Small Craft Advisory 620, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 012316
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF THROUGH
THU. A 998 MB LOW MOVES NEAR COLD BAY FRI AFTERNOON PUSHING THE HIGH
PRESSURE INTO THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN GULF.

$$

PKZ120-021400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-021400-
RESURRECTION BAY
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT BY NOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-021400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-021400-
PASSAGE CANAL
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-021400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-021400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-021400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-021400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-021400-
KACHEMAK BAY
315 PM ADT WED AUG 1 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 021153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF WILL BE PUSHED TO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF FRIDAY MORNING AND SPREAD NORTH AND EAST THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-030200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-030200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-030200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-030200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.
$$

PKZ130-030200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-030200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-030200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-030200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-030200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 021239 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
437 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

CORRECTED ZONE 138

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF WILL BE PUSHED TO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF FRIDAY MORNING AND SPREAD NORTH AND EAST THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-030200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-030200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-030200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-030200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.
$$

PKZ130-030200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-030200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-030200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
437 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-030200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-030200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 022303
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF WILL BE PUSHED TO 
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF WILL PUSH INLAND TONIGHT. ANOTHER STRONGER FRONT WILL
MOVE UP THE WESTERN GULF FRI NIGHT AND INLAND SAT. 

$$

PKZ120-031400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-031400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-031400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-031400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-031400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-031400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS EVENING. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-031400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-031400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-031400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT THU AUG 2 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 031155
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF WILL BE PUSHED TO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST TODAY AND THEN THE EASTERN GULF SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. A FRONT WILL MOVE UP THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT AND INLAND
SATURDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-040200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-040200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-040200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-040200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AMD SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-040200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-040200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AMD TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-040200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT SE WIND 15 KT SOUTH OF THE FORELANDS.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT FRI AUG 3 2007

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT TUE JUL 31 2007

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
MOST DOMINANT FEATURE IS A BROAD VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED IN THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA NEAR SHEMYA. A FRONT EXTENDING
WELL OUT FROM THIS LOW IS MOVING INLAND. A SECONDARY FRONT IS IN THE
CENTRAL BERING. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE MAINLAND LIFTING
SHOWERS OUT OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA
FROM THE EAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS OF THE MOVEMENT OF UPPER
LEVEL FEATURES. HOWEVER...THE FRONT POSITIONING NOT HANDLED WELL OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE MODELS ARE TOO SLOW WITH THE PROGRESSION
ACCORDING TO WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. PAST THIS TIME FRAME...THERE EXISTS
A LARGE DISAGREEMENT OVER THE PROGRESSION AND DEPTH OF THE NEXT LOW
THROUGH THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN THURSDAY ONWARD. GFS DEMONSTRATED A
SIGNIFICANT FLIP FLOP. PREVIOUS 2 GFS RUNS DROVE THE LOW INTO THE
EASTERN BERING AND ABOUT 20 MB DEEPER. CURRENT RUN DRIVES A FAST
MOVING LOW THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY. THIS AGREES WITH THE
ECMWF. ALSO...MOST OF THE 12Z GFS ENSEMBLES AGREE WITH THE
OPERATIONAL RUN.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST BERING TO SLOWLY PUSH INTO
EASTERN BERING THURSDAY WITH A STRONG SHORT WAVE WORKING UNDERNEATH
AND INTO SOUTHCENTRAL FRIDAY. THE LOW WILL BACK IN THE BERING
SATURDAY THEN EVENTUALLY SWING INTO THE MAINLAND SUNDAY. DRIER
WESTERLY FLOW TO MOVE OVER THE AREA BRIEFLY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TO REMAIN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SHORT WAVE TROUGHS AND RIDGES TO RIP THROUGH WITH THE LARGE
UPPER LOW REMAINING OVER THE BERING. THE FIRST WAVE IS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TO MOVE UP
INTO THE AREA FRIDAY BRINGING A COPIOUS AMOUNT OF MOISTURE. THE UPPER
LOW MOVES OVER THE AREA SUNDAY WITH CONTINUED MOISTURE. AIDED BY GOOD
JET SUPPORT...PRECIPITATION MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY AND SUNDAY.
LOW CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION TO BE THE RULE OVER MUCH OF SOUTH
CENTRAL THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL PICK UP TO SMALL CRAFT WITH EACH
PASSING WAVE. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE THROUGH
THIS PERIOD WITH SHOWERS MORE PREVALENT OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
A FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE SPREADING OVER THE MAINLAND. A SECONDARY FRONT TO PUSH
INLAND TOMORROW ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE. NOT MUCH JET
SUPPORT WITH THESE TWO FEATURES RIGHT...SO PRECIPITATION NOT EXPECTED
TO BE THAT HEAVY. THE BETTER JET SUPPORT IS OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA
THURSDAY. THE JET SUPPORT LIFTS TO THE MAINLAND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO BE HEAVIER OVER BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. THE UPPER LOW TO ROTATE INLAND SATURDAY NIGHT WITH GOOD
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. A SURFACE LOW TO MOVE OVER BRISTOL BAY AS WELL.
DO EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN THIS AREA AS A RESULT
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AT LEAST. OUTSIDE OF TODAY...WINDS WILL BE
LESS THAN SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA.

BERING/ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
THE STACKED LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING TO SWING INTO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY WITH A STRONG SHORT WAVE IN THE BASE OF
THE LOW. THIS WILL BRING BETTER PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS TO THE CENTRAL
BERING AND ALEUTIANS THEN TO THE EASTERN BERING WEDNESDAY EVENING.
MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE MORE SCATTERED BEHIND THIS FEATURE
THURSDAY. THE NEXT SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW TO MOVE
THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MODERATE AMOUNTS OF
RAINFALL. THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA BESIDES JUST SCATTERED
SHOWERS WITHIN THE BROAD UPPER LOW TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS RIDING A STRONG JET MAX. THEREFORE...WE
EXPECT A SYSTEM TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH
MODERATE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION SPREADING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS OUTSIDE OF TODAY
AND TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN SMALL CRAFT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
CONSIDERABLE MODEL UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED...PARTICULARLY FOR THE
BERING. SOMEWHAT BETTER CONFIDENCE THOUGH FOR THE MAINLAND...WITH WET
SOUTHERLY FLOW GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING TO WESTERLY TOWARD EARLY NEXT
WEEK. WITH POTENTIALLY VERY WET SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETTING UP...COOK
INLET UP TO THE SUSITNA VALLEY HAS THE CHANCE OF GETTING MAJOR RAINS
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN JUL 07