Gale Warning 343, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 272011 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1200 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

UPDATED AREA 129

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA WILL MOVE TO 90 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKA AT 999 MB TONIGHT AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AND WEAKEN TO 1009 MB.
$$

PKZ120-280200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-280200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. STRONGER WINDS TO 25 KT OUT BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. STRONGER WINDS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280200-
PASSAGE CANAL
1200 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-280200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-280200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 

$$

PKZ141-280200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 272326
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1002 MB LOW 135 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTH
OF SITKA AT 1005 MB WED NIGHT. A 1008 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 50 NM EAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED EVENING AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH
THU.

$$

PKZ120-281400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER DELTA. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT.. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER DELTA. 
SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT.. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-281400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-281400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-281400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 


$$

PKZ130-281400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-281400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-281400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-281400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.  
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. 
.THU THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 

$$

PKZ141-281400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT TUE MAR 27 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM ADT MON MAR 26 2007

.DISCUSSION...MODELS STRUGGLING TO RESOLVE THE DYNAMIC LOW MOVING
THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS AREA BUT THEY ALL GENERALLY COME BACK
TOGETHER IN THE GULF BY TUESDAY MORNING. WITH ITS HIGHER RESOLUTION
AND TERRAIN FEATURES THE NAM PROBABLY HAS THE BEST SOLUTION FOR THE
FIRST TWELVE HOURS OF THE FORECAST.

UPPER LEVELS...A CUT OFF LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA CONTINUES TO
DIG SOUTHEASTWARD AND WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA
TUESDAY. A STRONG RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
OVERNIGHT AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD TOWARD THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE
ISLANDS.

SURFACE...THERE ARE TWO SIGNIFICANT LOW BRING WEATHER TO SOUTHERN
ALASKA TODAY. THE FIRST IS THE LOW OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WHICH IS THE
ONE THAT WAS IN THE BERING SEA YESTERDAY. THIS LOW HAS NOT WEAKENED
AS QUICKLY AS ANTICIPATED AND HAS PROVIDED PLENTY OF LIFT AND WINDS
IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND NEARBY AREAS. BLOWING SNOW ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR ZONES 155 AND 161. AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW THE COLD NORTHWEST FLOW IS BRINGING BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS TO PARTS OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA...EASTERN ALEUTIANS...AND
PRIBILOF ISLANDS. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AS THE LOW WEAKENS
WHEN IT LOSES THE SUPPORT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW.
A 997 MB LOW NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON IS THE OTHER
SIGNIFICANT LOW. THE LOW FORMED ALONG A TRIPLE POINT IN THE BARREN
ISLANDS AREA AND WILL PUSH INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA OVERNIGHT AS THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVE SOUTHEAST. WHILE SOME SNOW FELL IN KODIAK LAST
NIGHT AND SOME MORE OVER THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA TODAY THE FRONT
WILL STALL OUT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT AND THEN HEAD
SOUTH AGAIN TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST OVERNIGHT BUT CLEARING OVER A GOOD PART OF
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA TUESDAY.

LONGER RANGE PROJECTIONS STILL SHOW AN WARM CORE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
MOVING INTO SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA OVER THE WEEKEND. SHOULD THIS OCCUR
IT WILL BRING NOTICEABLY WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 181 185 195.
MARINE...GALE 120 130 132 138 150 155 165 170 171 172 175 176 179.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 125 130 132 138 141 150 155 165 170
171 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

MAR 07