Small Craft Advisory 149, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 110051 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
450 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

CORRECT ZONE 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF THROUGH SUN NIGHT. A 
970 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-111500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-111500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE WIND 10 KT TOWARD
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-111500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-111500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE WIND 10 KT THIS
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON ...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-111500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-111500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-111500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-111500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. AREAS
OF FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. AREAS OF
FOG. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-111500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 111247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF THROUGH SUN NIGHT. A
DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW INTENSIFIES TO 970 MB AS IT MOVES TO 
200 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-120300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-120300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-120300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-120300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-120300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-120300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-120300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-120300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ141-120300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 120039
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL DISSIPATE MON MORNING. A 988 MB
LOW 375 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK SUN NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 175 NM EAST OF
KODIAK CITY AT 987 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 


$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-121500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AST SAT FEB 10 2007

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE EAST...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN AS A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE INTERIOR
OF THE STATE STRENGTHENS. THIS RIDGE WILL FINALLY DISSIPATE MONDAY
NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA.
FOG AND STRATUS REMAIN AN ISSUE OVER A LARGE PART OF THE AREA. THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN AND EASTERN PART OF COOL INLET HAVE A LARGE AMOUNT
OF FOG AND STRATUS. MOST OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY HAS CLEARED OUT
POSSIBLY DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH INCREASING THE VERTICAL MIXING
OF THE AIR. GUSTY WINDS THROUGH PASSES HAVE CLEARED OUT THE VALDEZ
SEWARD AND WHITTIER AREAS.

IN THE WEST...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
WILL DEVELOP INTO A CUT OFF LOW NEAR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SUNDAY.
THIS LOW WILL SLOWLY WORK ITS WAY INTO THE BERING SEA BY TUESDAY AND
DISPLACE A WEAK RIDGE THAT IS IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. THE SURFACE
LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW IS SOUTH OF ATKA AND WILL BECOME A
COMPLEX LOW THAT REMAINS OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS UNTIL AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK NEXT WEEK. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS
BRING GUSTY WINDS UP TO 55 MPH TODAY. THESE WINDS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BE SNOW IN THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WHILE THE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN OVER
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE GENERAL TREND WILL BE FOR THE ATMOSPHERE
TO COOL OVER THIS AREA WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE UPPER LOW AND TURN
ALL PRECIPITATION TO SNOW OVER THE ALEUTIANS BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
IN THE MAINLAND PART OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE
AN ISSUE THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

THE JET STREAM WILL REMAIN A NON FACTOR OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS IT REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE EASTERN SECTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH MONDAY. THE GFS BRINGS IN A STRONGER LOW TO THE GULF
THAN DOES THE NAM AND THE GFS SOLUTION IS PREFERRED IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA AREA PAST MONDAY. IN THE WEST THE GFS SOLUTION HAS BEEN
WORKING BETTER WITH THE DUTCH HARBOR WINDS TODAY. THE MOVEMENT OF THE
LOW COMPLEX ON THE GFS ALSO IS PREFERRED AS THE NAM BRINGS THE
SURFACE LOW TOO FAR WEST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 150 170 171 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

FEB 07