Small Craft Advisory 795, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 270746 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1145 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

UPDATED MARINE ZONES 120 125 130 140 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1004 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL DISSIPATE AS IT
TRACKS TOWARD SOUTHEAST ALASKA WED NIGHT. GUSTY WESTERLY FLOW 
ACROSS THE GULF WATERS WILL DISSIPATE BY THU MORNING. A FRONT
EXTENDING FROM A BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF 
THU NIGHT AND TRACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-271400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1145 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-271400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING NE 20 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-271400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1145 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-271400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING E 20 KT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-271400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1145 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO E 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-271400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-271400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-271400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1145 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT WEST 15 KT SOUTH OF NINILCHIK.
SEAS 3 FT TO 9 FT...HIGHEST SOUTH OF NINILCHIK. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NE 45 KT. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-271400-
KACHEMAK BAY
1145 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 271154
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF THU THROUGH THU
NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF THU AFTERNOON
AND TO THE NORTH GULF COAST FRI MORNING. A 982 MB LOW MOVES TO
SHELIKOF STRAIT FROM BRISTOL BAY FRI AFTERNOON AND WEAKENS TO 984 MB
200 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY FRI NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-280200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-280200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 20 KT IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-280200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-280200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-280200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-280200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT THU SEP 27 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 4
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
125 PM ADT WED SEP 26 2007

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A LOOK AT SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
MORNING SHOWS A SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED PATTERN ACROSS THE ALASKA
REGION. THERE IS A TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE GULF WITH A WEAK
CIRCULATION OVER THE CENTRAL GULF SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. A
NEARLY STATIONARY LOW CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE JUST WEST OF NORTON
SOUND. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK SHORT-WAVES ROTATING AROUND
THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. FORCING FROM THE
ABOVE FEATURES IS PRODUCING SHOWERS...SOME CONTAINING HEAVY
RAIN...ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN GULF AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AS
WELL AS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THERE ARE FEWER SHOWERS AS YOU HEAD INLAND.
OF NOTE ARE THE SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY THAT HAVE
BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING TOWARD ANCHORAGE AND THE NORTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA. THERE IS ALSO A CIRCULATION OVER THE SOUTHERN
SUSITNA...LIKELY A MID LEVEL VORT-MAX. THERE IS ALSO A WEAK
CONVERGENCE ZONE OVER NORTHERN COOK INLET...SO SHOWERS MAY INTENSIFY
AS THEY MOVE INTO ANCHORAGE. A FEW ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE
ALSO BEEN DETECTED OVER THE GULF. BASED ON HIGH INSTABILITY OF THE
AIR MASS THESE STRIKES ARE LIKELY REAL. 12Z SOUNDINGS ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA SHOWED SIGNIFICANT COOLING IN THE
UPPER LEVELS WITH 500MB TEMPS COOLING 5 TO 10 DEGREES THE PAST 24
HOURS DOWN TO ABOUT -30 DEGREES CELSIUS. LIFTED INDICES ARE AROUND
ZERO. WITH THE STATE OF THE ATMOSPHERE IT DOESNT TAKE MUCH SYNOPTIC
LIFT OR SOLAR HEATING TO
SET OFF SOME DECENT SHOWERS.

HEADING WEST IN THE UPPER LEVELS THERE IS A RIDGE CENTERED OVER
THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. THERE IS A STRONG UPPER JET DOWN THE EAST
SIDE OF THE RIDGE (ESTIMATED AT 170 KT) ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING
AND WESTERN AKPENN. THIS IS COMBINATION OF RIDGE BUILDING EASTWARD
(SURFACE AND ALOFT) AND UPPER JET ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS
ACROSS THIS REGION. ALTHOUGH OBSERVATIONS SHOW SMALL CRAFT WINDS
OVER MARINE AREAS...EXPECT THERE ARE SOME GALE FORCE GUSTS THROUGH
GAPS IN THE AKPENN.

