Alert archive / Alaska / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Fairbanks, AK

April 26, 2007

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this flash flood warning at Apr 26, 2007, 10:33 AM AKDT. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 26, 2007, 10:33 AM AKDT (18:33 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2007, 5:00 AM AKDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Point Barrow, (PBRW), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Point Barrow, at 12:00Z on 2007-04-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Point Barrow, at 12:00Z on 2007-04-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1152 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGAK59 PAFG 262334
FFWAFG
AKZ205-270000-

TEST...FLASH FLOOD WARNING...TEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
333 PM ADT THU APR 26 2007

...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A

* THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR IVOTUK CREEK

* UNTIL 400 PM ADT

* THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE.

* THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE.

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD
TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY
FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS
AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. DO NOT TAKE ACTION BASED ON THIS MESSAGE.

LAT...LON 6907 15585 6907 15535 6925 15534 6925 15585

$$
EWP
2 follow-up statements
000 
WGAK79 PAFG 262336
FFSAFG

TEST...FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...TEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
336 PM ADT THU APR 26 2007

...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY...

AKZ205-270030-
NORTHWESTERN BROOKS RANGE AK-
336 PM ADT THU APR 26 2007

...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY...

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM ADT FOR
IVOTUK CREEK...

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS
AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. DO NOT TAKE ACTION BASED ON THIS MESSAGE.

LAT...LON 6907 15585 6907 15535 6925 15534 6925 15585

$$

EWP
000 
WGAK79 PAFG 262337
FFSAFG

TEST...FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...TEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
337 PM ADT THU APR 26 2007

...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY...

AKZ205-262347-
NORTHWESTERN BROOKS RANGE AK-
337 PM ADT THU APR 26 2007

...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY...

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR IVOTUK CREEK...

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS
AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. DO NOT TAKE ACTION BASED ON THIS MESSAGE.

LAT...LON 6907 15585 6907 15535 6925 15534 6925 15585

$$

EWP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Apr 26, 9:22 AM AKDT, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 26, 9:22 AM AKDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 PM ADT THU APR 26 2007

.DISCUSSION...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN FOR NORTHERN ALASKA FAIRLY STAGNANT WITH
MAIN STORM TRACK OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. HOWEVER...A SOMEWHAT
COMPLEX PATTERN FOR THE EASTERN INTERIOR...AS WEAK FEATURES SPUN
OFF FROM GULF OF ALASKA CYCLONE WILL BRING AT LEAST A CHANCE FOR
SOME SNOW.

THE MODELS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR IN HOW THEY HANDLE THE OVERALL
PATTERN...THE NAM SEEMS TO OVERDO THE PRECIP AMOUNTS...BUT THE
GFS AND THE NAM HAVE SIMILAR PATTERNS IN PRECIP COVERAGE. AS
USUAL...BOTH MODELS SEEM TO PLACE THE MOST PRECIP IN EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES.

A 1031 MB HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE HIGH ARCTIC...THOUGH
NOT AS FAST AS THE MODELS ADVERTISE...SO WILL KEEP UP WINDS ALONG
THE NORTH SLOPE INTO SATURDAY AND THE BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY INTO
FRIDAY...THOUGH THE BLSN ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE CANCELED SOONER.

A DRY COLD FRONT LYING FROM WAINWRIGHT TO FAIRBANKS TO EAGLE WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWEST AND STALL ON FRIDAY FROM SHISHMAREF TO
ANVIK TO NORTHWAY. BEHIND THE FRONT LIES DRY...WINDY AND COOLER
AIR. A WEAK OCCLUDED FRONT MOVING OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL
OVERRUN THE STALLED COLD FRONT ON FRI AFTERNOON BRINGING A CHANCE
OF RAIN AND SNOW...MAINLY SNOW...TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE
INTERIOR AND SOME RH RECOVERY TO THE REST OF THE INTERIOR. THIS
WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
PASSAGE OF COLD FRONT NOW BRINGING LOW RH AND HIGH WINDS TO
ZONES 221 AND 222 VERIFYING THE CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING FOR THESE
ZONES. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE AND RH WILL RECOVER OVERNIGHT.
AS THE FRONT WEAKENS...WINDS WILL DECREASE FRIDAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FOR AKZ221-AKZ222.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ240.

BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ203.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ245.

PKA APR 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 25, 10:27 PM AKDTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG4 days
Apr 25, 10:27 PM AKDTGale WarningAFG35 hr
Apr 26, 1:34 AM AKDTBlowing Snow AdvisoryAFG44 hr
Apr 26, 2:48 AM AKDTRed Flag WarningAFG19 hr
Apr 26, 8:54 AM AKDTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG24 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Alaska, 2007Every flash flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.