High Wind Watch 1, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
314 AM MST TUE FEB 27 2007

.DISCUSSION...BREEZY TO WINDY TODAY OVER NM AS THE UPPER LEVEL
GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND A COUPLE WEAK SHORT WAVES AND ASSOCIATED JETS
TRACK OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR THE
WESTERN MTNS AND GILA AND ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MTN
CHAIN. WILL INCLUDE THE ZONES FOR THE NORTHERN MTNS ALTHOUGH SOME OF
THE VALLEY LOCATIONS MAY NOT REACH CRITERIA. STRONGEST WINDS AT MID
LVLS ALOFT MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE STATE WITH SLIGHTLY
LESS OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL. WILL INCLUDE THE SOUTH
CENTRAL MTNS AND LINCOLN CO HIGHLANDS IN THE WIND ADV ALSO. EXPECT
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS AND RIO
GRANDE VALLEY BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA EXCEPT FOR AN
OCCASIONAL BURST THIS AFTERNOON.

EVEN STRONGER AND GUSTY WINDS FOR WEDNESDAY. A 160 TO 170 KTS JET
AT 250 MB WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NM WED UNDER THE MAIN TROF AXIS.
700 MB WINDS REACH 50 TO 60 KTS EARLY WED. AS THE UPPER TROF ENTERS
NM THE STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT ARE SHIFTED MORE SOUTH. WINDY MOST
PLACES WITH THE THE AREA FROM THE GILA AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY
AND FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MTNS TO THE TX BORDER SEEING
THE STRONGEST WINDS. THEREFORE A HIGH WIND WATCH IS WARRANTED.

STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AT THE SURFACE
MEAN S FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN HIGHLANDS AND PLAINS
TODAY AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO
THE EAST CENTRAL AND FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WARM TODAY BEFORE A COOL DOWN ON WED
STARTING NORTHWEST AND NORTH AND EXTENDING SOUTH LATE WED AND THU AS
THE UPPER TROF AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN NM.
JUST AS A SIDE NOTE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THIS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM HAS ORGANIZED INTO VERY NICE LOOKING MID LAT
CYCLONE. THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT ONLY USHER
IN WINDS BUT ALSO SHOWERS AND ACCUM MTN SNOW FOR THE NORTHERN TIER OF
THE CWA. WINDS CONTINUE TO BLOW THURSDAY AS A SECOND JET SLIDES DOWN
THE BACK OF THE TROF AND FLATTENS THE BOTTOM. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS
COOL THRU THE END OF THE WEEK.

IN THE EXTENDED A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE STATE
HELPING DECREASE THE WINDS AND INCREASE IN TEMPS. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TRACKS OVER THE STATE EARLY NEXT WEEK MAINLY
INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND CAUSING AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO TO
FORM IN THE NORTHERN MTNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  56  32  44  24 /   5  20  30  30
GALLUP..........................  55  27  38  18 /   0  10  30  20
GRANTS..........................  59  21  46  16 /   0  10  10  20
GLENWOOD........................  65  32  52  26 /   0   0   0  10
CHAMA...........................  44  16  34  12 /  10  30  50  50
LOS ALAMOS......................  53  21  41  17 /   0  10  20  30
RED RIVER.......................  43  16  29   4 /   0  10  20  30
TAOS............................  51  22  40  17 /   0  10  20  20
SANTA FE........................  54  21  42  17 /   0   5  10  20
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  57  28  44  21 /   0   5  10  10
ESPANOLA........................  59  35  45  23 /   0  10  20  30
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  62  36  54  26 /   0   0  10  10
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  63  36  55  27 /   0   0  10  10
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  59  33  50  24 /   0   0  10  10
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  61  36  52  26 /   0   0  10  10
SOCORRO.........................  70  42  62  31 /   0   0   5   5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  56  29  42  18 /   0   0  10  10
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  55  31  49  23 /   0   0  10  10
CARRIZOZO.......................  67  46  60  31 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  61  37  54  27 /   0   0   0   0
RATON...........................  59  27  47  17 /   0  10  10  30
LAS VEGAS.......................  59  31  46  18 /   0   5  10  10
ROY.............................  65  38  52  24 /   0   5   5  20
CLAYTON.........................  64  31  52  23 /   0   0   0  20
SANTA ROSA......................  70  40  61  28 /   0   0   5  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  72  38  62  27 /   0   0   0  10
FORT SUMNER.....................  73  38  66  29 /   0   0   5   5
CLOVIS..........................  73  40  67  30 /   0   0   0   5
PORTALES........................  74  38  68  29 /   0   0   0   5
ROSWELL.........................  75  41  72  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ002-004>008-010>014-016-017-026.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ005>007-010>021-026.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ104-106>108.

&&

23

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