQUENT
GUSTS ABOVE 60 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT THE PARKS HIGHWAY ALL
NIGHT. THIS STRONG WIND WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WILL DIMINISH
LATE TODAY OR THIS EVENING AS THE GRADIENT SLACKENS. ELSEWHERE THE
WIND WILL BE LIGHTER IN THE VALLEYS. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE WITH SOME AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW SPREADING INTO THE INTERIOR
TONIGHT.

ANOTHER LOW IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE NORTH OF HAWAII.  THIS LOW IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEEPEN AND WILL LIFT TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS ON
FRIDAY.  AS THE AFORE MENTIONED LOW LIFTS TOWARD NUNIVAK ISLAND THIS
WEEKEND IT WILL LIKELY SPREAD MORE PRECIPITATION AND WIND ALONG THE
WEST COAST.

WILL NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY
SURF/COASTAL FLOODING IN THE VICINITY OF KIVALINA TOMORROW. AT
THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THERE IS A MINIMAL THREAT OF COASTAL
FLOODING...BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL
MOVE UP ALONG THE WEST COAST THIS WEEKEND. THERE IS NOT GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM...
WITH THE ECMWF KEEPING THE STORM OFFSHORE AND THE GFS BRINGING THE
CENTER OF THE STORM ACROSS THE NORTON SOUND SATURDAY. HOPEFULLY
LATER MODEL RUNS WILL COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ217.

HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR AKZ215-AKZ216.

FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ225.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ220-PKZ225.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ215.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

DEC 07