Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2007

Gale Warning 53, NWS Fairbanks, AK

September 22, 2007

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 22, 2007, 11:03 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 22, 2007, 11:03 PM AKDT (07:03 UTC)
Expired
Sep 23, 2007, 10:55 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
FZAK52 PAFG 231203
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
403 AM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-240315-
403 AM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEAKENING WEATHER FRONT POINT HOPE NORTH WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND
DISSIPATE BY SUN AFTERNOON. A STRONG LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST BERING
SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AS A 968 MB LOW BY EARLY
MONDAY AND TO 60 NM SOUTH OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AS A 984 MB LOW
BY TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-240315-
NORTON SOUND-
403 AM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-240315-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
403 AM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.THU...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-240315-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
403 AM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT.  SEAS BUILDING TO
5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-240315-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
403 AM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

SEP 07
4 follow-up statements
000
FZAK52 PAFG 232228
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
228 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-241415-
228 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA AS A 968 MB LOW BY EARLY MONDAY AND TO 60 NM
SOUTH OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AS A 984 MB LOW BY TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-241415-
NORTON SOUND-
228 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG... RAIN.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-241415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
228 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG... RAIN.
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-241415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
228 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-241415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
228 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

TF/DJH SEP 07
000
FZAK52 PAFG 240102 AAA
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
502 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-241500-
502 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA AS A 968 MB LOW BY EARLY MONDAY AND TO 60 NM
SOUTH OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AS A 984 MB LOW BY TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

UPDATE PKZ 200 FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

PKZ200-241500-
NORTON SOUND-
502 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-241500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
502 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-241500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
502 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-241500-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
502 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

TF/DJH SEP 07
000
FZAK52 PAFG 240107 CCA
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
505 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-241515-
505 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA AS A 968 MB LOW BY EARLY MONDAY AND TO 60 NM
SOUTH OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AS A 984 MB LOW BY TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

CORRECTED PKZ 200 FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY

PKZ200-241515-
NORTON SOUND-
505 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-241515-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
505 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-241515-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
505 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-241515-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
505 PM ADT SUN SEP 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

TF/DJH SEP 07
000
FZAK52 PAFG 241155
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
355 AM ADT MON SEP 24 2007

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-250230-
355 AM ADT MON SEP 24 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 971 MB LOW 150 NM WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 150 NM
NORTH OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND AS A 984 MB LOW BY 4PM TUE AND TO THE
YUKON DELTA AS A 1003 MB LOW BY 4PM WED.

$$

PKZ200-250230-
NORTON SOUND-
355 AM ADT MON SEP 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
FOG...RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.WED...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-250230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
355 AM ADT MON SEP 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 13 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.WED...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-250230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
355 AM ADT MON SEP 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-250230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
355 AM ADT MON SEP 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

SEP 07

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 22, 9:07 AM AKDT, 13 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 22, 9:07 AM AKDT, 13 hours 56 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
207 PM ADT SAT SEP 22 2007

.DISCUSSION...THE NAM AND GFS MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT
ON THE FORECASTS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIDGE ALOFT NOW
OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL MAINLAND AND THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL
RECEDE BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE WEAKENING OCCLUSION NOW OVER THE
WEST COAST FROM DALL POINT TO WRANGEL ISLAND WILL STRETCH
NORTHWARD...PROVIDING THE MAKINGS FOR CONTINUED BRISK WIND FROM
BERING STRAIT TO POINT HOPE AND OVER THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH
TONIGHT...AND OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST ON SUNDAY.

THE INCOMING 966 MB LOW NOW WEST OF ATTU WILL WEAKEN JUST A
LITTLE ON ITS WAY TO THE MIDDLE OF THE BERING SEA ON SUNDAY. BOTH
THE NAM AND GFS MODELS HAVE THE LOW AS A 974 MB CENTER AT 60 NORTH
180 WEST ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...VERY GOOD AGREEMENT COMPARED TO
EARLIER MODEL RUNS WHICH APPEARED TO BE SEARCHING FOR A
DESTINATION.

STARTING SUNDAY...A TROUGH ALOFT WILL REACH IN FROM THE BERING
SEA OVER THE WEST COAST AND THE INTERIOR. THIS DEVELOPMENT WILL
SHIFT THE COOL EAST WINDS ALOFT NOW OVER THE INTERIOR TO SOUTHERLY
ON MONDAY...WHICH WILL BRING TEMPERATURES UP SOME.

OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND OVER THE SOUTH SLOPES OF THE BROOKS
RANGE FROM ARCTIC VILLAGE OUT BEYOND NOATAK THERE HAS BEEN A LARGE
DECK OF OVERCAST TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS. THESE CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN CLEARING LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS EAST WINDS
CARRY THEM OUT TO THE COAST. RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE WEAKENING OCCLUSION OVER THE WEST
COAST IS NOT CREATING MUCH RAINFALL...AND WHAT LITTLE THERE IS
WILL FADE AWAY TONIGHT.

FAR UP IN THE ARCTIC...NOAA ICE CHARTS SHOW RECORD MINIMUM ICE
COVER IN THE CHUKCHI SECTOR OF THE ARCTIC...WE HAVE NEVER SEEN IT
LIKE THIS. THE ICE EDGE NORTH OF BARROW IS AT LEAST 750 MILES UP
TOWARD THE POLE. THIS MEANS THAT THE ENTIRE ARCTIC AND NORTHWEST
COAST IS WIDE OPEN TO WIND AND WAVES...AND WILL BE FOR SOME TIME.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLE EASTERLY GALES FROM BARROW TO DEMARCATION
POINT TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SILENT. THE SOUTH WINDS DUE IN LATE MONDAY WILL DO
VERY LITTLE NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...QUIET IN SPITE OF THE RAINS IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE
MONTH. NORTHERN ALASKA RIVERS ARE RUNNING STEADILY AT SUBDUED
LEVELS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-
PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

TF SEP 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 22, 11:03 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG71 hr
Sep 23, 12:02 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG44 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2007Every gale warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.