Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007

Small Craft Advisory 489, NWS Anchorage, AK

June 3, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 3, 2007, 12:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2007, 12:00 AM AKDT (08:00 UTC)
Expired
Jun 3, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 031258 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
500 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

CORRECTED HEADLINES ZONES 138 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 MB 700 NM SOUTH OF SITKA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB 400 NM WEST
OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS SUN EVENING. THE LOW MOVES TO 250 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 988 MB MON AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING
TO 995 MB AS IT MOVES ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND EARLY TUE MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GULF BEHIND THE LOW ON TUE.
$$

PKZ120-040200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
2 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 031535 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

UPDATED ALL ZONES

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 MB 700 NM SOUTH OF SITKA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB 400 NM WEST
OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS SUN EVENING. THE LOW MOVES TO 250 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 988 MB MON AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING
TO 995 MB AS IT MOVES ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND EARLY TUE MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GULF BEHIND THE LOW ON TUE.
$$

PKZ120-040200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG.
VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040200-
RESURRECTION BAY
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040200-
PASSAGE CANAL
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040200-
KACHEMAK BAY
735 AM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 032305
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 988 MB 400 NM SOUTH OF SITKA WILL WEAKEN TO 990 MB AS IT MOVES
WITHIN 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN TO 995 MB 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MON NIGHT THEN DISSIPATES
OVER KODIAK TUE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF
BEHIND THE LOW ON TUE.

$$

PKZ120-041400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-041400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTH WIND 10 KT
OTHERWISE VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-041400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-041400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-041400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-041400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-041400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-041400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-041400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUN 3 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 2, 12:00 PM AKDT, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 12:00 PM AKDT, 12 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SAT JUN 2 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE A FEW AREAS OF INDECISION TODAY. THERE IS NO DOUBT A LOW
WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF SUNDAY EVENING AND ROLL NORTHWEST TOWARD
KODIAK MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE SPEED AND DEPTH OF THIS LOW IS IN
QUESTION AS ALL MODELS HAVE A DIFFERENT SOLUTION AS IT EVENTUALLY
DISSIPATES AND IS ABSORBED INTO THE BERING LOW TUESDAY. THE SAME GOES
FOR THE BERING LOW BUT NOT AS DIVERSE. A LOW WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST
OF SHEMYA AND WORK TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS NEAR ADAK MONDAY. THE DEPTH
AND EXACT LOCATION ARE A BIT DEBATABLE. THE LOW EVENTUALLY SETTLES IN
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY NIGHT. THE LOW REMAINS THERE THROUGH
THURSDAY THEN UNCERTAINTY REIGNS.

RIGHT NOW STICKING WITH 00Z GFS SOLUTION FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
FORECAST SINCE IT IS HANDLING ALL THE LOW SIMILAR TO TODAYS
SOLUTIONS. THE MAIN REASON IS IT IS A BIT FASTER THAN THE CURRENT GFS
WITH THE LOW IN THE GULF ON MONDAY SIMILAR TO THE NAM AND CLOSER TO
THE EC AND UKMET AT THAT TIME FRAME. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN IS ALSO
FASTER.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
CURRENTLY THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SITTING IN A 3 WAVE PATTERN MAYBE A
WEAK 4. THE MAIN LOWS ARE CONCENTRATED OVER THE NORTHERN
ATLANTIC...EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND A COMPLEX OVER THE POLE TOWARD
NORTHEAST ASIA. THE PATTERN SHIFTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE LOW
REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS BUT A PIECE OF THE ASIAN
LOW DRIFTS INTO THE BERING AND CREATES A TROUGH FROM EASTERN SIBERIA
THROUGH THE BERING BY TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...THE LOW OVER THE
ATLANTIC RETROGRADES TO THE HUDSON BAY AREA. THIS CUTS OFF THE RIDGE
OVER WESTERN CANADA AND DISPLACES IT OVER THE ARCTIC NORTH OF ALASKA
BY THURSDAY. THE HUDSON BAY LOW WEAKENS AND PUSHES POLEWARD INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. THIS MOVEMENT WILL PUSH THE HIGH OVER THE ARCTIC FARTHER
WEST RE-ORIENTING THE TROUGH OVER THE BERING MORE EAST WEST FROM THE
SEA OF OKHOTSK THROUGH THE BERING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL...
CURRENTLY HAVE A WEAK LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY
A COUPLE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AS WELL. RAIN WILL LIKELY SPREAD
OVER MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL THIS EVENING AND WANE THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING AS THE SHORT WAVES LEAVE THE AREA. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH WIND AS
THE SURFACE PATTERN IS RELATIVELY WEAK. KODIAK ISLAND WILL REMAIN
MOSTLY DRY DURING THIS EPISODE TONIGHT. AIR MASS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE
NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE. BELIEVE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THERE THROUGH SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY MONDAY AS WELL. THE BIGGER STORY IS
THE LOW WORKING NORTH INTO THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW IS
COUPLED WITH A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW AND STRONG WINDS AT ALL LEVELS. A
FRONT WILL PUSH UP TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SUNDAY NIGHT AND
THROUGH THE KENAI PENINSULA AND KODIAK MONDAY. CONSIDERABLE WARM AIR
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. STRONG WINDS WILL PUSH IN WITH AND BEHIND THIS
FRONT AS HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE IS RIGHT BEHIND. THE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE COMBINED WITH A SHORT WAVE ALOFT WILL LIFT THE
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COAST INLAND MONDAY EVENING. THE AIR MASS
INLAND WILL BECOME MORE STABLE AS WELL. THE STRONG WINDS WILL REMAIN
OVER THE GULF INTO TUESDAY. SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER THE COASTAL
AREAS TUESDAY AS THE LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES INTO THE BERING. WINDS
WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BECOMING IN CONTROL OVER THE GULF. SHOWERS TO REMAIN ALONG
THE COAST. A FRONT MOVES TO KODIAK WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASED WINDS AND
SOME RAIN.

SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA THROUGH SUNDAY.
HOWEVER...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH TODAY WITH SOME
SHOWERS. THE AIR MASS IS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE HERE AS WELL. BELIEVE A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THE WAVE
FROM THE GULF TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AS
WELL. ONCE AGAIN...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH SURFACE WIND HERE AS WELL. THE
HIGH PRESSURE IS PUSHED OUT BY THE FRONT WORKING ACROSS THE GULF
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL LIKELY PICK UP NEAR THE
BOUNDARY WITH AN INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT. NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING
STRONG THOUGH. PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
EVENING AND LEAVE BY TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE MOST PART. STRONGER
EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE. THE LOW IN THE GULF WILL WORK INTO BRISTOL BAY
TUESDAY WITH SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. IN THE MEANTIME...ANOTHER LOW
WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY AND PUSH A FRONT TOWARD
BRISTOL BAY. WINDS WILL PICK UP ALONG THE COAST AND MOUNTAINS.
PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE FARTHER
INLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
WEAK BOUNDARY SITUATED OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WITH SOME SHOWERS AND
FOG PERSISTENT. A COUPLE OF LOWS TO ENTER THE WESTERN BERING SEA
SUNDAY. ONE WILL ENTER EAST OF KAMCHATKA NEAR 60N ASSOCIATED WITH A
COLD CORE UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS LOW WILL HELP PICK UP WINDS OVER THE
NORTHWEST BERING SUNDAY BUT QUICKLY GET ROLLED INTO A BIGGER LOW
COMPLEX MONDAY. THIS BIGGER LOW COMPLEX IS STARTED OFF FROM A LOW
WORKING TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL
DEEPEN NEAR ADAK WITH THE NORTHERN BERING LOW MOVING SOUTH ACROSS
SHEMYA MONDAY EVENING AND EVENTUALLY JOINING THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN LOW
TUESDAY. A STRONG JET WILL BE CENTERED SOUTH OF THIS COMPLEX. IN THIS
TIME FRAME...THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA MOVES TO SIBERIA
AND COMBINED WITH THE LOW ALONG THE ALEUTIANS MAKES FOR STRONG
EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE BERING. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT
OF THIS COMPLEX TUESDAY TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF
WEDNESDAY. THE LOW NOW RE-CENTERS OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
EXPECT A COOL AND WET PATTERN ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS
WITH A WARMER PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE LONGWAVE RIDGE. DRIER CONDITIONS
WILL PERSISTS INLAND OVER SOUTH CENTRAL. HOWEVER...MOIST CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN JUN 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 2, 11:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Jun 2, 11:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Jun 2, 11:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Jun 2, 11:59 PM AKDTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC11 hr
Jun 3, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jun 3, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007Every small craft advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.