Gale Warning 945, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 020012
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-021500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA DRIFTS WEST AND
DISSIPATES SUNDAY. A 983 MB LOW MOVES TO 240 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS CENTER BECOMES STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIES
TO 976 MB MONDAY AFTERNOON. A 999 MB LOW MOVES TO 340 NM NORTHWEST OF
SHEMYA SUNDAY NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-021500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO NE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-021500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-021500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-021500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-021500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-021500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-021500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-021500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-021500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007


.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-021500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-021500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-021500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST FRI NOV 30 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS/NAM IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH MON. GFS LAST
COUPLE OF RUNS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT. SO WILL LEAN WITH GFS
THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
.WEST...PARENT LOW CENTER OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN AND MOVES TO OVER EASTERN RUSSIA SAT. 977 MB CENTER MOVED INTO
THE BERING AS AS IT CROSSED UNALASKA THIS MORNING. THIS CENTER WILL
CONTINUE NW TRACK TO OVER SE RUSSIA TONIGHT. WINDS WILL RELAX
OVERNIGHT OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN BERING SEA/SW AK COASTAL ZONES AS
PRESSURE GRADIENTS RELAX. EXPECT WIND WARNING CONDITIONS TO END BY 4
PM THIS AFTERNOON ZONE 181 AND BY MIDNIGHT OVER ZONES 155 AND 161.
HOWEVER...STRONG WIND HEADLINES WILL CONTINUE INTO SAT MORNING FOR
ZONES 155 AND 161. FRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA/AK PEN
WEAKENS AND DRIFTS SW AS OFFSHORE FLOW SETUP UP OVER THE SW MAINLAND.
UPPER BLOCKING HIGH SETS UP ALOFT THIS WEEKEND...THIS WILL TRANSLATE
INTO COLD...DRY...AND LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS INTO MON. MODEL TENDS
TO BREAK BLOCK DOWN ON TUE...IF THIS OCCURS LOW CENTER WILL MOVE TO
THE AK PEN AND BRING MOISTURE AS FAR NORTH AS ZONES 161/155.

.EAST...UPPER HIGH PINCHES OFF NEAR THE ARCTIC SAT. THIS SETS UP A NE
JET OVER THE EASTERN MAINLAND AND GULF COAST SAT WHICH SHIFTS TO
SOUTHCENTRAL SAT NIGHT AND SUN. THIS COMBINED WITH COLD ADVECTION
FROM CANADA AND BUILDING PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY
STRONG WIND CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF MAINLAND THIS WEEKEND. EXPECT
WINDS WILL REACH WARNING LEVELS ZONE 131 SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN AND
MAY APPROACH SAME LEVEL IN ZONE 111 ON SUN. GENERAL TIMING WITH BE
WITH THE INSET OF JET SUPPORT...COLD ADVECTION...AND PRESSURE
GRADIENT MAXES. COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS WHICH SET UP OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL TRANSLATE IN TO LOCALIZED WIND CHILL
CONCERNS. COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE MAINLAND
THROUGH MON...HOWEVER...MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN
GULF MON NIGHT AND TUE MAY BRING A SHOT OF SNOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING ZONES 155 161 AND 181. HIGH WIND WATCH
         ZONE 131.

MARINE...STORMS 165 180 185.  GALES 132 150 155 AND 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC NOV 07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
121 AM AST SAT DEC 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 100 SSW BETHEL          59.43N 162.86W
11/30/2007  M78 MPH          PKZ180             AK   AWOS

            THE CAPE NEWENHAM AWOS REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 78 MPH
            DURING THE EVENING OF NOVEMBER 30, 2007. ACTUAL DISTANCE
            FROM BETHEL IS 150 MILES.

&&

AMD