Gale Warning 109, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 210049 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 960 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE NEAR CORDOVA
AT 978 MB LATE SAT NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
THE EASTERN GULF SUN.
$$

PKZ120-211500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.  
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4
FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEA IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-211500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 211303
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 969 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE INLAND
TODAY AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. LATE MON NIGHT A 989 MB LOW WILL 
DEVELOP 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK. 
$$

PKZ120-220300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY..

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-220300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HIGHER SEAS AND WINDS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-220300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE MORNING. VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-220300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-220300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-220300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-220300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-220300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-220300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SUN JAN 21 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE 960 MB LOW IS IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA
THIS AFTERNOON AND IS BEARING DOWN ON THE NORTH GULF COAST. THIS LOW
WILL HEAD JUST EAST OF CORDOVA OVERNIGHT AND THEN RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS
IT PUNCHES INTO THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN SUNDAY MORNING. A WEAK
SECONDARY LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO FORM IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SUNDAY
MORNING.

THE LOW IN THE GULF TODAY HAS PROMPTED A BLIZZARD WARNING FOR KODIAK
ISLAND. AREAS OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ARE ALSO OCCURRING IN THE
EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA.

IN THE UPPER LEVELS THE COLD TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN ENTRENCHED OVER THE
EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

IT WILL MAKE IN TO CENTRAL ALASKA AND THEN DISSIPATE MONDAY AS A NEW
TROUGH DROPS DOWN OUT OF THE CHUKCHI SEA AND TAKES UP RESIDENCE IN
THE EASTERN BERING SEA BY WEDNESDAY.

THE WEAK LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO
AND IT DRIFTS TO NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM SUNDAY. IT WILL FINALLY DISSIPATE
BY MONDAY MORNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL BERING
SEA NUDGES EASTWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK.

IN THE LONGER TERM ANOTHER MODERATELY STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
GULF OF ALASKA AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHILE THE RIDGE IN THE
BERING SEA REMAINS RELATIVELY STATIONARY.

MODELS HAVE BEEN AND CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE ON THE EXACT TRACK ON THE
LOWS THAT MOVE INTO THE GULF FROM THE SOUTH. TODAYS LOW IS NO
DIFFERENT WITH THE NAM BRINGING THE LOW A BIT FURTHER EAST THAN THE
GFS OR THE UKMET. PREFER THE GFS AND UKMET TRACK TO THE NAM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 171.
MARINE...STORM 120. GALE 121 130 132 138.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JAN 07