Gale Warning 426, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 170131 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
535 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

CORRECT ZONES 129 140 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 998 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE AS 
IT MOVES SOUTHEAST MON NIGHT. A 1001 MB LOW 850 NM SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS WILL BE A 986 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT TUE
AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING TO 1004 MB AS IT MOVES TO 120 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-171400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-171400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-171400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.

.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-171400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-171400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-171400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-171400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT TOWARD
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-171400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. ELSEWHERE
VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-171400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT MON APR 16 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 171147
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 989 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 200 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR
TUESDAY MORNING AND MOVE OVER KODIAK ISLAND AT 1009 MB WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-180200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E TO SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS AFTERNOON...STRONGEST
WINDS SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...
    NORTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
    SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE...VARIABLE 15 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE 
                              AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S TO W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS MORNING AND TO 30 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 172331
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT EAST
TO NEAR KODIAK CITY AS A 1005 MB LOW WED AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING
INLAND NEAR CAPE DOUGLAS WED NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-181400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 4 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-181400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-181400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NORTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
       SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE...VARIABLE 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN  
                                 THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT TUE APR 17 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 181333 RRA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

RETRANSMIT FOR STARCASTER

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 994 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK ISLAND LATE
WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 1000 MB THEN DISSIPATE NEAR CAPE DOUGLAS
WED AFTERNOON. A 976 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE
TO 170 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT AND WEAKEN TO 983 MB THU NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-190200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING
TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-190200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT WED APR 18 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT MON APR 16 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
OZ MODEL RUNS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...THEN
DIVERGED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIAN
REGION. AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION...THE
0Z GFS/UKMET/ECMWF HAVE TWO DISTINCT SURFACE LOWS BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...ONE BEING AROUND THE PRIBILOFS AND A NEW ONE
INTENSIFYING SOUTH OF SAND POINT. THE 0Z WRF...ON THE OTHER
HAND...HAS A SINGLE SURFACE LOW AROUND COLD BAY. STRONGLY PREFER THE
TWO LOW SOLUTION FOR SEVERAL REASONS. FIRST...GFS ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS
RELATIVELY SMALL. SECOND...THE UPPER LEVEL JET STRUCTURE SEEMS TO
SUPPORT TWO DISTINCT LOWS. IN USUAL WRF FORM...THE 6Z RUN HAS COME
IN COPYCATTING THE 0Z GFS...FURTHERING THE BELIEF THAT THE WRF WAS
THE ODDBALL MODEL IN THE FIRST PLACE. GFS HAS BEEN LESS THAN STELLAR
IN ITS PERFORMANCE...HOWEVER...AS THE GFS RUNS FROM TODAY HAD
TRENDED TOWARD THE ONE LOW SOLUTION...WHILE THE 0Z RUN WENT BACK TO
ITS TWO LOW SOLUTION OF LAST NIGHT.

AFTER THIS HICCUP IN THE MODELS...THEY ARE ACTUALLY QUITE CONSISTENT
LATE WEDNESDAY ONWARD.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS PRESENT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA
THIS MORNING...BRINGING SOME FAIRLY LIGHT VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW TO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND/EASTERN KENAI...AND TO PORTIONS
OF KODIAK ISLAND. THIS LOW WILL DISSIPATE AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHEAST
TODAY...BRINGING A DECREASE IN THE PRECIPITATION. LIGHT FLOW AT
UPPER LEVELS IS PRESENT OVER THE MAINLAND THIS MORNING.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT SURFACE LOW IS PRESENT THIS MORNING APPROACHING
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FROM THE SOUTHWEST...BRINGING WITH IT SNOW
CHANGING TO RAIN. THIS LOW HAS STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT. A
WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL
TO EASTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND THE GULF...
A WEAK SURFACE LOW IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHEAST. AS THIS HAPPENS...PRECIPITATION WILL
ALSO TAPER OFF FROM KODIAK TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
OTHERWISE...TODAY LOOKS LIKE A QUIET DAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL WITH
PERHAPS A FEW AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE SHOWERS OVER INTERIOR
SOUTHCENTRAL. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE WITH MORE JET SUPPORT WILL
BEGIN TO BRING RAIN TO KODIAK ON TUESDAY. THIS LOW SHOULD REMAIN IN
THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA INTO WEDNESDAY...THUS
PRECIPITATION WILL PROBABLY STAY SOUTHWEST OF AN ANCHORAGE TO
MIDDLETON ISLAND LINE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CLOSE TO
NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE TODAY OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERNS
FOR TODAY WILL BE LOW CLOUDS ALONG THE COAST AS WELL AS SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS. MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS DUE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
IN FROM THE WEST. PRECIPITATION WILL PROBABLY MAINLY FALL AS RAIN
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANGEOVER TO MOSTLY SNOW WEDNESDAY
AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
A STRENGTHENING LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT IS BRINGING MOSTLY
RAIN...POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS SNOW...TO MUCH OF THE ALEUTIANS TODAY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO AROUND THE PRIBILOFS TUESDAY MORNING...THOUGH
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN WELL BEFORE THE LOW ARRIVES. CONCERNED FOR
THE PRIBILOFS FOR A PERIOD OF SNOW AND STRONG WINDS THIS
EVENING...THUS HAVE ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH. PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
AS RAIN FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION ON THE FRONT END OF THE
SYSTEM...WITH A COOLER AIRMASS AND SNOW SHOWERS ON THE BACK END OF
THE SYSTEM. ANOTHER STRONG LOW WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET IS LIKELY TO BRING STRONG LOW PRESSURES
TRACKING FROM WEST TO EAST ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS FROM
THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THIS SOLUTION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 195.
MARINE...GALE WARNINGS 155 160 165 170 171 172 175 176 179 180 185
         410.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNINGS 185 AND 410.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

FOISY APR 07