Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007
Small Craft Advisory 489, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 3, 2007, 12:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 11 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 3, 2007, 12:00 AM AKDT (08:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 3, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK51 PAFC 031258 CCA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 500 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 CORRECTED HEADLINES ZONES 138 140 MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-040200- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 996 MB 700 NM SOUTH OF SITKA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB 400 NM WEST OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS SUN EVENING. THE LOW MOVES TO 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 988 MB MON AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING TO 995 MB AS IT MOVES ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND EARLY TUE MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GULF BEHIND THE LOW ON TUE. $$ PKZ120-040200- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-040200- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-040200- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-040200- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-040200- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ132-040200- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ138-040200- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-040200- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-040200- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
000 FZAK51 PAFC 031535 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 UPDATED ALL ZONES MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-040200- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 996 MB 700 NM SOUTH OF SITKA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB 400 NM WEST OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS SUN EVENING. THE LOW MOVES TO 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 988 MB MON AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING TO 995 MB AS IT MOVES ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND EARLY TUE MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GULF BEHIND THE LOW ON TUE. $$ PKZ120-040200- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG. VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG. .MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-040200- RESURRECTION BAY 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG. .TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-040200- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-040200- PASSAGE CANAL 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-040200- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ132-040200- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ138-040200- SHELIKOF STRAIT 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-040200- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-040200- KACHEMAK BAY 735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
000 FZAK51 PAFC 032305 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-041400- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 988 MB 400 NM SOUTH OF SITKA WILL WEAKEN TO 990 MB AS IT MOVES WITHIN 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN TO 995 MB 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MON NIGHT THEN DISSIPATES OVER KODIAK TUE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF BEHIND THE LOW ON TUE. $$ PKZ120-041400- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ121-041400- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTH WIND 10 KT OTHERWISE VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-041400- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-041400- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-041400- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ132-041400- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ138-041400- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-041400- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-041400- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 2, 12:00 PM AKDT, 12 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 12:00 PM AKDT, 12 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA 500 PM ADT SAT JUN 2 2007 .MODEL DISCUSSION... MODELS HAVE A FEW AREAS OF INDECISION TODAY. THERE IS NO DOUBT A LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF SUNDAY EVENING AND ROLL NORTHWEST TOWARD KODIAK MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE SPEED AND DEPTH OF THIS LOW IS IN QUESTION AS ALL MODELS HAVE A DIFFERENT SOLUTION AS IT EVENTUALLY DISSIPATES AND IS ABSORBED INTO THE BERING LOW TUESDAY. THE SAME GOES FOR THE BERING LOW BUT NOT AS DIVERSE. A LOW WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AND WORK TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS NEAR ADAK MONDAY. THE DEPTH AND EXACT LOCATION ARE A BIT DEBATABLE. THE LOW EVENTUALLY SETTLES IN THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY NIGHT. THE LOW REMAINS THERE THROUGH THURSDAY THEN UNCERTAINTY REIGNS. RIGHT NOW STICKING WITH 00Z GFS SOLUTION FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST SINCE IT IS HANDLING ALL THE LOW SIMILAR TO TODAYS SOLUTIONS. THE MAIN REASON IS IT IS A BIT FASTER THAN THE CURRENT GFS WITH THE LOW IN THE GULF ON MONDAY SIMILAR TO THE NAM AND CLOSER TO THE EC AND UKMET AT THAT TIME FRAME. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN IS ALSO FASTER. .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... CURRENTLY THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SITTING IN A 3 WAVE PATTERN MAYBE A WEAK 4. THE MAIN LOWS ARE CONCENTRATED OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC...EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND A COMPLEX OVER THE POLE TOWARD NORTHEAST ASIA. THE PATTERN SHIFTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE LOW REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS BUT A PIECE OF THE ASIAN LOW DRIFTS INTO THE BERING AND CREATES A TROUGH FROM EASTERN SIBERIA THROUGH THE BERING BY TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...THE LOW OVER THE ATLANTIC RETROGRADES TO THE HUDSON BAY AREA. THIS CUTS OFF THE RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA AND DISPLACES IT OVER THE ARCTIC NORTH OF ALASKA BY THURSDAY. THE HUDSON BAY LOW WEAKENS AND PUSHES POLEWARD INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS MOVEMENT WILL PUSH THE HIGH OVER THE ARCTIC FARTHER WEST RE-ORIENTING THE TROUGH OVER THE BERING MORE EAST WEST FROM THE SEA OF OKHOTSK THROUGH THE BERING. