Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS Albuquerque, NM

May 25, 2007Mora County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 25, 2007, 3:12 PM MDT for Mora County, New Mexico. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 25, 2007, 3:12 PM MDT (21:12 UTC)
Expired: May 25, 2007, 4:15 PM MDT
In force: 63 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Mora County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 200 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 161 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -173 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1435 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KABQ 252111
SVRABQ
NMC033-252215-
/O.NEW.KABQ.SV.W.0038.070525T2112Z-070525T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
312 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL MORA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 415 PM MDT

* AT 310 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
  SOUTH OF OCATE...OR ABOUT 17 MILES WEST OF WAGON MOUND. THIS STORM
  WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL CENTRAL MORA COUNTY AROUND 330 PM MDT...

LAT...LON 3621 10483 3621 10465 3606 10467 3603 10481
      3603 10487 3602 10489 3600 10506 3615 10514
      3625 10487

$$

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS55 KABQ 252156
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
356 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

NMC033-252215-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-070525T2215Z/
MORA-
356 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MORA COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 352 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL 
AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF OCATE...OR 
ABOUT 17 MILES NORTHEAST OF MORA. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES SOUTH OF OCATE AROUND 415 PM MDT...

LAT...LON 3621 10483 3621 10465 3606 10467 3603 10481
      3603 10487 3602 10489 3600 10506 3615 10514
      3625 10487

$$

000 
WWUS55 KABQ 252217
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
416 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

NMC033-252226-
/O.EXP.KABQ.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-070525T2215Z/
MORA-
416 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR NORTH CENTRAL MORA
COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

HOWEVER HEAVY RAINS...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE 
FROM THIS THUNDERSTORM. WATCH FOR FAST MOVING WATER AND SUDDEN RISES 
IN ARROYOS AND ACROSS LOW SPOTS.

LAT...LON 3621 10483 3621 10465 3606 10467 3603 10481
      3603 10487 3602 10489 3600 10506 3615 10514
      3625 10487

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 25, 3:00 PM MDT, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 3:00 PM MDT, 12 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
300 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CROSS NEW MEXICO TONIGHT AND TRIGGER
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS IN THE PROCESS. DURING THE
EVENING...THE MOST NUMEROUS COVERAGE WILL FAVOR THE VICINITY OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. LATE TONIGHT...THE FOCUS FOR MOST OF
THE STORMS WILL SHIFT TO THE CENTRAL EASTERN PLAINS. TONIGHT...A
15 TO 25 MPH EAST WIND IS ALSO EXPECTED TO RETURN BELOW CANYONS
OPENING INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...ESPECIALLY AFTER THE FOCUS
FOR CONVECTION SHIFTS TO THE EASTERN PLAINS.

DURING THE WEEKEND...CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE EACH
DAY WHILE HIGH TEMPERATURES INCREASE A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY. MOST
OF THE SCATTERED ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS ALONG AND EAST OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.
ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY
EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

THE FIRST HALF OF THE COMING WORK WEEK WILL BRING A NOTABLE DOWN
TICK IN CONVECTION WITH LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS FAVORING THE SOUTH
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST PLAINS...AND EVENTUALLY THE
NORTHEAST PLAINS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S.

TUESDAY NIGHT...AND THEN AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...GFS SUGGESTS
BACK DOOR COLD FRONTS WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN PLAINS. THE FIRST
FRONT IS ONLY EXPECTED TO INCREASE DEW POINTS A FEW DEGREES...AND
THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASED THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE ON WEDNESDAY
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. THE STRONGER BACK DOOR PUSH
WILL COME ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...WHILE A VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE NORTHEAST PLAINS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
SEVERE WEATHER THURSDAY IN THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  46  83  47  86 /  10   5   0   0
GALLUP..........................  39  81  39  82 /  10   5   0   0
GRANTS..........................  43  80  41  83 /  20   5   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  49  86  48  91 /  20  10  10   0
CHAMA...........................  33  72  32  75 /  20  20  10   5
LOS ALAMOS......................  45  75  42  80 /  50  10   5   5
RED RIVER.......................  36  64  35  69 /  60  30  10  20
TAOS............................  40  75  39  79 /  50  10  10  10
SANTA FE........................  47  77  47  80 /  60  10  10   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  48  79  47  82 /  60  10  10   5
ESPANOLA........................  52  84  52  85 /  50  10  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  57  82  58  85 /  60  10  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  56  84  57  87 /  60   5  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  53  79  58  83 /  60  10  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  55  83  57  86 /  50   5  10   5
SOCORRO.........................  59  84  56  88 /  50  20  10   5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  47  76  49  80 /  60  10  10   5
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  49  80  47  83 /  60  10  10   5
CARRIZOZO.......................  57  78  56  84 /  50  30  20  10
RUIDOSO.........................  49  70  52  74 /  60  30  30  20
RATON...........................  43  75  44  80 /  50  20  20  20
LAS VEGAS.......................  45  74  44  78 /  60  20  20  20
ROY.............................  52  74  52  78 /  50  20  20  20
CLAYTON.........................  53  76  54  82 /  40  20  20  20
SANTA ROSA......................  57  84  56  85 /  50  20  20  20
TUCUMCARI.......................  58  83  58  85 /  40  20  20  20
FORT SUMNER.....................  59  84  58  85 /  40  20  20  20
CLOVIS..........................  56  79  58  84 /  40  30  30  20
PORTALES........................  55  80  57  85 /  40  30  30  20
ROSWELL.........................  60  83  59  87 /  40  30  20  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

