Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2007
Gale Warning 772, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 27, 2007, 11:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 27, 2007, 11:00 PM AKDT (07:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 28, 2007, 10:30 PM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK51 PAFC 281157 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-290200- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1000 MB LOW NEAR KODIAK THIS MORNING MOVES TO 59N 151W THIS AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATES. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA MON WHILE A 970 MB LOW MOVES TO 55N 156W. THIS LOW MOVES ONSHORE THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA AT 964 MB MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-290200- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ121-290200- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 2 FT EXCEPT 5 FT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD...E WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-290200- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ129-290200- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-290200- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...BARREN ISLANDS WEST...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S WIND 15 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ132-290200- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ138-290200- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-290200- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-290200- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
000 FZAK51 PAFC 282313 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-291400- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA MON WHILE A 970 MB LOW MOVES TO 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE INTO LOWER COOK INLET AT 962 MB TUE. $$ PKZ120-291400- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU AND FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ121-291400- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-291400- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ129-291400- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-291400- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ132-291400- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ138-291400- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ140-291400- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-291400- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 28 2007 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
000 FZAK51 PAFC 301129 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 330 AM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 UPDATED ZONE 130 MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-301400- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 972 MB 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES OVER SOUTHERN COOK INLET TUESDAY MORNING. THIS LOW THEN CONTINUES NORTH AND MOVES INLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A 984 MB LOW MOVES TO 170 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-301400- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER GUSTS 65 KT FROM HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE EAST DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ121-301400- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NORTH OF CAINES HEAD...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD...EAST WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-301400- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE DIMINISHING BY MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ129-301400- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-301400- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 330 AM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. E WIND 35 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 50 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. E WIND 35 KT ELSEWHERE. SW WIND 50 KT EAST OF THE BARREN ISLAND IN THE AFTERNOON...W WIND 30 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-301400- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT. GUSTS TO 65 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ138-301400- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-301400- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER GUSTS 65 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM...GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-301400- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM ADT MON OCT 29 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 27, 10:00 AM AKDT, 13 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 10:00 AM AKDT, 13 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM ADT SAT OCT 27 2007
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE STATE REMAINS UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL
LONG WAVE TROUGH. THERE IS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL CENTER OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA THAT HAS A SUMER OF SHORT WAVES ROTATING AROUND IT BRINGING
SHOWERS INTO KODIAK ISLAND...SOUTHERN COOK INLET...AND INTO THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE.
A SURFACE LOW SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL ALSO BRING A FEW MORE
SHOWERS INTO THE KODIAK AREA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS IT MOVES
NORTH OF THE ISLAND AND THEN DISSIPATES SUNDAY.
A LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MERGE WITH A LOW DEVELOPING IN
THE PACIFIC JUST EAST OF DUTCH HARBOR SUNDAY EVENING. THIS LOW WILL
BECOME A BIG WEATHER MAKER.
THERE WAS A TROPICAL STORM NAMED FAXAI OFF THE COAST OF JAPAN THAT
HAS NOW WEAKENED AND THE JET STREAM ASSOCIATED WITH IS MOVING
EASTWARD SPAWNING A NEW LOW. THIS JET STREAM IS QUITE IMPRESSIVE WITH
ITS TROPICAL CONNECTION IN THAT IT IS DIRECTLY LINKED INTO A STRONG
LOW IN THE PHILIPPINES. THIS JET STREAM IS CLEARLY SEEN ON THE
COMPOSITE IR SATELLITE LOOKING AT THE WESTERN PACIFIC. THIS DIRECT
TROPICAL FEED INTO THE REMNANTS OF THE FORMER TROPICAL STORM IS WHAT
IS MOST LIKELY CAUSING THE GREAT CONFUSION IN THE WEATHER MODELS.
