Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Las Vegas, NV

000 
WWUS55 KVEF 290245
SVSVEF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
744 PM PDT FRI JUL 28 2006

AZC015-NVC003-290300-
/O.CON.KVEF.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-060729T0300Z/
MOHAVE AZ-CLARK NV-
744 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM
MST(800 PM PDT) FOR EAST CENTRAL CLARK AND WEST CENTRAL MOHAVE
COUNTIES...

AT 739 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF TEMPLE BAR...OR ABOUT 9 MILES WEST OF
SOUTH COVE...AND WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TEMPLE BAR AROUND 750 PM MST.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF ON OR NEAR LAKE MEAD...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR 
INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO 15 MILES 
FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE 
CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. DO 
NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3630 11393 3635 11474 3564 11463 3579 11407

$$
SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
208 PM PDT FRI JUL 28 2006

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST UNSTABLE AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA. SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED AND SOME WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THERE IS ALSO A
POTENTIAL FOR SOME STORMS TO GENERATE DAMAGING WINDS.
&&

.SHORT TERM...DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S FROM CLARK
COUNTY SOUTH WITH PW IN THE 1.5-2.0 RANGE. STEERING FLOW IS
RELATIVELY WEAK OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA...AS
IS THE VERTICAL SHEAR. PRESENCE OF MODERATE AMOUNT OF CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION IS ALSO A NEGATIVE FACTOR OVER THOSE AREAS. DIFFERENT
STORY IN NORTHWEST ARIZONA THOUGH. MID-LEVEL WIND MAX OF 35-40 KTS
PUSHING INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM THE NORTHEAST COUPLED WITH
SOUTHERLY INFLOW OF HIGH CAPE AIR INTO STORMS COMING OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WILL PRODUCE SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR ROTATING STORMS. AIR MASS
IN MOHAVE COUNTY IS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE FOR THIS REGION...ON THE
ORDER OF 2500-3000 J/KG. ACCORDINGLY...IN COORDINATION WITH SPC...A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOHAVE COUNTY. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT...UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECAUSE SOME OF THE
STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL RAIN RATES. WHAT HAPPENS THIS
EVENING COULD ACTUALLY COMPLICATE THE LARGER SCALE ENVIRONMENT FOR
SATURDAY SO WILL NOT COMMENT MUCH ON THE WEEKEND OUTLOOK EXCEPT TO
SAY THAT TOMORROW LOOKS SIMILAR TO TODAY. UPPER LOW NEAR THE AZ/NM
BORDER IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD. DEEP MOISTURE AND
SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG STORMS GIVEN A FORCING
MECHANISM. THE INVERTED TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT
APPROACHES WESTERN ARIZONA BUT COULD BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT AN
ORGANIZED MCS MOVING ACROSS WRN AZ AND SRN NV LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR CAREFULLY.

.LONG TERM...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT REGARDING THE
PATTERN OVER THE NEXT WEEK. A TROUGH LOCATED OFF THE PAC COAST WILL
TRANSITION THE AREA INTO SWRLY FLOW IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS EARLY
NEXT WEEK...BUT FLOW QUICKLY BACKS TO THE SOUTH AS RIDGING BUILDS IN
FROM THE EAST AND A LOW CENTER DEVELOPS OFF THE SRN CA COAST BY NEXT
FRIDAY. REGARDLESS...EVEN IF SWRLY FLOW REMAINS LONG ENOUGH TO DRY
US OUT IN THE MID/UPPER LVLS...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD ONLY
DECREASE SLIGHTLY OVER THE WEEK. NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE GENERAL
TREND TO GRADUALLY DECREASE POPS OVER THE PERIOD...BUT NEED TO BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR ANY GOOD TRIGGERS TO INITIATE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...WITH WIND PROFILES MORE
FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINING/ORGANIZING TSTMS. TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL NEXT WEEK WITH LOW THICKNESS VALUES AND DECENT
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE.
&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH THE GREATEST TSTM COVERAGE OVER THE EASTERN
CORRIDORS.  THE DAGGETT CORRIDOR WILL HAVE THE LEAST AMOUNT OF
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITH ONLY ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
TSTMS...WHILE THE BEATTY..MORMON MESA...AND PEACH SPRINGS CORRIDORS
WILL ALL HAVE SCATTERED TSTM COVERAGE UNTIL THE LATE EVENING HOURS.
TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY DESCRIBE EXPECTED WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR
AREA TERMINALS. SEE TAFS FOR KLAS... KVGT... KDRA... KBIH... KDAG...
KEED.
&&

.VEF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NV...NONE.
.AZ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 8 PM MST FOR MOHAVE COUNTY.
      FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST FOR MOHAVE COUNTY.
.CA...NONE.

RUNK/SALMEN/KENNEDY

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS