Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007

Small Craft Advisory 548, NWS Anchorage, AK

June 24, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 24, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT (19:00 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 242349 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS ACROSS THE NORTH GULF COAST 
THROUGH MONDAY AND MOVES TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUESDAY. A 998 MB LOW
450 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND MOVE TO 550 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK BY TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-251400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-251400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-251400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-251400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ130-251400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-251400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-251400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-251400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO SE 35 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-251400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 250032 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
430 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

UPDATED AREAS 125 AND 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS ACROSS THE NORTH GULF COAST 
THROUGH MONDAY AND MOVES TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUESDAY. A 998 MB LOW
450 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND MOVE TO 550 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK BY TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-251400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-251400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-251400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
430 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-251400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ130-251400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-251400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-251400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-251400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO SE 35 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-251400-
KACHEMAK BAY
430 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 251156
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE ALASKA
PENINSULA TUESDAY. A 999 MB LOW 475 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL
WEAKEN TO 1007 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 700 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-260200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-260200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-260200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL
ISLAND. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-260200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-260200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-260200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-260200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-260200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-260200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 252350
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1001 MB LOW 550 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES SOUTHEAST AND
WEAKENS. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
THROUGH THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ120-261400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-261400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 
FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...AFTERNOON AND EVENING S WIND 15 KT. OVERNIGHT AND
MORNING WIND VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-261400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-261400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-261400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

PKZ132-261400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-261400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-261400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-261400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT MON JUN 25 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS INCREASING TO SW 15 KT AROUND NOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED THROUGH THU...AFTERNOON AND EVENING SW WIND 15 KT. OVERNIGHT 
AND MORNING WIND VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 24, 9:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 24, 9:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT SUN JUN 24 2007

.ANALYSIS...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN BERING ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. SHOWERS ARE
PRESENT FROM PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WEST THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING. A
FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AS WELL WITH PLENTY OF
PRECIP. HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND CENTRAL BERING
SEA. WIND SPEEDS CLOSE TO THE AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE ARE NEAR SMALL
CRAFT LEVELS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
12Z MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST 72 HOURS.
THEN...THERE EXISTS ONE UNCERTAINTY THAT HAS AN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
ONWARD. THE UNCERTAINTY ARISES FROM A SHORT WAVE THAT WILL TRAVERSE
THE BERING WEDNESDAY. DEPENDING ON THE PATH AND INTENSITY...IT WILL
CHANGE THE PROGRESSION OF THE CHUKCHI SEA UPPER LOW LATER IN THE
WEEK. THIS COULD MEAN THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN TROUGH OVER THE INTERIOR
FRIDAY REMAINING THROUGH THE WEEKEND OR A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE
AREA. RIGHT NOW SOME OF THE GFS ENSEMBLES AND EURO MODELS POINT
TOWARD RIDGE. A FEW MEMBERS AND THE OPERATIONAL GFS POINT TOWARD
TROUGH. THEREFORE...HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE NEWER GFS SOLUTION SINCE
THINKING IS THE WAVE WILL STAY TO THE SOUTH AND DROP INTO THE GULF
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY ALLOWING FOR THE TROUGH TO DIG OVER THE
INTERIOR.

.UPPER LEVELS...
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE STATE WITH TWO LOW CENTERS IN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS MORNING. ONE TO PUSH NORTH TOMORROW TO THE
CHUKCHI SEA WITH THE OTHER DEVELOPING INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER THE GULF
MONDAY. IN THE MEANTIME...A LOW REMAINS OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA.
THE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING TO PUSH TO THE EASTERN BERING
TUESDAY AS WELL.  A SHORT WAVE TO COME OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO
CROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY EVENING. THIS IS THE FEATURE TO
CREATE ALL THE UNCERTAINTY. A TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE INTERIOR...BUT
HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER EASTERN ALASKA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
ALEUTIANS...
FRONT ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
MONDAY THEN SPLIT. ANOTHER LOW TO DRIVE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND WORK TO ADAK TUESDAY. PRECIP
AND WINDS SHOULD PICK UP WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE LOW WILL WORK ACROSS
THE BERING KNOCKING DOWN THE HIGH PRESSURE WEDNESDAY. THE LOW WILL
EVENTUALLY DROP INTO THE GULF THURSDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE
SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE TO RE-AMPLIFY OVER THE WESTERN BERING.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
UPPER LEVEL LOW AND BROAD SURFACE LOW SITUATED OVER THE AREA WITH
WIDESPREAD PRECIP. A SHORT WAVE WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW MOVING SOUTH
OVER THE EASTERN BERING TO DISSIPATE TONIGHT. SOME INSTABILITY IN THE
CLEARING OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND CONVERGENCE FROM THE WEAK LOW
IN THE BERING. THE LOW COMPLEX TO LIFT NORTH TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
ENOUGH INSTABILITY WITH THE LOW TO SPARK CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN
MONDAY. SOME DRYING TO OCCUR BEHIND THE SYSTEM FOR TUESDAY.
HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE SOME RESIDUAL MOISTURE FOR INLAND CONVECTION
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE COAST THOUGH.
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION EXPECTED. THE LOW FROM THE BERING MOVES ACROSS THE AKPEN
THURSDAY FOR SOME SHOWERS STARTING WEDNESDAY NIGHT ALONG THE COAST
AND SOME INCREASE IN WIND.

SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...
UPPER LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
PROVIDING PLENTY OF PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA EXCEPT THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN. THE UPPER LOW DROPS INTO THE GULF TONIGHT...BUT PRECIP TO
CONTINUE OVER THE SAME AREAS. THE CURRENT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS THE LOW DROPS
INTO THE GULF. AS THIS HAPPENS...EASTERLY WINDS TO INCREASE THROUGH
WEST TO EAST GAPS. IN ADDITION...SOME DRYING TO OCCUR FROM THE EAST
TONIGHT AND THROUGH TOMORROW AS THE HIGH CENTER MOVES OVER THE KENAI
MONDAY NIGHT. THERMAL RIDGE THEN ALLOWED TO EXTEND FURTHER WEST OVER
THE INTERIOR WITH A LOW NOW IN THE SOUTHERN GULF. EXPECT INSTABILITY
AND TEMPERATURE TO RISE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE COPPER RIVER BASIN REACHED RED FLAG CRITERIA YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING AND IS EXPECTED THE SAME THIS AND MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. WINDS TO BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER TODAY. CONDITIONS TO
BE A BIT MORE MARGINAL TOMORROW. HUMIDITIES NOT EXPECTED TO INCREASE
DURING THIS PERIOD.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
FROM THE UNCERTAINTY DECISION DISCUSSED EARLIER...THERE SHOULD BE A
COOLER AND UNSETTLED AIR MASS OVER THE MAINLAND. SHOWERS WILL
DOMINATE THE GULF. A FRONT TO PUSH ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
BERING SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT FROM THE
WESTERN BERING TO THE EASTERN BERING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...DENSE FOG ADVISORY ZONE 131
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH MON EVENING ZONE 141

JN JUN 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 6:30 PM AKDTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC17 hr
Jun 24, 2:45 AM AKDTRed Flag WarningAFC42 hr
Jun 24, 3:40 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 hr
Jun 24, 4:55 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 hr
Jun 24, 6:17 AM AKDTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC7 hr
Jun 24, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007Every small craft advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.