Severe Thunderstorm Warning 121, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
301 PM MDT TUE JUN 26 2007

.DISCUSSION...SEVERE STORMS AND SEVERE T STORM WATCH ALREADY
UNDERWAY FOR NE...MUCH OF E CENTRAL AND A PORTION OF CENTRAL NM
EFFECTIVE TIL 10 PM MDT. SO THIS NEEDS TO BE A BIT TRUNCATED. BACK
DOOR FRONT HEADING INTO FAR NE NM...AS OF THIS WRITING JUST S OF
KCAO AND KRTN. THIS TO CONTINUE S AND W THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
SHOULD MAKE IT INTO E CENTRAL/SE NM AND UPPER AND MIDDLE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. QUITE RICH MOISTURE E CENTRAL AND
SE NM AND ONLY A SLIGHTLY LESSER DEGREE BEHIND BACK DOOR FRONT SO
MAJOR DEWPOINT INCREASE AT LEAST TO AND PERHAPS A LITTLE W OF
DIVIDE BY AT LEAST MID MORNING WED. EXPANDED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORM WORDING A LITTLE TO S AND W OVERNIGHT...BUT NOT SO MUCH AS
TO RENDER EARLIER HAZARDOUS WWEATHER OUTLOOK OBSOLETE. RAISED POPS
SOMEWHAT FOR TONIGHT S AND W TO NEAR OR A LITTLE S OF INTERSTATE
25 AND W TO E TORRANCE COUNTY. MOST OF REST OF FORECAST GRIDS
REQUIRED JUST MINOR TWEAKS AND CENTRAL TO W NM...AT LEAST BETWEEN
CENTRAL MT CHAIN W TO DIVIDE WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT UPTICK IN
CONVECTION WED AND THU WITH SLOW DECREASE AND RETRACTION OF
MOISTURE AND STORMS FROM W TO E FRI AND SAT. BACK TO WARMING AND
DRYING FOR SEVERAL DAYS THEREAFTER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  56  96  62  95 /   0   5   5   5
GALLUP..........................  48  92  55  90 /   0   5   5   5
GRANTS..........................  52  90  55  89 /   5  20  30  20
GLENWOOD........................  51  94  60  94 /   5  10  10  10
CHAMA...........................  45  80  46  81 /  20  30  30  20
LOS ALAMOS......................  56  83  54  80 /  20  20  50  20
RED RIVER.......................  42  70  42  74 /  50  30  50  30
TAOS............................  54  84  51  84 /  30  30  50  30
SANTA FE........................  60  82  57  83 /  20  30  50  30
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  61  86  59  86 /  20  20  50  30
ESPANOLA........................  60  88  57  89 /  20  20  40  20
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  69  91  67  90 /  10  20  50  20
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  64  94  63  93 /  10  20  50  20
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  63  91  62  90 /  10  20  40  20
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  66  95  64  93 /  10  20  40  20
SOCORRO.........................  62  90  63  90 /  10  20  50  20
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  54  86  53  84 /  10  30  50  30
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  56  84  55  84 /  20  30  50  30
CARRIZOZO.......................  63  90  62  88 /  10  20  40  30
RUIDOSO.........................  54  78  55  79 /  20  30  50  30
RATON...........................  55  80  51  82 /  60  30  40  20
LAS VEGAS.......................  55  79  51  80 /  50  30  50  30
ROY.............................  58  78  57  79 /  50  30  40  20
CLAYTON.........................  61  81  61  84 /  60  20  30  20
SANTA ROSA......................  59  86  60  87 /  50  30  40  20
TUCUMCARI.......................  65  87  63  88 /  50  20  30  20
FORT SUMNER.....................  64  87  64  88 /  40  20  30  20
CLOVIS..........................  65  85  63  87 /  50  20  20  20
PORTALES........................  64  88  64  87 /  40  20  20  20
ROSWELL.........................  69  89  67  91 /  30  20  30  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

43

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
543 AM MDT TUE JUN 26 2007

NMZ001>021-026-271200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
543 AM MDT TUE JUN 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EAST SLOPES
OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...NORTHEAST PLAINS AND EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT
IN COLFAX...CURRY...DE BACA...GUADALUPE...HARDING...MORA...
QUAY...ROOSEVELT...SAN MIGUEL...EASTERN TAOS AND UNION COUNTIES.

44

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
212 PM MDT TUE JUN 26 2007

NMZ004-005-011-262045-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
212 PM MDT TUE JUN 26 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER NORTHWEST SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...

AT 207 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 45 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER NEAR EL PORVENIR. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GALLINAS...LOWER
COLONIAS...MANUELITAS...MINERAL HILL...MONTEZUMA AND ROCIADA.

THIS STORM WAS NOT PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

DPORTER

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