Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Albuquerque, NM
NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 15, 2007, 2:08 PM MST for Cibola County, New Mexico. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 15, 2007, 2:08 PM MST (21:08 UTC)
- Expired
- May 15, 2007, 3:15 PM MST
- In force
- 67 min
- Issued by
- NWS Albuquerque, NM
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Cibola County, NM
The radar
The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 359 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 259 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -206 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2233 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 10 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 15, 1:54 PM MST, 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 15, 1:54 PM MST, 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 254 PM MDT TUE MAY 15 2007 .DISCUSSION... 20Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A STATIONARY BOUNDARY DRAPED FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ALONG THE AZ/NM BORDER SE ACROSS S NM INTO FAR WEST TX. EAST WINDS DOMINANT EAST OF THE FRONT WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S AND 50S. LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE PUSHING NE ACROSS NM WITH ANOTHER WAVE PUSHING ONSHORE SOCA. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MTNS AND GILA REGION. STEERING FLOW WITH THESE STORMS HAS GENERALLY BEEN TO THE EAST. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN DISAGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A POSSIBLE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE GILA REGION AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY THIS EVENING. GIVEN CURRENT RADAR TRENDS CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH THE 12Z GFS SOLUTION. 12Z NAM/NGM SOLUTIONS DISSIPATE CONVECTION AFTER SUNSET OVER MOST AREAS WHILE THE 12Z GFS...WITH SUPPORT FROM THE 00Z NOGAPS/GEM...SUSTAIN AN AREA OF MODEST VERTICAL MOTION AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY... SACRAMENTO MTNS...AND THE SOUTHEAST LOWLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. MODEL PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 0.75 INCHES AND 1.25 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NM INDICATE ANY STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL... ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ANCHOR ALONG THE E SLOPES OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS WITH AFTERNOON HEATING IN THE PRESENCE OF PLENTIFUL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL REDEVELOP AGAIN THURSDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER THE E PLAINS AS THE UPPER WAVE CURRENTLY OVER SOCA EJECTS EAST ACROSS THE AREA. ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS TERRAIN CIRCULATIONS RECYCLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE UNDER DAYTIME HEATING. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FARMINGTON...................... 53 80 53 77 / 20 30 40 30 GALLUP.......................... 46 77 45 73 / 20 30 50 40 GRANTS.......................... 49 73 46 70 / 40 40 50 50 GLENWOOD........................ 52 83 51 80 / 30 20 50 40 CHAMA........................... 38 67 38 64 / 60 50 50 50 LOS ALAMOS...................... 42 68 43 65 / 60 50 40 50 RED RIVER....................... 34 58 35 56 / 60 60 40 50 TAOS............................ 43 70 42 66 / 50 40 40 40 SANTA FE........................ 45 67 46 65 / 50 50 40 50 SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 47 69 47 66 / 50 50 40 50 ESPANOLA........................ 49 73 49 70 / 50 40 40 40 ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 55 72 53 70 / 50 40 50 50 ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 53 74 52 72 / 50 40 50 50 ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 51 71 51 69 / 50 50 50 50 ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 54 74 53 72 / 50 50 50 50 SOCORRO......................... 55 78 53 73 / 60 40 40 50 SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 45 68 43 64 / 60 60 50 50 MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 47 70 46 65 / 50 50 40 60 CARRIZOZO....................... 52 70 49 68 / 60 50 50 50 RUIDOSO......................... 49 60 43 59 / 70 60 60 60 RATON........................... 45 68 43 64 / 40 20 30 40 LAS VEGAS....................... 42 64 41 59 / 50 40 40 60 ROY............................. 46 64 45 62 / 30 20 30 40 CLAYTON......................... 46 69 47 65 / 20 20 30 30 SANTA ROSA...................... 51 70 49 66 / 40 30 30 60 TUCUMCARI....................... 50 69 49 67 / 30 30 30 60 FORT SUMNER..................... 53 69 51 65 / 40 40 30 60 CLOVIS.......................... 52 66 46 64 / 30 40 30 50 PORTALES........................ 51 67 48 64 / 30 40 30 50 ROSWELL......................... 58 68 54 67 / 60 50 40 50 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && GUYER
Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 4:31 AM MST, 9 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 531 AM MDT TUE MAY 15 2007 NMZ001>021-026-161200- NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ- UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS- WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA- SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY- CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY- CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY- CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY- 531 AM MDT TUE MAY 15 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...GENERALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR. IN ADDITION...A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...GENERALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR. IN ADDITION...A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. 16
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 15, 1:19 PM MST, 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 219 PM MDT TUE MAY 15 2007 NMZ008-152045- WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- 219 PM MDT TUE MAY 15 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER NORTHEAST CATRON AND NORTHWEST SOCORRO COUNTIES... AT 216 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF DATIL. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS DRIFTING EAST AROUND 5 MPH. LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE RURAL NORTHWESTERN SOCORRO COUNTY AND RURAL NORTHEASTERN CATRON COUNTY...INCLUDING DOG SPRINGS CANYON. THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION. DPORTER
Special weather statement, May 15, 2:01 PM MST, 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 301 PM MDT TUE MAY 15 2007 NMZ008-152130- WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- 301 PM MDT TUE MAY 15 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER CENTRAL CIBOLA COUNTY... AT 259 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 10 MILES SOUTH OF GRANTS. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ACOMITA LAKE...CUBERO... MCCARTYS...NORTH ACOMITA VILLAGE...SAN FIDEL AND SAN RAFAEL. THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION. DPORTER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 6:20 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Quay | 40 min |
| May 15, 2:44 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | McKinley | 61 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.