High Surf Advisory 1, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
WHAK42 PAFC 072001
CFWALU

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1159 AM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

.A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING SATURDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A STRONG
SOUTHERLY WIND WHICH WILL BRING HIGHER SEAS DIRECTLY TO THE
SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST. COMBINED WITH HIGH TIDES...HIGH SURF IS
EXPECTED FROM TOGIAK BAY TO SCAMMON BAY SATURDAY NIGHT.

AKZ155-080815-
/X.NEW.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
1159 AM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 2 AM ADT
SUNDAY FROM GOODNEWS BAY TO SCAMMON BAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 2 AM ADT
SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHT WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

AKZ161-080815-
/X.NEW.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
BRISTOL BAY-
1159 AM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 2 AM ADT
SUNDAY FROM TOGIAK BAY TO GOODNEWS BAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 2 AM ADT
SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHT WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

000 
WHAK42 PAFC 080007
CFWALU

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
407 PM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

.A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING SATURDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A STRONG
SOUTHERLY WIND WHICH WILL BRING HIGHER SEAS DIRECTLY TO THE
SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST. COMBINED WITH HIGH TIDES...HIGH SURF IS
EXPECTED FROM TOGIAK BAY TO HOOPER BAY SATURDAY NIGHT.

AKZ155-090015-
/X.CON.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
407 PM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY FROM GOODNEWS BAYS TO HOOPER BAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 2 AM
ADT SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHT WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

AKZ161-090015-
/X.CON.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
BRISTOL BAY-
407 PM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY FROM TOGIAK BAY TO GOODNEWS BAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 2 AM
ADT SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHT WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

000 
WHAK42 PAFC 080648
CFWALU

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1048 PM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

.A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING SATURDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A STRONG
SOUTHERLY WIND WHICH WILL BRING HIGHER SEAS DIRECTLY TO THE
SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST. COMBINED WITH HIGH TIDES...HIGH SURF IS
EXPECTED FROM TOGIAK BAY TO HOOPER BAY SATURDAY NIGHT.

AKZ155-081900-
/X.CON.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
1048 PM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY FROM GOODNEWS BAY TO HOOPER BAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 2 AM
ADT SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHTS WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

AKZ161-081900-
/X.CON.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
BRISTOL BAY-
1048 PM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY FROM TOGIAK BAY TO GOODNEWS BAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 2 AM
ADT SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHTS WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

000 
WHAK42 PAFC 081901
CFWALU

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1101 AM ADT SAT SEP 8 2007

.A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING TODAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A STRONG
SOUTHERLY WIND WHICH WILL BRING HIGHER SEAS DIRECTLY TO THE
SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST. COMBINED WITH HIGH TIDES...HIGH SURF IS
EXPECTED FROM TOGIAK BAY TO HOOPER BAY SATURDAY NIGHT.

AKZ155-091000-
/X.CON.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
1101 AM ADT SAT SEP 8 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHTS WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

AKZ161-091000-
/X.CON.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
BRISTOL BAY-
1101 AM ADT SAT SEP 8 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHTS WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

000 
WHAK42 PAFC 082206 CCA
CFWALU

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1101 AM ADT SAT SEP 8 2007

CORRECTED HEADLINE

.A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING TODAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A STRONG
SOUTHERLY WIND WHICH WILL BRING HIGHER SEAS DIRECTLY TO THE
SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST. COMBINED WITH HIGH TIDES...HIGH SURF IS
EXPECTED FROM TOGIAK BAY TO HOOPER BAY SATURDAY NIGHT.

AKZ155-091000-
/X.CON.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
1101 AM ADT SAT SEP 8 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 
AM ADT SUNDAY FROM GOODNEWS BAY TO HOOPER BAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHTS WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

AKZ161-091000-
/X.CON.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.070909T0200Z-070909T1000Z/
BRISTOL BAY-
1101 AM ADT SAT SEP 8 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 
AM ADT SUNDAY TOGIAK BAY TO GOODNEWS BAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 AM ADT SUNDAY. 

