Gale Warning 184, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 060554 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
900 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

UPDATED AREA 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA UNTIL A WEAK FRONT
MOVES TO KODIAK ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-061500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-061500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-061500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
900 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-061500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-061500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-061500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-061500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-061500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-061500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 061257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA UNTIL A WEAK FRONT
MOVES TO KODIAK ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON. 1006 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT 120 NM SE OF KODIAK TUE NIGHT. THE LOW AND FRONT WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.    

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE FEB 6 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST MON FEB 5 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN SYSTEM IS THE STORM CENTER LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS AND ITS FRONT THAT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE CHAIN TO THE FALSE
PASS AREA. ALONG THE FRONT IN THE SOUTHEAST TO EAST FLOW WARM AIR IS
ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA. WEST OF THIS IS THE
DEEPER COLD AIR OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA INTO THE SIBERIAN
REGION. A MAJOR UPPER CENTER IS OVER CENTRAL ASIA AND IS EXPECTED TO
DROP TO THE SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AND EXTREME WESTERN ALEUTIANS BY THIS COMING
WEEKEND. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND TOUGH WILL PUSH ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA SUNDAY BRINGING WITH IT THE COLD AIR.
THE CURRENT SET OF NUMERICAL OUTPUT HAS TEMPERATURES DROPPING AROUND
5 DEGREES F FOR ALEUTIAN AND BERING SEA STATIONS.

ACROSS THE HEMISPHERE WE HAVE OUR HUDSON BAY UPPER CENTER AND DEEP
COLD AIR. AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES WE EXPECT AN UPPER LOW TO FORM OVER
THE SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY. THIS CENTER AND THE COLD AIR ASSOCIATED
WITH IT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA BY FRIDAY.
ENSEMBLES ARE IN AGREEMENT ON THE MAJOR FEATURES THROUGH FRIDAY AS
WELL AS EUROPEAN CENTER MODELS.

SURFACE EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN TACT OVER
THE INTERIOR WITH TRAPPED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE
SPREADING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. BELIEVE THIS WILL REMAIN OVER
THE GULF COAST AREA. A FRONT FROM THE LOW IN THE BERING TO REACH TO
KODIAK ISLAND LATER TONIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION AND MODERATE WINDS.
HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE MAINLAND THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH THE FRONT STATIONARY OVER KODIAK. THE HIGH SHIFTS INTO THE YUKON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALLOWING MORE CLOUDINESS INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST AND KENAI PENINSULA. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SITS OVER THE AREA AT
THIS TIME. THIS PATTERN TO REMAIN INTO FRIDAY. THIS MAY DRAW SOME
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FURTHER INLAND BY FRIDAY.

SURFACE WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...STRONG FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE
ALASKA PENINSULA TO EASTERN SIBERIA WITH GOOD JET SUPPORT. COMBINED
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MAINLAND...A GOOD GRADIENT EXISTS OVER
THE EASTERN BERING AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA.
THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN NEAR ADAK AND CROSS THE CHAIN LATE
TONIGHT AND HEAD TO THE PARENT LOW JUST EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND
TOMORROW MORNING...SO WILL NOT SEE ANY PRECIPITATION TOO FAR INLAND.
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO MOVE NORTH IN THE FLOW THROUGH THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY AND CREATE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY NORTH SOUTH
THROUGH THE CENTRAL BERING INTO THURSDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...A NEW
LOW ROTATES INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW
ROTATES TOWARD THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA FRIDAY WITH A FRONT PUSHING
THROUGH THE BERING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL NOT BE THAT STRONG
AFTER TODAYS FRONTAL STRUCTURE BEGINS TO WEAKEN TONIGHT.
PRECIPITATION TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRIDAY FROM A
PREFRONTAL SHORT WAVE PUSHING MOISTURE OFFSHORE INLAND AND PROVIDING
SOME LIFT TO THE MOISTURE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 150 160 165 170 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

SA/JN FEB 07