Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
235 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORMED
EARLIER OVER THE NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS ARE
BEGINNING TO MOVE SOUTHEAST OFF OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. LOOKING
OUTSIDE...HOWEVER...SHOWS ATMOSPHERE TO BE SOMEWHAT CAPPED AS
SEEN IN GLACIATED ANVILS WITH LITTLE VERTICAL OR SHORT LIVED
VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT. EXPECT A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SOME HEAVY
BURSTS OF RAIN AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL HAIL...BUT A SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT IS SOMEWHAT LOW. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO DIE OFF SHORTLY
AFTER SUNSET.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE
NEW WORK WEEK...A VERY WEAK FLOW OVER THE AREA WILL ALLOW A
RECYCLING OF MOISTURE WITH THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON AND EVENING
VARIETY OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND
MOVE OFF INTO THE HIGHLANDS AND PLAINS BEFORE DISSIPATING AROUND
SUNSET. ANOTHER WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT ARE
EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE EASTERN PLAINS BY WED EVENING. THIS
WILL RESULT IN MORE FOCUSED ACTIVITY OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS. FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...EXPECT A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER
AND MORE MOISTURE LADEN AIR SEEP INTO THE CENTRAL VALLEYS WEST TO
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY LATE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  47  85  49  87 /   5   5   5   5
GALLUP..........................  39  81  41  83 /   5   5   5   5
GRANTS..........................  43  81  42  83 /   5   5   5   5
GLENWOOD........................  49  88  48  89 /  10  10   5   5
CHAMA...........................  34  71  35  75 /   5  10   5  10
LOS ALAMOS......................  44  77  48  79 /   5  10   5   5
RED RIVER.......................  34  63  33  67 /   5  10  10  10
TAOS............................  40  76  39  80 /   5  10   5  10
SANTA FE........................  47  78  49  81 /   5  10   5   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  47  80  48  83 /   5  10   5   5
ESPANOLA........................  50  83  49  86 /   5  10   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  57  84  58  86 /   5  10   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  55  86  56  88 /   5  10   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  55  83  56  86 /   5  10   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  56  85  57  87 /   5  10   5   5
SOCORRO.........................  55  87  55  88 /  10  10   5   5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  46  78  47  82 /   5  10   5   5
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  45  81  46  84 /  10  10   5   5
CARRIZOZO.......................  55  84  53  86 /  20  10  10   5
RUIDOSO.........................  49  72  52  75 /  20  20  10  10
RATON...........................  44  79  44  83 /  20  20  20   5
LAS VEGAS.......................  44  77  45  80 /  20  20  10   5
ROY.............................  50  78  50  81 /  20  20  20   5
CLAYTON.........................  53  81  54  85 /  30  20  20  10
SANTA ROSA......................  54  86  53  89 /  20  20  10   5
TUCUMCARI.......................  57  86  59  90 /  20  20  20   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  56  86  58  89 /  20  20  20   5
CLOVIS..........................  57  83  58  87 /  30  30  20  10
PORTALES........................  56  85  57  88 /  30  30  20  10
ROSWELL.........................  59  88  60  91 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

16

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

NMZ001>021-026-271200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER...
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WHERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE THE
PRIMARY THREAT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE
STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GUYER

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
548 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

NMZ021-270015-
CURRY COUNTY-
548 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST CURRY COUNTY...

AT 542 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER NEAR TEXICO. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH
AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE PLEASANT HILL AND CLOVIS.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

DPORTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
611 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

NMZ012-270045-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-
611 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER NORTHEAST SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...

AT 600 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...WINDS UP TO
40 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 13 MILES NORTHEAST
OF CONCHAS. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BELL RANCH.

HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND IN LOW SPOTS. FAST
RUNNING WATER WILL QUICKLY FILL ARROYOS AND DITCHES.

40

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
615 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

NMZ020-021-270045-
CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
615 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST CURRY COUNTY...

AT 612 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50
MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM CANNON AIR FORCE BASE TO TEXICO. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE PORTAIR AND RANCHVALE
AS WELL AS NORTHEAST ROOSEVELT COUNTY.

THESE STORMS WERE NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

DPORTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
624 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

NMZ019-270100-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
624 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY...

AT 621 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF BITTER LAKE
WILDLIFE REFUGE. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ROSWELL AND MIDWAY.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

DPORTER