Gale Warning 58, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
117 AM ADT THU OCT 4 2007

.DISCUSSION...

06Z THU POSITION OF BERING LOW IS NEAR 57N/178W. LOW IS STILL
IN THE DEEPENING PHASE AND CENTRAL PRESSURE WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR 970 MB BY 12Z THU. BY 12Z FRI...MOST MODELS CONVERGING
ON A POSITION JUST SOUTH OF BETHEL...WITH A TRIPLE POINT LOW
DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. BY 12Z SAT...THE
WEAKENING PARENT LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
WITH THE TRIPLE POINT LOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN YUKON
TERRITORY AND WEAKENING.

WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AS THE LOW AND ITS OCCLUDED FRONT MOVE EAST..AND
MAY REACH ADVISORY LEVELS OVER THE HIGHER SUMMITS IN ZONES
219-220-221-222. WINDS ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST WILL ALSO
GRADUALLY INCREASE.

PRECIPITATION FROM THE LOW WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED MAINLY TO
ZONES 214-215...NORTON SOUND...AND ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE. PABC
DOPPLER IS NOW SHOWING A LARGE SWATH OF PRECIP ADVANCING INTO THE
SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE COVERAGE AREA.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING OF THE POSSIBILITY OF
A PROGRESSIVE WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN SETTING UP OVER THE
FORECAST AREAS SOUTH OF THE BROOKS RANGE AROUND THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NONE

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-
PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.
&&

RF OCT 07