Gale Warning 37, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK51 PAFG 081029
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
229 AM ADT FRI JUN 8 2007

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-082300-
229 AM ADT FRI JUN 8 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA WILL DRIFT WEST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA WILL
DRIFT NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-082300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
229 AM ADT FRI JUN 8 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-082300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
229 AM ADT FRI JUN 8 2007

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-082300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
229 AM ADT FRI JUN 8 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-082300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
229 AM ADT FRI JUN 8 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-082300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
229 AM ADT FRI JUN 8 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RF/DA JUN 07

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
140 PM ADT THU JUN 7 2007

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...HIGH OVER ARCTIC OCEAN WITH A LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND. LOW
WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST TO BRISTOL BAY SAT WHILE HIGH DRIFTS EAST
TOWARD BANKS ISLAND. TROUGH FROM LOW TO WHITEHORSE MOVING TO
BETHEL TO KOTZEBUE TO BETTLES 00Z SAT AND TO ROMANZOF TO BERING
STRAIT 12Z SAT. SECOND TROUGH FROM LOW TO KENAI PENINSULA 00Z SAT
MOVING TO BETHEL TO GOLOVIN TO KOTZEBUE 00Z SUN.

SURFACE...992 MB LOW OVER EASTERN SEWARD PENINSULA WITH TROUGH TO
LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND...THIS COMPLEX MOVING TO CHUKOTSK PENINSULA
TO SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND TO NUNIVAK ISLAND 00Z SAT..AND DRIFTING
WEST THEREAFTER. 1027 MB HIGH NEAR BANKS ISLAND DRIFTING WEST OVER
ARCTIC OCEAN FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN. THERMAL TROUGH FROM NOATAK TO
NORTH OF FORT YUKON REFORMING FROM AMBLER TO EAGLE 00Z SAT MOVING
TO AMBLER TO NORTHWAY 00Z SUN.

MODELS...VERY SIMILAR IN INITIALIZATION AND THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON
THEN PREFER GFS INTO SAT AS IT PICKS UP ON SECOND UPPER TROUGH
WHICH WRF/NAM DOES NOT.

NORTH SLOPE...EASTERLY WINDS DROPPING SOME FRI BUT INCREASING SAT
AS HIGH SHIFTS EAST A BIT AND SECOND TROUGH ROTATING OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA CAUSING INCREASE IN GRADIENT.

WESTERN ALASKA...SHOWERS TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF FIRST UPPER TROUGH
MOVING WEST TONIGHT OVER OUTER WATERS TONIGHT AND FRI. THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH BEST INSTABILITY OVER ZONES 208 209 217 BUT
OTHER LAND ZONES CERTAINLY HAVE SOME POTENTIAL. LITTLE WEATHER
EXPECTED FRI BUT SOME SHOWERS SAT MAINLY SOUTH OF KOTZEBUE WITH
SECOND TROUGH. NORTHWEST WINDS SHIFTING SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND FRI
AS SURFACE TROUGH DRIFTS WEST. THEN WINDS DIMINISHING FRI EVENING.

CENTRAL/EASTERN INTERIOR...SHOWERS DIMINISHING TONIGHT FROM
SOUTHEAST. GRADUAL DRYING OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY. SOUTH WINDS
THROUGH ALASKA RANGE PASSES DIMINISHING SOME FRI. SHOWERS VERY
MINIMAL FRI BUT AS THERMAL TROUGH STRENGTHENS SAT EXPECT ISOLATED
PM THUNDERSTORMS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ALASKA RANGE WINDS WITH DRIER CONDITIONS FOR FRI HAVE LED TO A
WATCH FOR ZONES 225 AND 226.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OVER CENTRAL INTERIOR OVERNIGHT
HAVE PROMPTED FLOOD WATCHES FOR CHATANIKA...UPPER CHENA...AND SALCHA
RIVERS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

JL JUN 07