44

Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 6:00 AM MDT, 9 hours 12 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

NMZ001>021-026-261200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS ALONG
THE TEXAS STATE LINE THIS AFTERNOON WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS THE
MAIN THREATS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING WITH HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS THE MAIN THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GUYER

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 25, 1:59 PM MDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
159 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0112 PM     HAIL             ALTO                    33.40N 105.68W
05/25/2007  E0.88 INCH       LINCOLN            NM   POST OFFICE

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT THE POST OFFICE WITH 3
            INCHES OF HAIL ACCUMULATION NEARBY

&&

JS

Special weather statement, May 25, 2:18 PM MDT, 54 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
218 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

NMZ009-252100-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
222 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

...STRONG STORMS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...

DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS WILL
MOVE INTO WESTERN RURAL PORTIONS OF BERNALLILO AND VALENCIA COUNTIES
BETWEEN 220 TO 235 PM. STORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP ALONG THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY BETWEEN LOS LUNAS AND ALBUQUERQUE THROUGH 315 PM. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL CONTAIN HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL WITH STRONG
DOWNBURSTS OF WIND.

FUNNEL CLOUDS HAVE ALSO BEEN OBSERVED WITH STORMS TO THE WEST AND
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MID AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. STORM MOVEMENT WILL REMAIN TO THE
EAST/NORTHEAST BETWEEN 15 TO 20 MPH. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN
TWO TENTHS TO SIX TENTHS WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. SOME STREET
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

50

Local storm report, May 25, 2:46 PM MDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
246 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0112 PM     HAIL             20 NNW MAGDALENA        34.38N 107.37W
05/25/2007  E1.00 INCH       SOCORRO            NM   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            EMT REMPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL NORTH
            OF ALAMO

&&

JS

Special weather statement, May 25, 3:02 PM MDT, 10 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
302 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

NMZ002-252200-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
302 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER CENTRAL SANDOVAL COUNTY...

AT 258 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 13 MILES WEST OF CANONES.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE JEMEZ PUEBLO...JEMEZ
SPRINGS...VALLECITOS AND CANON.

HEAVY RAINS PRODUCED BY THIS STORM WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS
AND IN LOW SPOTS. FAST RUNNING WATER WILL QUICKLY FILL ARROYOS AND
DITCHES.  HAIL COULD COVER THE GROUND.

Special weather statement, May 25, 3:04 PM MDT, 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
304 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

NMZ009-252130-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
304 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER THE ALBUQUERQUE METRO
AREA...

AT 3 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 45 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO A QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER BETWEEN THE ISLETA PUEBLO AND
THE ALBUQUERQUE AIRPORT. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS MOVING TO THE
EAST/NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. PEA SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED AT THE
ALBUQUERQUE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE NEAR THE AIRPORT AT 3
PM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE THE FOUR HILLS AREA AND
THE
NORTHEAST HEIGHTS.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF...BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON THE HIGHWAYS AS THIS STORM MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

50

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 25, 12:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Mora	44 min
May 25, 1:44 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Socorro	61 min
May 25, 2:00 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Socorro	45 min
May 25, 3:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	62 min
May 25, 4:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	64 min
May 25, 5:10 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Torrance	50 min
May 25, 5:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	56 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.