FINALLY...THERE IS A CLOSED UPPER LOW WEST OF THE ALEUTIANS WITH A
STRONG SURFACE REFLECTION IN A 975 MB LOW. THE JET IS STRONGER AHEAD
OF THIS LOW...SO DO NOT EXPECT ANYMORE AMPLIFICATION OF THE TROUGH
OR STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW. THE SURFACE LOW HAS OCCLUDED AND THE
GALE FORCE FRONT IS TRACKING EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND
SHOW EXCELLENT RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY. GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS HAVE
VERY LITTLE SPREAD THROUGH ABOUT THE NEXT 4 DAYS...REINFORCING THE
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE NUMERICAL MODELS SOLUTION. ONCE AGAIN NO
MAJOR CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF
WILL SWING EASTWARD TO SOUTHEAST ALASKA THIS EVENING SO SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. THE REMNANTS OF THE WESTERN ALASKA LOW
AS WELL AS WEAK UPPER SHORT-WAVES WILL SLOWLY TRACK ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT. THERE IS ONE
FINAL SHORT-WAVE THAT DOES NOT MOVE THROUGH UNTIL LATE THURSDAY.
SO...THE COMBINATION OF THESE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES WITH A VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF SHOWERS OVER
THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME SUN
BREAKS WHICH COULD CONTRIBUTE TO INSTABILITY. THE BEST AREA OF UPPER
LEVEL LIFT LOOKS TO BE FROM THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TO NORTHERN COOK
INLET AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY. ONLY EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS...BUT SOME OF THESE SHOWERS WILL LIKELY CONTAIN
HEAVY RAIN. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL
SLIDE EASTWARD ACROSS THE AKPENN TONIGHT AND INTO THE GULF AND
SOUTHCENTRAL THURSDAY. COMBINATION OF A FAIRLY TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT...PRESSURE RISES...AND STRONG UPPER JET OVERHEAD WILL
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE AKPENN AND KODIAK ISLAND WATERS
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. BY LATE THURSDAY THE FRONT EXTENDING
FROM THE BERING LOW WILL BE APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND
KODIAK ISLAND...SO RAIN WILL QUICKLY SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA
THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO SOUTHCENTRAL FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE DOWNSLOPE
DRYING ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND SOUTHCENTRAL COASTAL
RANGE AS STRONG EASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF FRONT. THE BERING
LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AKPENN AND INTO THE GULF LATE FRIDAY SO
FLOW WILL THEN BACK TOWARD THE NORTH. WITH THIS SYSTEM PROGRESSION
LEE SIDE AREAS AND INLAND AREAS WILL SEE VERY LITTLE RAIN...IF ANY.
THE FRONT WILL BECOME PARALLEL TO THE NORTH GULF COAST ON FRIDAY...
SO THERE IS A VERY GOOD CHANCE THAT A BARRIER JET WILL DEVELOP. THE
FORECAST CURRENTLY HAS MAX GALES ADVERTISED...BUT WILL CONSIDER
UPPING THIS TO STORMS. WITH THE UPPER FLOW REMAINING PROGRESSIVE
THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK EASTWARD ON SATURDAY AND THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND WILL DRY OUT.

BERING SEA ALEUTIANS...THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY TRACK
EASTWARD ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
AND MOVE INTO THE GULF FRIDAY. THERE IS WEAK COLD ADVECTION ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM SO THERE WILL BE SHOWERS OVER THE RELATIVELY
WARM BERING SEA WATERS. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
LOW WILL ALSO BE QUITE STRONG...WITH MAX GALES OVER THE EASTERN
BERING/EASTERN ALEUTIANS/AKPENN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. WITH COLD
ADVECTION ALOFT THERE MAY BE SOME STORM FORCE GUST THROUGH CHANNELED
AREAS. WITH THE PATTERN CONTINUING TO BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED THE NEXT
SYSTEM WILL BE FORCED FARTHER NORTHWARD AS IT TRACKS INTO THE BERING
SEA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS AND
RAIN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE SYSTEM OVER THE BERING SEA ON SATURDAY
GRADUALLY ERODES THE RIDGE AHEAD OF IT AND FLATTENS OUT THE PATTERN
AGAIN. TROUGHINESS WILL DOMINATE ALASKA AND THE BERING SEA REGION.
SO EXPECT A SHOWERY REGIME TO SET IN THIS WEEKEND THORUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. MODELS ALSO INDICATE A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH DROPPING DOWN
FROM THE POLE EARLY TO MID WEEK AND TRANSPORTING COLDER AIR SOUTHWARD
ACROSS ALASKA. SO SNOW LEVELS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL
AS WE HEAD THORUGH NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORMS 172 175.
         GALES 130 132 138 150 155 160 165 170 171 176 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB SEP 07