WAVE HEIGHTS WILL PEAK IN THE EVENING ON SATURDAY AS HIGH TIDE
APPROACHES THEN SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE MAXIMUM ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

000 
WHAK42 PAFC 090936
CFWALU

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
136 AM ADT SUN SEP 9 2007


AKZ155-161-091045-
/X.CAN.PAFC.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070909T1000Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-BRISTOL BAY-
136 AM ADT SUN SEP 9 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
SURF ADVISORY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
515 AM ADT FRI SEP 7 2007

.ANALYSIS...
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS IS THE MAIN
WEATHER FEATURE TODAY AS IT IS BRINGING GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE
WESTERN AND EASTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND THE BERING. IT SPREAD ITS
FIRST FRONT OVER THE WESTERN ALASKAN COAST LAST NIGHT AND IS
CURRENTLY PUSHING ANOTHER STRONGER FRONT ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
JUST WEST OF UNALASKA. THE OLD FRONT IS DISSIPATING ACROSS THE
MAINLAND AND BRINGING SHOWERS TO SOUTHCENTRAL. ANOTHER LOW IS
STRENGTHENING NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA AND SLOWLY MOVES SOUTHEAST
INTO THE BERING. A WARM FRONT IS HEADING NORTH THROUGH THE GULF TO
REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST THIS EVENING. A RIDGE LIES ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
ALL MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT BERING LOW...EXCEPT NAM
WAS OFF AGAIN WITH THE 00Z POSITION...OVER 200 MILES TO THE WEST OF
THE ACTUAL POSITION. THEN 12 HOURS LATER IT COMES MORE INTO AGREEMENT
WITH THE OTHER MODELS. THE MODELS THEN DIVERGE ON THE POSITION OF THE
LOW NEAR KAMCHATKA AS IT DROPS DOWN INTO THE BERING TO COMBINE WITH
THE PREVIOUS LOW. THE MODELS HAVE SEEMED TO BE PERSISTENT AND HAVE
RELATIVE AGREEMENT WITH BRINGING THE DISSIPATING TYPHOON FITOW
CURRENTLY NEAR JAPAN TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY. THIS IS LEADING
TO MORE CONFIDENCE IN THE LONGER TERM FORECAST.

.UPPER LEVELS...
A LARGE UPPER LOW IS SITUATED OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WHILE A
BROAD RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF REACHING INTO THE EASTERN MAINLAND. THE
BERING LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST PUSHING MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES AROUND
IT THROUGH TONIGHT. IT WILL THEN WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTH SATURDAY AS A
LOW OVER WESTERN RUSSIA DROPS INTO THE BERING. A SHORTWAVE WILL PICK
UP THE FORMER TYPHOON FITOW SUNDAY AND WRAPPING IT INTO THE BERING BY
MONDAY TO BRING AT LEAST MAXIMUM GALES. THE LARGE LOW LOOKS TO HOLD
ON OVER THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE RIDGE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST IS BEING SQUEEZED
AS THE WARM FRONT IN THE GULF PUSHES INTO THE COAST. THE ALREADY
PRESENT GAP WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TODAY AS FRONT ARRIVES TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND AREAS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE TODAY FROM THE FIRST FRONT OF
THE BERING LOW...THEN TONIGHT WILL SEE HEAVIER AMOUNTS AND LARGER
COVERAGE AS THE SECOND AND STRONGER FRONT SPREADS OVER THE MAINLAND.
AS LOW PRESSURE AT ALL LEVELS IN THE BERING SETS UP SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OVER THE MAINLAND...EXPECT CONTINUED RAINY AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AS THE STRONGER SECOND FRONT NEARS THE WESTERN
COAST TODAY...LOOK FOR WINDS TO BE INCREASING UP TO GALE FORCE ALONG
THE COASTS. THE CONTINUOUS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL NOT ONLY KEEP
SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA UNDER RAINY AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS BUT WILL ALSO
CAUSE SEAS TO SWELL ALONG THE COASTS UNDER A CONSTANT WIND FETCH. A
CLOSE EYE WILL BE KEPT ON THESE FOR WATCH/WARNING PURPOSES.

BERING AND ALEUTIANS...THE LARGE LOW WILL TRAVEL EAST ALONG THE CHAIN
THROUGH TONIGHT THEN WEAKEN AND LIFT OFF TO THE NORTH AS ANOTHER LOW
DROPS DOWN FROM RUSSIA TO FORM A LOW COMPLEX. FORMER TYPHOON FITOW
WILL ENTER INTO THE COMPLEX TO STRENGTHEN THE LOW STARTING MONDAY AND
BRING MAX GALES AND POSSIBLE MIN STORMS TO THE AREA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE OVERALL UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OF A LOW IN THE BERING AND A RIDGE
OVER EASTERN ALASKA LOOKS TO HOLD ON THROUGH MOST OF NEXT
WEEK...CONTINUING THE MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE MAINLAND AND
EASTERN AND CENTRAL BERING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 120 130 132 150 160 165 170 175 176 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

LR SEP 07