Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 216, NWS Albuquerque, NM

September 29, 2007Guadalupe County, San Miguel County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 29, 2007, 7:02 PM MDT for Guadalupe County, San Miguel County, New Mexico. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 29, 2007, 7:02 PM MDT (01:02 UTC)
Expired
Sep 29, 2007, 7:30 PM MDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Guadalupe County, NM, San Miguel County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 282 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-09-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 367 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-09-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 70 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
367 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-107 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1818 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 29, 2:57 PM MDT, 4 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 29, 2:57 PM MDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
257 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

.DISCUSSION...
WINDY CONDITIONS NOTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF NEW MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MIGRATES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN.
SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT AS AN UPPER
LEVEL JET AOA 110KTS BISECTS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. WITH CLEARING
SKIES...MOST LOCALES ARE MIXING TO APPROXIMATELY 650MB. 700MB WINDS
ARE PUSHING 45-50KTS AND SOME OF THIS MOMENTUM IS BEING TRANSLATED
TO THE SURFACE. WILL CONTINUE WITH WIND ADVISORY IN THE NW PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL 00Z. MEANWHILE...UPPER JET WILL SHIFT TO
THE NE QUADRANT OF THE STATE AND PROGGED TO EXIT AFTER DAYBREAK ON
SUNDAY. WILL CONTINUE WITH WIND ADVISORY FOR LOCALES ALONG/EAST OF
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO/SANDIA MOUNTAINS THROUGH 03Z. WITH ANTICIPATED
COOLING AND ATMOSPHERIC DECOUPLING...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF
DURING THE LATE EVENING HRS. HOWEVER...CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW GUSTS
UP TO 40 KTS THRU EARLY MORNING. EVENING CREW WILL NEED TO MONITOR
SITUATION AND ADJUST ADVISORY LATER IN TIME IF NECESSARY. INHERITED
POPS FOR TONIGHT LOOK REASONABLE...HIGHEST IN THE NRN MOUNTAINS AND
NE PLAINS WHERE BEST INSTABILITY AND FORCING WILL BE LOCATED. A FEW
OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE WIND GUSTS. TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL BE TRICKY AS A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS MOVES
INTO THE REGION. MOS GUIDANCE NOTABLY WARMER STATEWIDE COMPARED TO
PREVIOUS RUNS AND WILL DISREGARD.

WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY SHOULD INVADE THE NE/EC PLAINS EARLY SUNDAY...
KEEPING TEMPS RELATIVELY CLOSE TO NORMAL IN ITS WAKE. IN ADVANCE OF
THE FRONT...ENOUGH INSTABILITY MAY INITIATE ISOLATED STORMS ACROSS
THE SACRAMENTO MTS AND THE SE PLAINS. BY MONDAY...UPPER HIGH SHOULD
MIGRATE INTO CENTRAL TX. MOISTURE WILL ADVECT NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE
UPPER HIGH TO THE EAST AND AN ADVANCING TROUGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN.
345K THETA-E RIDGE AXIS WILL SET UP ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...
ALLOWING SHOWERS/STORMS TO ERUPT ACROSS WRN NM. INCREASED INHERITED
POPS A TAD TO REFLECT HIGH END SCATTERED COVERAGE. EXPECT TEMPS TO
BE NOTABLY COOLER IN THE WEST DUE TO PCPN/CLOUD COVER. TROUGH AXIS
WILL CROSS THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT MON NIGHT...SHIFTING PCPN THREAT
TO THE ERN PARTS OF THE STATE. RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER PROGGED FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE UPCOMING WEEK AS PREDOMINATE DRY W/SW PATTERN
DEVELOPS OVER THE SWRN UNITED STATES. DPORTER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  42  78  46  73 /   5   0   0  40
GALLUP..........................  36  78  47  71 /   5   0   5  50
GRANTS..........................  42  78  46  71 /  10   0   5  40
GLENWOOD........................  50  84  53  79 /  10   5  10  50
CHAMA...........................  33  72  33  67 /  30   0   0  50
LOS ALAMOS......................  42  74  45  71 /  30   0   5  40
RED RIVER.......................  35  72  33  64 /  50   0   0  40
TAOS............................  39  76  38  72 /  40   0   0  30
SANTA FE........................  44  77  43  71 /  40   0   5  40
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  46  78  46  73 /  30   0   5  30
ESPANOLA........................  43  81  41  76 /  30   0   5  30
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  55  80  56  76 /  20   0   5  30
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  51  81  52  77 /  20   0   5  30
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  52  79  53  75 /  20   0   5  30
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  53  81  54  76 /  20   0   5  40
SOCORRO.........................  52  82  52  79 /  10   5  10  30
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  42  74  45  68 /  20   0   5  40
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  47  77  42  75 /  20   5  10  30
CARRIZOZO.......................  53  82  52  79 /  20  10  10  30
RUIDOSO.........................  49  75  48  71 /  20  10  10  30
RATON...........................  44  79  42  77 /  30   0   5  20
LAS VEGAS.......................  50  76  45  74 /  30   0   5  30
ROY.............................  52  77  51  77 /  30   0   5  20
CLAYTON.........................  53  78  50  81 /  20   0   5  10
SANTA ROSA......................  56  85  53  83 /  20   0  10  30
TUCUMCARI.......................  60  86  56  85 /  20   0   5  20
FORT SUMNER.....................  58  85  57  85 /  20   5  10  20
CLOVIS..........................  60  84  59  83 /  20   5  10  20
PORTALES........................  59  85  58  84 /  20  10  10  20
ROSWELL.........................  62  87  61  85 /  20  10  10  30

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
NMZ004>007-010>012.

&&

46
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 29, 5:46 AM MDT, 13 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
546 AM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

NMZ001>021-026-301200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
546 AM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TODAY
OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 25. HAIL AROUND ONE INCH IN
DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY BETWEEN 100 PM AND 900
PM MAINLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE
25.

40

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 29, 2:09 PM MDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 29, 3:59 PM MDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 29, 4:13 PM MDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
413 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

NMZ012-018-292245-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
413 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER DE BACA COUNTY...

AT 412 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YESO.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE SUMNER LAKE.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.

19
Special weather statement, Sep 29, 4:52 PM MDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
452 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

NMZ007-292315-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
452 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER UNION COUNTY...

AT 450 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 55 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 13 MILES EAST OF GLADSTONE.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE MOUNT DORA.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.

19
Special weather statement, Sep 29, 5:46 PM MDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
546 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

NMZ005>007-012-013-300030-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-HARDING
COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-
546 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

AT 545 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50
MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF CAPULIN TO ROY TO 13 MILES NORTH OF SANTA ROSA
LAKE STATE PARK. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE MOSQUERO...
BUEYEROS...GRENVILLE...CONCHAS AND FARLEY.

THESE STORMS WERE NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

19
Special weather statement, Sep 29, 6:32 PM MDT, 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
632 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

NMZ005>007-012-013-300130-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-HARDING
COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-
632 PM MDT SAT SEP 29 2007

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

AT 630 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50
MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF GRENVILLE TO MOSQUERO TO 20 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CONCHAS. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE MOUNT
DORA...CLAYTON...SENECA...BUEYEROS AND ROSEBUD.

THESE STORMS WERE NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

19

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 29, 7:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Union50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.