Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007

Small Craft Advisory 744, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 11, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 11, 2007, 11:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 11, 2007, 11:00 PM AKDT (07:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 13, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 121141
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 980 MB LOW NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE ONSHORE
OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA THURSDAY MORNING. 
$$

PKZ150-130200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-130200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-130200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-130200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN 
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-130200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-130200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT...HIGHEST BERING SIDE. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-130200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-130200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT...HIGHEST EAST OF ATKA BERING
SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-130200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-130200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-130200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS EAST OF SAINT MATTHEW. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS EAST OF
SAINT MATTHEW. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-130200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 122310
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 984 MB LOW 85 NM NORTHEAST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 990
MB AND MOVE NEAR THE BERING STRAIT THU AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-131400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-131400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-131400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131400-
UNALASKA BAY
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-131400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
310 PM ADT WED SEP 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 131137
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-140200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A DEVELOPING 998 MB LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA FRIDAY MORNING
WILL MOVE TO 250 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA FRIDAY NIGHT AT 994 MB. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ150-140200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-140200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-140200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-140200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-140200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-140200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-140200-
UNALASKA BAY
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-140200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-140200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-140200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-140200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-140200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
337 AM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 132308
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 990 MB LOW NEAR THE BERING STRAIT WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRI
NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW 350 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU FRI AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
TO 350 NM NORTH OF ATTU AT 992 MB SAT AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-141400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-141400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-141400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-141400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-141400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-141400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-141400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-141400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-141400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-141400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-141400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-141400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT THU SEP 13 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 11, 9:00 AM AKDT, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 11, 9:00 AM AKDT, 14 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT TUE SEP 11 2007

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A VERY LARGE-SCALE SYSTEM IS AFFECTING
THE WEATHER ACROSS THE STATE TODAY. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A MATURE
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW WITH OCCLUSION WRAPPED AROUND SEVERAL TIMES
SITTING NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA NEAR 58N 176W.
THE LOW IS BEGINNING TO SLOWLY WEAKEN BUT THERE IS STILL A VERY TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AND
ALEUTIANS...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS COVERING MUCH OF THIS REGION.
SHORT-WAVES ROTATING AROUND LOW CENTER ARE PRODUCING BANDS OF
RAIN/SHOWERS OVER THE BERING AND PRIBILOFS...WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS
AS YOUR HEAD SOUTH TO THE ALEUTIANS. THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS
NORTHWARD ACROSS FAR EASTERN RUSSIA THEN CURVES AROUND TO THE WESTERN
ALASKAN COAST AND SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AKPEN (NEAR SAND POINT) AND
ON INTO THE PACIFIC. A WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LOOP SHOWS A STRONG
SHORT-WAVE RIDING NORTHWARD ALONG THE FRONT. THERE ARE ALSO HINTS
(IN THE FORM OF SMALL NOTCHES ALONG THE WEST EDGE OF THE FRONTAL
CLOUD BAND) OF VERY WEAK SURFACE WAVES ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF THE
AKPEN. THERE IS LIKELY ONE DIRECTLY UNDERNEATH THE UPPER
SHORT-WAVE...BUT THERE ARE TOO MANY HIGH CLOUDS BLOCKING THE VIEW
NEEDED TO VERIFY THIS. A COUPLE OTHER WEAKER UPPER WAVES JUST AHEAD
OF THE FRONT HAVE BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWEST TOWARD SOUTHWEST
ALASKA THIS MORNING. EARLY THIS MORNING THERE WAS NOT MANY RETURNS
TO SPEAK OF ON THE BETHEL OR KING SALMON RADARS. BY MID MORNING
ECHOES FILLED THE RADAR AND HAVE HELD STEADY EVER SINCE. GUSTY WINDS
CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE KODIAK ISLAND
REGION. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WAS NOTED ON THE BETHEL AND KING SALMON
SOUNDINGS THIS MORNING WITH 40 TO 50 KTS WITHIN THE FIRST COUPLE
THOUSAND FEET. THIS HAS LIKELY SPREAD TO MCGRATH BY NOW AND AS THE
FRONT PROGRESSES EASTWARD WILL AFFECT SITE SUCH AS HOMER AND
ANCHORAGE.

