Winter Storm Warning 11, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
300 AM MST THU DEC 27 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE PARADE OF STORMS CONTINUE.

STARTING TO LOSE TRACK...BUT BELIEVE THIS IS STORM NUMBER FOUR
IN THE PAST WEEK...THE THIRD SIGNIFICANT STORM. CURRENT SYSTEM
WILL IMPACT MAINLY NRN NM...ESPECIALLY FROM THE E SLOPES OF THE
SANGRES TO THE FAR NE PLAINS. ISSUING WINTER STORM WARNING FOR
THESE AREAS INTO TONIGHT...AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NW
MOUNTAINS AND HARDING CO. THIS MATCHES UP WELL WITH ADJACENT OFFICES.
WILL INCLUDE MENTION OF SOME BLOWING SNOW. ELSEWHERE A FEW SNOW
SHOWERS WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WITH DRY CONDITIONS IN THE FAR SE
ZONES. WILL ALSO HOIST A WIND ADVISORY FOR OUR SC AND SE ZONES FOR
LATE MORNING INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

QUIETER WEATHER FINALLY APPEARS LIKELY FRI THROUGH SUN. MODERATE
W TO NW FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME BREEZINESS DURING THIS TIME
ALONG THE E SLOPES OF THE CNTRL MOUNTAINS. WEAK SYSTEMS TO PASS BY
TO OUR N AND MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE N. HAVE
TRIMMED POPS AND AREAL COVERAGE FOR THE FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN TIME
FRAME. COLD FRONT TO MOVE S OVER THE STATE SUN AND SUN NIGHT MAKING
FOR A CHILLY NEW YEARS EVE AND START OF 2008. RIDGE FORECAST TO
BUILD OVER NM BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. CHJ

&&

.AVIATION...
PATCHY IFR/LIFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF NE NM NEAR
KRTN AND KCAO AND ALSO NEAR THE NORTHERN MTNS DURING THE MORNING
HOURS. MVFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES AND LIGHT SNOW SHOULD ARRIVE AT
FMN/GUP BETWEEN 15-18Z WITH A COLD FRONT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MTNS
TODAY WITH SNOW SHOWERS. MVFR CONDITIONS/SNOW ARE LIKELY BETWEEN
20-06Z ACROSS NORTHEAST NM INCLUDING KLVS.  ADDITIONALLY...WINDS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY ACROSS SE
NM...INCLUDING KROW...BETWEEN 16Z AND 02Z.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 22Z. 34

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  31   9  31  14 /  40   5   5  10
GALLUP..........................  28   1  32   9 /  30   5   5   5
GRANTS..........................  31  -1  30  11 /  30   5   5   5
GLENWOOD........................  44  15  45  21 /  10   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  22 -11  26  -4 /  60  30   5  20
LOS ALAMOS......................  26   4  29   9 /  50  20   0  10
RED RIVER.......................  19  -9  21  -6 /  80  60   0   5
TAOS............................  26  -3  26   0 /  50  30   0   5
SANTA FE........................  28   8  27  12 /  30  20   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  30  10  30  14 /  30  10   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  35  10  33  12 /  40  20   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  36  17  35  19 /  10   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  37  14  36  15 /  10   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  35  14  34  17 /  20   5   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  36  17  35  19 /  20   5   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  42  14  41  19 /  10   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  29  10  31  15 /  20  10   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  32   5  35  10 /  20  10   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  40  15  40  17 /  10   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  35  15  39  18 /  10   0   0   0
RATON...........................  25   3  28   4 /  80  60   0   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  26   5  30  10 /  60  20   0   0
ROY.............................  26  11  32  13 /  50  50   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  28  11  31  14 /  80  80   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  40  15  39  17 /  10  10   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  38  15  39  17 /  30  20   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  38  16  40  19 /   5  10   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  41  18  42  21 /  10  10   0   0
PORTALES........................  43  18  43  20 /  10  10   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  46  22  46  20 /   5   5   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ002.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ016-017-019-026.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ004-005-007.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ006.

&&

40/34

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1220 PM MST WED DEC 26 2007

NMZ001>021-026-271300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
1220 PM MST WED DEC 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PLAINS.  IN ADDITION...SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 30 MPH AND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS THE LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY...THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND THE PECOS VALLEY FROM
FORT SUMNER TO ROSWELL.

SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS AGAIN SATURDAY.

SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
SUNDAY ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE OR BY CALLING
1.888.386.7637.

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