Brisk Wind Advisory 40, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
117 PM AST WED FEB 7 2007

.DISCUSSION...STRONG UPPER HIGH NORTH OF PABR-PASC REMAINS
IN PLACE WHILE WEAK UPPER LOW IS UNDERCUTTING IT...MOVING
W FROM YUKON...OVER CENTRAL INTERIOR. IT IS MAINLY DRY AND
ONLY VISIBLE AS AREA OF STRATUS OVER ERN/SERN INTERIOR
UPLANDS MOVING W FROM S HALF OF YUKON. DECAYING FRONTAL BAND
HAS LIFTED N OVER CHUKCHI SEA AND SEWARD PEN...WHILE ANOTHER
WEAK ONE IS MOVING N IN SRLY FLOW OVER CENTRAL BERING...TOWARD
ST LAWRENCE.

MODELS ONCE AGAIN NOT AGREEING WELL PAST ABOUT 72 HOURS...
HAVING A HARD TIME DECIDING WHAT TO DO WITH CLOSED UPPER
LOW THAT REMAINS OVER YUKON THEN. FOR SHORT TERM...CENTRAL
INTERIOR UPPER LOW FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING W TONIGHT
THEN N OVER BROOKS RANGE THU/THU NIGHT...ENDING UP NEAR PABR
00Z FRI. AS THIS OCCURS...SOME MOISTURE WILL BE PULLED UP
FROM SRN BERING IN SWRLY FLOW AT BASE OF UPPER LOW THU NIGHT
AND FRI. THIS COULD BRING SOME -SN TO INTERIOR AS FAR E AS
PATA AND POSSIBLY PANN-PAFA FRI. FLURRIES AND STRATUS WILL
LIKELY RETURN TO WRN HALF N SLOPE THU NIGHT/FRI AS THE LOW
LIFTS N THERE.

FRONTAL BAND PUSHING UP FROM S TOWARD ST LAWRENCE WILL BRING
MORE -SN THERE TONIGHT/THU...BUT WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER
AND NO BLSN ISSUES ANTICIPATED. GUSTY UPLAND WINDS ON TOP SIDE
OF INTERIOR UPPER LOW OVER WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THU/THU NIGHT
AS LOW MOVES FURTHER W AND N. WIND ADVISORY FOR ZONE 216 WILL
END TONIGHT...AND 217 THU.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ216-AKZ217.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-
PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

MAR FEB 07