Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007

Small Craft Advisory 683, NWS Anchorage, AK

August 23, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Aug 23, 2007, 11:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 23, 2007, 11:00 PM AKDT (07:00 UTC)
Expired
Aug 25, 2007, 11:00 PM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 241103
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 994 MB LOW NEAR 300 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 998 MB
NEAR COLD BAY SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
WESTERN BERING SEA SATURDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ150-250200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-250200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-250200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-250200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-250200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-250200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-250200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-250200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
12 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS PACIFIC SIDE. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-250200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-250200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-250200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-250200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$
4 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 242301
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-251400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 994 MB LOW NEAR 250 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 999 MB
150 NM NORTHEAST OF ATKA SAT AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SAND POINT SUN AFTERNOON WHILE MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA SUN.

$$

PKZ150-251400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-251400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-251400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-251400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-251400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-251400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-251400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-251400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-251400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-251400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-251400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-251400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI AUG 24 2007

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 251118
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-260200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 999 MB LOW 220 NM NORTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST ACROSS THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO THE WESTERN GULF AT 997 MB.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA SUNDAY. 

$$

PKZ150-260200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-260200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-260200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-260200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-260200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-260200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-260200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-260200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-260200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-260200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-260200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-260200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 260003
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-261400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 999 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTH
OF SAND POINT AT 996 MB SUNDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVES SOUTHEAST AND
WEAKENS. A SECONDARY LOW FORMS 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
MONDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
SUNDAY AND THEN SLOWLY MOVES EAST MONDAY.

$$

PKZ150-261400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-261400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO N 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-261400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-261400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-261400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-261400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-261400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-261400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-261400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-261400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-261400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-261400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT SAT AUG 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 261127
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-270200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 996 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY MOVES INTO THE WESTERN 
GULF TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA TODAY
AND MOVES EAST INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA MONDAY. A WEAK FRONT 
MOVES INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA MONDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ150-270200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-270200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-270200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-270200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-270200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-270200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-270200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-270200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-270200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-270200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-270200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-270200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN AUG 26 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Aug 23, 9:00 AM AKDT, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 23, 9:00 AM AKDT, 14 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT THU AUG 23 2007

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. A STRONG JET STREAM WINDING AROUND THE UPPER
CLOSED LOW IS ADVECTING IN A FAIR AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AND OMEGA FIELDS
INDICATE THAT THERE IS A WIDE SWATH OF LIFT. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DRIFT SOUTHEAST INTO JUNEAUS FORECAST DOMAIN
BY EARLY SATURDAY. BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...A WEAK RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER
THE BERING SEA WILL SWEEP THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA OVER THE
WEEKEND AND BRING FAIR WEATHER. THE NEXT LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY SUNDAY
AND ITS ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL BEGIN INFLUENCING SOUTHCENTRAL
BY EARLY MONDAY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZED WELL THIS MORNING. MODEL DIFFERENCES ARE MINOR FOR
THE EASTERN DOMAIN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THEREFORE...THE NEW
FORECAST PACKAGE HAS NOT MANY CHANGES. ANY CHANGES ARE MINOR TO
UP/DOWN POP. OUT WEST...SIGNIFICANT MODEL ISSUES REMAIN REGARDING THE
KAMCHATKA LOW. THE OPERATIONAL NAM CONTINUES TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY
SLOWER THAN THE GFS UKMET AND ECMWF. THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN AND
(SURPRISINGLY ENOUGH) THE NAM-BASED SREF AGREE WITH THE GFS SOLUTION.
GFS REMAINS TO BE THE SUPERIOR NUMERICAL MODEL OUT WEST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
ONSHORE FLOW AND GENERALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT FROM THE LOW IN THE
GULF WILL MEAN CONTINUED RAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL. SHOWERS WILL BE MORE SCATTERED AWAY FROM THE COAST.
GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH THIS EVENING IN MARINE
ZONE 120 AS A BARRIER JET IS ALONG THE COAST. THE LOW WEAKENS TONIGHT
WITH SHOWERS AND WINDS ON THE WANE OVERNIGHT. THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO
PULL AWAY FRIDAY...AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RESIDUAL SHOWERS WILL
LINGER. BY LATE FRIDAY...FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY AND
BRING DRIER WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND. THE KAMCHATKA LOW WILL MOVE INTO
THE EASTERN BERING BY EARLY SUNDAY...AND KODIAK ISLAND WILL BEGIN TO
RECEIVE PRECIPITATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH ITS WEATHER FRONT BY MIDDAY
SUNDAY WITH PRECIPITATION SPREADING NORTHWARD TO THE KENAI PENINSULA
BY EARLY MONDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
SHOWERS LINGERING PRIMARILY IN THE BRISTOL BAY AREA AND ALONG THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE GULF OF ALASKA LOW WILL BEGIN
TO TAPER OFF TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HOWEVER...RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE OVER MUCH OF WESTERN ALASKA HAS SET UP AREAS OF FOG OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE THAT FOG
REDEVELOP TONIGHT. CONVECTIVE FORCING IS WEAKER TODAY THAN IT WAS
YESTERDAY...AND SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER WILL INHIBIT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY LOOKS TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TOMORROW ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND REMAINS INTO SATURDAY. SHOWERS
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BE THE RESULT OF THIS INSTABILITY.

ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...
WIDESPREAD FOG OVER THE BERING RESULTING FROM SUBSIDENCE AND WEAK LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE TONIGHT AS A WEATHER FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE KAMCHATKA LOW SWEEPS ACROSS THE BERING AND BRINGS
SMALL CRAFT TO GALE FORCE WINDS. THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING. WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED AS THE LOW SLOWLY DRIFTS ACROSS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
DRIER WEATHER APPEARS TO BE IN TAP FOR MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
FOR THIS WEEKEND. THE KAMCHATKA LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING THE
NEXT SYNOPTIC SCALE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION...BUT IT APPEARS AT THIS
POINT THAT PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY BE CONFINED TO COASTAL AREAS.
THE UPPER PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH TROUGH
AXIS N-S THROUGH ALASKA AS A POWERFUL JET STREAK WORKS ITS WAY AROUND
AND DEEPENS THE UPPER LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 120 172 175
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

TD/JN AUG 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 23, 11:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 hr
Aug 24, 2:45 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC8 hr
Aug 24, 3:32 AM AKDTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC10 hr
Aug 24, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Aug 24, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007Every small craft advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.