Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007

Small Craft Advisory 749, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 13, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 13, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 13, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT (19:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 14, 2007, 10:40 PM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 132308
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 990 MB LOW NEAR THE BERING STRAIT WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRI
NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW 350 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU FRI AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
TO 350 NM NORTH OF ATTU AT 992 MB SAT AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-141400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-141400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-141400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-141400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-141400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-141400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-141400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-141400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-141400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-141400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-141400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-141400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$
4 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 141156
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 999 MB LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO 300 NM NORTH
OF SHEMYA SATURDAY NIGHT AT 992 MB. 

$$

PKZ150-150200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-150200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-150200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 141722 RRA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 999 MB LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO 300 NM NORTH
OF SHEMYA SATURDAY NIGHT AT 992 MB. 

$$

PKZ150-150200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-150200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-150200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 142309
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 994 MB LOW 300 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA FRI NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 
250 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND AT 994 MB. A 975 MB LOW WILL
MOVE TO 265 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA SUN AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-151400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-151400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-151400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-151400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-151400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-151400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-151400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-151400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-151400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-151400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-151400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-151400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 14 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 151140
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 993 MB LOW NEAR 350 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU WILL MOVE TO 200 NM NORTH
OF ATTU SUNDAY MORNING THEN DISSIPATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING
1003 MB LOW NEAR JAPAN WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTH OF
SHEMYA SUNDAY NIGHT AT 959 MB.

$$

PKZ150-160200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-160200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-160200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-160200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-160200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-160200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-160200-
UNALASKA BAY
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-160200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-160200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-160200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-160200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-160200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
340 AM ADT SAT SEP 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 13, 10:00 AM AKDT, 1 hour earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 13, 10:00 AM AKDT, 1 hour before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THERE ARE A FEW MORE PROBLEMS WITH THE MODELS
TODAY AS COMPARED WITH YESTERDAY WHEN THEY LOOKED TO BE PERFORMING
VERY WELL. THE FIRST ISSUE IS AN IMMEDIATE IMPACT ON THE FORECAST
RELATING TO AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE THAT HAS DEVELOPED SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND LATE LAST NIGHT AND IS HEADING TOWARD COOK INLET. THE ONLY
MODEL THAT HAS A HINT AT THIS FEATURE IS THE NAM FROM THE 12Z RUN.
THE WAVE CAN BE DISCERNED IN THE 500 MB LEVEL IN THE VORTICITY AND
TEMPERATURE FIELDS. THE GFS HAS ALMOST NO INDICATION OF THE EXISTENCE
OF THIS WAVE. THIS WILL AFFECT THE WEATHER IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
OVERNIGHT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
THE OTHER BIG QUESTION WITH THE MODELS DEALS WITH THE LOW THAT IS
DEVELOPING SOUTH OF SAND POINT AND WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
THIS WEEKEND. THE BIG PICTURE ON THIS SYSTEM REMAINS FAIRLY
CONSISTENT WHICH IS GOOD. THE ISSUE IS THE STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM AND
THE EXACT POSITIONING. THE GFS 12Z RUN WEAKENED THE LOW AND MOVED IT
FARTHER EAST THAN ANY OF THE PREVIOUS RUNS. THE NAM DID NOT DO THIS.
THE GFS ENSEMBLE SHOWS THAT THE MODEL IS STRUGGLING A BIT WITH THE
POSITIONING OF THIS LOW IN THE GULF. THIS LOOKS LIKE A SITUATION
WHERE THE NAM MAY HAVE A BETTER SOLUTION FOR HOW THIS STORM PLAYS OUT
IN THE GULF AND ALONG THE GULF COAST.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS SECTION
THERE IS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL WAVE THAT IS SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
MOVING NORTHWARD. THIS WAVE SHOWS UP VERY WELL ON THE IR AND WATER
VAPOR SATELLITE. IT LOOKS TO HEAD INTO COOK INLET THIS EVENING AND
INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY AFTER THAT. THE LOW THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE
GULF OF ALASKA THIS WEEKEND IS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE NEAR 45N 155W.
THIS IS ALSO VISIBLE ON IR SATELLITE.
IN THE BERING SEA THE LOW CONTINUES TO CHURN NEAR THE BERING STRAIT
AND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A MODERATELY TIGHT
SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WILL PERSIST IN THIS AREA INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...RAIN IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL PERSIST
OVERNIGHT IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AND UNSTABLE AIR. THE UPPER LEVEL
WAVE MOVING TOWARD COOK INLET SHOULD ALSO BRING RAIN TO
KODIAK...KENAI PENINSULA...ANCHORAGE...AND THE MAT-SU VALLEY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE BIGGEST WEATHER MAKER WILL BE THE LOW
MOVING INTO THE GULF THIS WEEKEND. GALES WILL BE IN THE OFFSHORE AREA
WITH THIS LOW AND IT MAY BRING GOOD AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL ALONG THE
GULF COAST. THE RAIN WILL BE HEAVIER THE FURTHER EAST ONE GOES AND
AREAS ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA MAY MISS MUCH OF THE RAIN
DEEPENING HOW FAR EAST THIS LOW GOES.
A LOW EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN BERING SEA SATURDAY. THIS LOW WILL NOT LAST LONG AS IT
WILL GET ABSORBED BY A STRONG LOW THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST
BERING SEA SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
AND BERING SEA EARLY NEXT WEEK AND BEARS WATCHING AS THE FORECAST
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS UNDER 960 MB ON THE GFS MODEL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEP 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 12, 10:37 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 12, 11:57 PM AKDTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC10 hr
Sep 13, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007Every small craft advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.