THE UPPER JET ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE BERING LOW REALLY HELPED
AMPLIFY THE PATTERN LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. THUS...THE UPPER
RIDGE BUILT OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF ALASKA AND KEPT MOST OF THE
FRONTAL CLOUDS OFF TO THE WEST. THIS RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
AREAS OF STRATUS AND FOG...ESPECIALLY FOR THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND COPPER RIVER BASIN REGIONS. ANY FOG THAT FORMED WEST OF THESE
REGIONS DISSIPATED EARLIER. BUT THESE OTHER AREAS HAVE BEEN SLOW
TO IMPROVE. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT
IMPROVEMENT BETWEEN NOON AND 1 PM. SO EXPECT SOME SUN THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE CLOUDS THICKEN UP. THE AMPLIFIED PATTERN HAS ALSO
STRENGTHENED THE UPPER JET BETWEEN TROUGH AND RIDGE WITH 100KT
PLUS NOW HEADED STRAIGHT NORTH OVERHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
THE AKPEN AND WESTERN ALASKA. THIS JET IS PUMPING LOTS OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE UP INTO THE STATE.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN HANDLING OF
CURRENT SYSTEM...INCLUDING MOVEMENT OF FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. YESTERDAY THE GFS
DEPICTION OF A STRONG SHORT-WAVE TRACKING FROM NEAR THE LOW CENTER TO
SOUTHCENTRAL LATE WEDNESDAY WAS IN QUESTION (THIS IS IN ADDITION TO
THE WAVE TALKED ABOUT ABOVE TRACKING NORTHWARD ALONG THE FRONT). THE
GFS STILL SHOWS THIS FEATURE AND NAM NOW HINTS AT IT. THIS WILL HELP
INTENSIFY PRECIP OVER SOUTHCENTRAL LATE WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS STILL GREAT UNCERTAINTY IN NEXT MAJOR PACIFIC SYSTEM
TRACKING TO THE GULF FRIDAY. THERE IS VERY POOR RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY AND A VERY LARGE SPREAD IN GFS ENSEMBLES. THE LATEST
TREND IS FASTER AND SIGNIFICANTLY FARTHER EAST...WHICH WOULD LEAD
TO A VERY DIFFERENT FORECAST THAN CURRENTLY ADVERTISED. THEREFORE...
WILL CONTINUE TO STICK WITH CURRENT FORECAST AND WAIT UNTIL MODELS
HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THIS SYSTEM.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL/SOUTHWEST...RAIN HAS MOVED OVER KODIAK ISLAND BUT WILL
BE SLOW TO SPREAD TO THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT DUE TO HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE. MULTIPLE SHORT-WAVES TALKED ABOUT ABOVE WILL TRACK
NORTH OVERHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...RESULTING IN CONTINUED WET CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS REGION.
STRONG EASTERLY WINDS HAVE BEEN LIMITING PRECIP ALONG THE LEE SIDE
OF MOUNTAINS IN BRISTOL BAY. BUT AS THE FRONT MOVES EASTWARD TONIGHT
WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND RAIN WILL ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND UP
INTO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THE COMBINATION OF UPPER SHORT-WAVES AND
INTENSIFYING JET ON EAST SIDE OF TROUGH WILL CAUSE UPPER TROUGH TO
BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED BY LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL HELP NUDGE UPPER
RIDGE EASTWARD...ALLOW SURFACE FRONT TO MAKE EASTWARD PROGRESSION
INTO THE WESTERN GULF...AND SPREAD RAIN UP INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF
SOUTHCENTRAL OVERNIGHT. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO TILT
WEDNESDAY AND THEN LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT PRODUCING WIDESPREAD RAIN. AT THE
SURFACE...PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL BY LATE
TONIGHT AS FRONT MOVES INTO WESTERN GULF. ALSO...MODELS INDICATE
FRONTAL WAVE MOVING UP TO JUST SOUTH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA LATE
TONIGHT. THIS WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY THE GRADIENT TO THE NORTH. A
HIGH WIND WATCH WAS ISSUED LAST NIGHT FOR TURNAGAIN ARM...BUT DECIDED
TO CANCEL THAT BECAUSE LOOKS LIKE EVEN IF ADD A BIT TO MODEL FORECAST
GRADIENT LOOKS LIKE WOULD STILL REMAIN BELOW WARNING LEVELS. SURFACE
WAVE IS PROGGED TO TRACK NORTH OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA WHICH MEANS
GRADIENT WILL QUICKLY FALL. IF IT WERE TO TRACK WEST OF ANCHORAGE
THERE WOULD BE A MUCH BETTER CHANCE OF REACHING WARNING LEVELS. THE
STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY LIMIT LEE SIDE PRECIP TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...BUT DYNAMICS ALOFT ARE IMPRESSIVE SO THINK THERE WILL
BE AT LEAST A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN IN ALL LOCATIONS. FLOW WILL THEN
SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST LATE WEDNESDAY AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.
BEHIND THE UPPER TROUGH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...RESULTING IN SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WHICH WILL BE CLOSER TO THE UPPER LOW CENTER OVER THE BERING.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AS THE UPPER TROUGH BECOMES TILTED AND LIFTS
NORTHWARD THE BERING LOW WILL TRACK NORTH TOWARD THE BERING STRAIT.
RAIN/SHOWERS AND GALE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD TONIGHT TO THE
EASTERN BERING AND THEN WINDS AND PRECIP WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS
WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE LIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS LEFT FROM THE
SYSTEM. A SHORT-WAVE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN FRIDAY...SO IT IS LOOKING
LIKE DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...LOW CONFIDENCE IN EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE
WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. IT
DOES LOOK LIKE MAJOR LOW WILL HEAD SOMEWHERE IN THE GULF RESULTING
IN A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN AND WINDS ACROSS THE GULF/SOUTHCENTRAL FOR
THE WEEKEND WITH DRYING TREND AFTER THAT. WITH NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
OUT WEST WILL LOOK FOR ANOTHER MAJOR SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE
BERING/ALEUTIANS BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 130 160 170 171 172 175 179 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB SEP 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 11, 11:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 11, 11:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 12, 10:10 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC25 hr
Sep 12, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007Every small craft advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.