MORE ON THIS IN THE NEXT SECTION. WHAT IS FAIRLY CERTAIN IS THAT THIS
REDEVELOPING SYSTEM WILL MERGE WITH THE BERING SEA LOW SUNDAY EVENING
AND THEN BE A STRONG LOW THAT MOVES INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE FORECAST
AREA.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...IN THE NEAR TERM THE MODELS ARE DOING WELL.
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON ANY ONE OF THE MAJOR FOUR CAN BE USED WITH A
FAIRLY HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE. IT WI WHEN THE EXTRA-TROPICAL
SYSTEM MOVES IN THAT THEY COME APART. THE MODELS ARE NOTORIOUSLY BAD
AT RESOLVING EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEMS...ESPECIALLY THE AMOUNT OF DEEP
MOISTURE AND WARM AIR THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH THEM. THE ECMWF AND THE
GFS HAD QUITE DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS YESTERDAY AND NOW THEY ARE STILL
DIFFERENT BUT EACH ONE NOW HAS THE APPROXIMATE SOLUTION THE OTHER ONE
HAD YESTERDAY FOR THE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY FORECAST PERIODS.
THEREFORE THERE IS NOT A HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL
SOLUTION. HOWEVER LOOKING AT WHAT IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN WITH THIS
APPROACHING SYSTEM THERE IS A REASONABLE SOLUTION THAT CAN BE COME UP
WITH.
WHAT I LIKE ABOUT THE ECMWF SOLUTION IS THAT IT IS THE STRONGEST OF
THE MODELS WITH THE LOW. THE LOW WILL LIKELY BE STRONG DUE TO ITS
HISTORY OF BEING A TROPICAL STORM AND THE CONTINUED TROPICAL
CONNECTION.IT ALSO KEEP STRENGTHENING THE LOW AS COLDER AIR FROM THE
BERING SEA IS PUMPED INTO IT. HOWEVER I DO NOT LIKE THE TRACK ON IT.
IT IS BEING KEPT SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND THEN CONTINUES
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS SEEMS QUITE SUSPECT DUE TO THE UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT. WITH THIS LOW MERGING WITH THE LOW IN THE BERING SEA
AND THE JET STREAM PUSHING EASTWARD...THE ENERGY IN THE SYSTEM SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MOVE FORWARD AND NOT DEVELOP IN A WAVE SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. ALSO AS THE LOW STRENGTHENS IT WILL NATURALLY WANT
TO CURVE A LITTLE MORE TO THE LEFT WHICH IS WHAT BOTH THE GFS AND
UKMET MODELS ARE SHOWING. THE UKMET AND GFS HOWEVER LOOK TO BE MUCH
TOO WEAK. THEREFORE THE BASIC THINKING IN TODAYS IS THAT THE TRACK
WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE GFS SOLUTION THAT WILL BRING IT ON SHORE IN
THE UPPER PART OF BRISTOL BAY. UKMET BRINGS IN INTO LOWER COOK INLET.
EITHER WAY THE STRENGTH WILL BE MUCH DEEPER THAT WITHER THE GFS OR
UKMET IS SHOWING.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
WILL KEEP SOME SHOWERS IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH
SUNDAY. CLEARING SKIES IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL ALLOW RADIATION
FOG TO DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT. PARTS OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THIS AS WELL. A FRONTAL BAND
BETWEEN THE AIRMASS IN THE BERING SEA AND THE PACIFIC LOW WILL BRING
RAIN TO THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE BERING SEA AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL BE ON
THE COLD ADVECTION BACK END OF THE BIG LOW AS IT MOVES THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. THE FAR EASTERN PART OF THE AREA WILL BE ON THE WARM ADVECTION
SIDE. IN BETWEEN WILL DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE
LOW AS IT HEADS INTO THE AREA. SEE THE MODEL FORECAST SECTION FOR
MORE DETAILS.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 150 160 165 171 175 176.
STORM 155 170 172.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
OCT 07The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 67 hr | |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 28, 11:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 28, 11:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 28, 11:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 28, 11:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.