Gale Warning 805, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 191259
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST MON NOV 19 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-200300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 977 MB LOW NEAR 49N 161W WILL MOVE TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AT 980 MB. A 1007 MB LOW NEAR 54N 174W WILL DISSIPATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. A 985 MB LOW NEAR 53N 161E WILL MOVE TO 51N 167W TUESDAY
NIGHT AT 990 MB.

$$

PKZ411-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AST MON NOV 19 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING E WIND 40 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AST MON NOV 19 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AST MON NOV 19 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 20 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT THIS AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ414-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AST MON NOV 19 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1128 AM AST SUN NOV 18 2007

AFTER A SNOWY START TO THIS WEEK A CHANGE TO THE PATTERN WILL
PRODUCE WINDY AND MILD CONDITIONS STARTING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY NIGHT

UPPER TROF OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR HAS NEARLY PHASED WITH THE
GULF SYSTEM AND BOTH ARE MOVING BASICALLY NORTHEAST. SNOW..2 TO 5
INCHES ON AVERAGE..NOW FALLING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA IS ENDING
FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS THE SHORTWAVE SWINGS NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE
HAS SLOWED ITS MOVEMENT IN THE NORTHERN COOK INLET AREA AS THE GULF
LOW IS PROVING TO BE A HARD ITEM TO KICK OUT.

AREAS OF SNOW ARE FALLING LIGHTLY THE SOUTHWEST COAST AS A FRONT
DIES OUT THERE. THE TRAILING EDGE OF THIS THING IS STRONG ENUF FOR
SOME DECENT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THE STRONG
NORTHWEST JET AND ASSOCIATED DOWNWARD AIR MOTION ARE ABOUT TO END
THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CLOUDS ARE NOW ON THE INCREASE KODIAK ISLAND
AS THE UPSTREAM SYSTEM SLIDES EAST SOUTHEAST.

RATHER STRONG STORM SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL TURN NORTHWARD AS IT
GETS INSIDE 160W EARLY MONDAY. WINDY WET WEATHER DEVELOPS KODIAK
ISLAND MONDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS PLACE A 975 MB LOW CENTER IN BRISTOL
BAY NEAR 160W TUESDAY EVENING. THIS WILL PULL GOOD WARM AIR
NORTHWARD ALONG WITH HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND RISING SNOW LEVELS IN
ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW MOVES NORTHWARD FROM THERE
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER WESTERN
CANADA WILL PRODUCE VERY MILD CHINOOK TYPE WIND CONDITIONS OVER MUCH
OF SOUTHERN AND EVEN INTERIOR ALASKA ON WEDNESDAY. LOW LEVEL SNOW
COVER COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY EATEN AWAY BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

LOOK FOR BRISK NORTH WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE PRIBILOFS WEST
THIS WEEK WHILE A SERIES OF NORTH PACIFIC LOWS KEEP TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN MAINLAND ALASKA
FOR POSSIBLY THE REST OF NOVEMBER.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 120 121 125 130 150 170 175 176 351 352 411 412 413.

DPERCY NOV 07