Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007

Small Craft Advisory 45, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 11, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 11, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 11, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST (08:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 12, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 121241
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 999 MB LOW NEAR DILLINGHAM WILL MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE BY SAT
MORNING. A 981 MB LOW 270 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 997 MB BY SUN MORNING. A COMPLEX 986 MB LOW
WILL BE CENTERED 300 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT SAT NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-130300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-130300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-130300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-130300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-130300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ170-130300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-130300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-130300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-130300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-130300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-130300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.

.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-130300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 130024
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 984 MB LOW 125 NM WEST OF HOOPER BAY WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO 
THE BERING STRAIT WED NIGHT. A 968 MB LOW 300 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA
WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH FRI. 
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO BRISTOL
BAY THU NIGHT AND FRI.
$$

PKZ150-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.

.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-131500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 130140 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A COMPLEX 984 MB LOW CENTERED 300 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN
TO 993 MB AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A
NORTHERN PACIFIC LOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO 982 MB 500 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.

.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-131500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST FRI JAN 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 131238
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-140300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 988 MB LOW 390 NM SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI WILL BECOME A 996 MB LOW 
420 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD SUN NIGHT. A 987 MB LOW NEAR 360 NM NORTHWEST
OF SHEMYA WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 995 MB BY MON
MORNING. A NEW 980 MB LOW WILL BE 360 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK SUN NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-140300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-140300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-140300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-140300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-140300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ170-140300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON...STRONGEST TO THE SOUTH. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-140300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-140300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. NW WIND 20 KT WEST
OF ATKA. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-140300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-140300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-140300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-140300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST SAT JAN 13 2007

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 11, 9:00 AM AKST, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 9:00 AM AKST, 14 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST THU JAN 11 2007

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY STABLE PATTERN IS SETTING UP OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. A LONG
WAVE (NEARLY FULL LATITUDE) RIDGE HAS SET UP ALONG ABOUT 140W
LONGITUDE. A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND NORTHWEST
PACIFIC IS STEERING THE POLAR JET THAT TRAVELS OFF OF ASIA AT AROUND
40N LATITUDE THEN TAKES A TURN NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE DATE LINE. THE
SUBTROPICAL JET SURGES NORTHEASTWARD AND MEETS THE POLAR JET NEAR
KODIAK...THOUGH CONSOLIDATION IS MINIMAL WITH THE WARM AND COLD AIR
SOMEWHAT SEPARATED. THIS IS PUNCHING A WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO
ALASKA. THIS IS ONE OF THE PREFERRED MODES DURING EL NINO
YEARS...THOUGH ONE WOULD EXPECT THE JET TO PERIODICALLY UNDERCUT THE
EAST PACIFIC RIDGE.

COASTAL LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY WARMED CONSIDERABLY...AND MODERATING
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A
SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. MAINLAND ALASKA WILL MOSTLY BE ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE
STORM TRACK AS THE EAST PACIFIC RIDGE REMAINS STRONG...BUT A FEW
WILL BRIEFLY CONSOLIDATE THE COLD AND WARM AIR. ONE OF THESE
STRONGER SYSTEMS WILL SPIN UP SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS SATURDAY...AND INTO
THE SOUTH CENTRAL AREA MONDAY...BEFORE BREAKING APART EARLY TUESDAY.

THE GENERAL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 10 DAYS...
AND MOST LIKELY A LOT LONGER. THIS WILL PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA WITH ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION
(ESPECIALLY COASTAL AREAS).

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HEAVY SNOW WARNING 145.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 120 130 132 150.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG JAN 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 11:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC14 hr
Jan 12, 1:55 AM AKSTSnow AdvisoryAFC27 hr
Jan 12, 5:55 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 hr
Jan 12, 12:55 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC58 hr
Jan 12, 12:55 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007Every small craft advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.