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... SOUTH CENTRAL... CURRENTLY HAVE A WEAK LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY A COUPLE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AS WELL. RAIN WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL THIS EVENING AND WANE THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING AS THE SHORT WAVES LEAVE THE AREA. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH WIND AS THE SURFACE PATTERN IS RELATIVELY WEAK. KODIAK ISLAND WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY DURING THIS EPISODE TONIGHT. AIR MASS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE. BELIEVE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THERE THROUGH SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY MONDAY AS WELL. THE BIGGER STORY IS THE LOW WORKING NORTH INTO THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW IS COUPLED WITH A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW AND STRONG WINDS AT ALL LEVELS. A FRONT WILL PUSH UP TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SUNDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE KENAI PENINSULA AND KODIAK MONDAY. CONSIDERABLE WARM AIR AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. STRONG WINDS WILL PUSH IN WITH AND BEHIND THIS FRONT AS HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE IS RIGHT BEHIND. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE COMBINED WITH A SHORT WAVE ALOFT WILL LIFT THE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COAST INLAND MONDAY EVENING. THE AIR MASS INLAND WILL BECOME MORE STABLE AS WELL. THE STRONG WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF INTO TUESDAY. SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER THE COASTAL AREAS TUESDAY AS THE LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES INTO THE BERING. WINDS WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BECOMING IN CONTROL OVER THE GULF. SHOWERS TO REMAIN ALONG THE COAST. A FRONT MOVES TO KODIAK WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASED WINDS AND SOME RAIN. SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA THROUGH SUNDAY. HOWEVER...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH TODAY WITH SOME SHOWERS. THE AIR MASS IS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE HERE AS WELL. BELIEVE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THE WAVE FROM THE GULF TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AS WELL. ONCE AGAIN...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH SURFACE WIND HERE AS WELL. THE HIGH PRESSURE IS PUSHED OUT BY THE FRONT WORKING ACROSS THE GULF MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL LIKELY PICK UP NEAR THE BOUNDARY WITH AN INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT. NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING STRONG THOUGH. PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY EVENING AND LEAVE BY TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE MOST PART. STRONGER EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ALEUTIAN RANGE. THE LOW IN THE GULF WILL WORK INTO BRISTOL BAY TUESDAY WITH SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. IN THE MEANTIME...ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY AND PUSH A FRONT TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. WINDS WILL PICK UP ALONG THE COAST AND MOUNTAINS. PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE FARTHER INLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS... WEAK BOUNDARY SITUATED OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WITH SOME SHOWERS AND FOG PERSISTENT. A COUPLE OF LOWS TO ENTER THE WESTERN BERING SEA SUNDAY. ONE WILL ENTER EAST OF KAMCHATKA NEAR 60N ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD CORE UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS LOW WILL HELP PICK UP WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SUNDAY BUT QUICKLY GET ROLLED INTO A BIGGER LOW COMPLEX MONDAY. THIS BIGGER LOW COMPLEX IS STARTED OFF FROM A LOW WORKING TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN NEAR ADAK WITH THE NORTHERN BERING LOW MOVING SOUTH ACROSS SHEMYA MONDAY EVENING AND EVENTUALLY JOINING THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN LOW TUESDAY. A STRONG JET WILL BE CENTERED SOUTH OF THIS COMPLEX. IN THIS TIME FRAME...THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA MOVES TO SIBERIA AND COMBINED WITH THE LOW ALONG THE ALEUTIANS MAKES FOR STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE BERING. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THIS COMPLEX TUESDAY TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF WEDNESDAY. THE LOW NOW RE-CENTERS OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING. .LONG TERM FORECAST... EXPECT A COOL AND WET PATTERN ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS WITH A WARMER PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE LONGWAVE RIDGE. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PERSISTS INLAND OVER SOUTH CENTRAL. HOWEVER...MOIST CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...NONE MARINE...NONE FIRE WEATHER...NONE JN JUN 07
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 11:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jun 2, 11:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Jun 2, 11:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Jun 2, 11:59 PM AKDT | Dense Fog Advisory | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Jun 3, 11:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jun 3, 11:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007Every small craft advisory in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.