Gale Warning 438, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 221447 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
645 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

UPDATED ZONE 120 138 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A LARGE 972 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO 350 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT SUN NIGHT AT 978 MB THEN WEAKEN FURTHER TO
986 MB 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-230200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
645 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-230200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-230200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-230200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-230200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-230200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-230200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
645 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-230200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
645 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-230200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 222309
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 325 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL WEAKEN TO 983 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL 
THEN DRIFT TO 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHIGNIK TUE AFTERNOON. A FRONT
EXTENDING FROM THIS LOW AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL MOVE 
TO THE NORTH GULF COAST LATE SUN NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE ON MON.
$$

PKZ120-231400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11
FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-231400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-231400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-231400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-231400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-231400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-231400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-231400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SUN APR 22 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 231203
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW 325 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK WILL DRIFT TO WITHIN 100 MN
SOUTH OF KODIAK AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB BY TUE NIGHT. A FRONT EXTENDING
FROM THIS LOW AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH
GULF COAST ON MON AND THEN DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-240200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-240200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-240200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-240200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-240200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 23 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT SAT APR 21 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE INITIALIZED MOISTURE FIELDS WELL AND POSITION OF THE LOW
SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN CHAIN. HOWEVER...MODELS UNCERTAINTY IS
HIGH WITH A SECOND LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN SUNDAY
NIGHT. ALL MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE A STRONG TENDENCY TOWARD A
SLOWER SOLUTION...BUT THEN AGAIN SOME ARE A BIT FASTER.

.UPPER LEVELS...
BIG PICTURE HAS AN ARCTIC LOW NORTH OF CENTRAL RUSSIA WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING INTO THE WESTERN BERING. THE TROUGH IN THE BERING BECOMES
THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TOMORROW WITH A LARGE LOW
PARKED OVER EASTERN RUSSIA. THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
TO SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE GULF AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEK AS THE LOW
IN MONGOLIA WEAKENS AS WELL. HOWEVER...A COLD CORE LOW DEVELOPS OVER
MONGOLIA BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

IN THE SMALLER PICTURE...CURRENTLY THERE IS A CLOSED LOW SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH A RIDGE OVER THE YUKON AND PANHANDLE. THE
CLOSED LOW TO PUSH INTO THE WESTERN GULF SHIFTING THE RIDGE EAST OF
THE PANHANDLE TOMORROW NIGHT. A SECONDARY LOW TO RIDE IN ON THE NEXT
JET STREAK MONDAY. THIS IS THE SYSTEM THAT IS UNCERTAIN ON THE DEPTH
AND SPEED. RIGHT NOW THE CURRENT MODELS HAVE SLOWED IT UP AND MADE IT
NOT AS DEEP AS PREVIOUS RUNS. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AS SOME
MEMBERS OF THE ENSEMBLE VARY FROM THIS SOLUTION. AS TIME GOES ON
THOUGH...THE SOLUTIONS ARE VERY SIMILAR THROUGH THURSDAY. THE LOW IN
THE GULF WEAKENS OVER TIME AS THE NEW LOW BECOMES CLOSED TUESDAY AND
THEN SLOWLY WORKS INTO THE GULF BY THURSDAY WITH A RIDGE DEVELOPING
OVER THE BERING INTO FRIDAY. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL RIDE DOWN THE
FRONT OF THE RIDGE INTO THE LARGE CLOSED LOW IN THE GULF THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. BY SATURDAY...A NEW LOW WILL MOVE INTO PLAY OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS WITH THE LOW IN THE GULF CONTINUING.

.SURFACE WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BRINGING
GALE FORCE WINDS AND PLENTY OF PRECIPITATION TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. A WEAKENING BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA SPREADING SHOWERS AND SOME GUSTY CONDITIONS THERE TODAY. THIS
BOUNDARY TO DISSIPATE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW MOVES EAST. THE LOW
WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES EAST TOMORROW BUT NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS
AND SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE BERING AND AKPEN
REGION THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS THE LOW TRANSITIONS INTO THE GULF
MONDAY...PRECIPITATION AND WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DROP. HOWEVER...WEAK
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AROUND THE LOW WILL PERIODICALLY BRING MORE
ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA INTO TUESDAY. IN THE
MEANTIME...A LOW WILL WORK SOUTH OF ADAK MONDAY NIGHT AND STAY SOUTH
OF THE CHAIN AS IT MOVE EAST TO 150 WEST BY THURSDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THEN TO THE APKEN BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE WINDS
WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING MAINLY ALONG
THE FRONT AND BEHIND THE LOW ITSELF. MOST PRECIPITATION WILL BE RAIN
IN NATURE FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS EAST. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE WESTERN BERING THURSDAY AND SPREADS OVER THE ENTIRE BERING
FRIDAY. SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER THE MAINLAND AND AKPEN FROM THE LOW
IN THE GULF AND A UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH
ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SURFACE EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...
CURRENTLY...THERE IS A WEAK BOUNDARY IN THE GULF WITH SHOWERS
REMAINING OVER KODIAK. SOME SMALL CRAFT WINDS REMAIN OVER THE AREA
WITH THIS BOUNDARY. WINDS TO PICK UP TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT...AS THE
LOW CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MOVES TO THE SOUTH OF
THE AKPEN. RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE KENAI
PENINSULA AS WELL. AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF TOMORROW
AFTERNOON...RAIN WILL SPREAD TO THE NORTHERN COAST AND PUSH THE HIGH
PRESSURE OUT OF THE EASTERN GULF WITH RAIN MAKING IT TO THE PANHANDLE
AS WELL. THE LOW WILL BASICALLY SIT AND SPIN IN THE WESTERN GULF
THROUGH TUESDAY AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE TIME FRAME AS WELL. THE LOW
WILL EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE TUESDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER LOW SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS MOVES CLOSER. HOWEVER...THE REMNANT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH PRECIPITATION
AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS. THE NEW LOW WILL MOVE EASTERLY SOUTH
OF THE GULF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN
PICKING UP IN THE GULF. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
THURSDAY AND START TO WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY. DUE TO THE WARM MOIST
SOUTHEAST FLOW THAT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
TIME FRAME...MOST ALL PRECIP WILL BE RAIN. IN ADDITION...MOST
PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN ALONG THE COASTAL LOCATIONS. WE WILL ALSO
PICK UP THROUGH EAST WEST ORIENTED GAPS WITH EACH PROGRESSIVE FRONT.
THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR TOMORROWS FRONT AS THE LOW WILL MOVE
FARTHER NORTH WHEN IT IS STRONGER THAN THE FRONT LATER IN THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 120 130 132 138 172
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN APR 07