Small Craft Advisory 17, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST THUR JAN 4 2007

.DISCUSSION...NAM/GFS MODEL MSLP LOOK QUITE REASONABLE FOR LOW IN
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA.  MOST OF THE MOISTURE IN THIS SYSTEM LOOKS
LIKE IT SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL THIS EVENING EAST OF PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND.  NEXT SYSTEM DEVELOPING JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS...GFS IS A
BIT SLOWER BUT MSLP ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT.

MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS THE CUTOFF LOW POSITIONED OVER WESTERN
AK. EXPECTING COLD AND CLEAR FOR MOST OF THE WEST OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.  FOG AND LOW CLOUDS CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY OVER MUCH
OF THE AREA AS WELL. EXPECT SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS NEAR THE
BRISTOL BAY COAST.  SOME MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY MORNING IN THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN TIP OF AK
PEN. OTHERWISE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. SOUTHCENTRAL...SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST OTHERWISE
MAINLY COLD AND CLEAR.  AREAS OF FOG AND FREEZING FOG HIGHLY PROBABLE
IN LOW LYING AREAS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 181 185
MARINE...GALE 150, 155, 170, 171, 172
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 120, 121, 130, 132, 150, 165, 185, 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC JAN 07