Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Las Vegas, NV

000 
WWUS55 KVEF 242329
SVSVEF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
428 PM PDT MON JUL 24 2006

AZC015-242338-
/O.CAN.KVEF.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-060724T2345Z/
MOHAVE AZ-
428 PM MST MON JUL 24 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL MOHAVE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 427 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE THUNDERSTORM WHICH 
PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE STORM WAS JUST 
NORTHEAST OF CHLORIDE...AND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

LAT...LON 3532 11386 3565 11393 3563 11445 3530 11429

$$

MORGAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
235 PM PDT MON JUL 24 2006

.SYNOPSIS...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS THE AREA STAYS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG HIGH PRESSURE.
MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION
THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...MINIMAL CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS STRONG 500MB HIGH REMAINS ROUGHLY OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SOUTHERN UTAH AND NORTHERN ARIZONA. MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE
HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. STRONG HIGH WILL ALSO
KEEP TEMPERATURES QUITE HOT. NAM12 IS HINTING AT A POSSIBLE SURGE IN
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
WEDNESDAY RESULTING FROM TROPICAL STORM EMELIA MOVING NORTHWEST
FAIRLY CLOSE TO BAJA AND SENDING MOISTURE UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
GFS SOLUTION NOT CONDUCIVE TO GULF SURGE. NOT MAKING ANY CHANGES TO
FORECAST AT THIS TIME BUT IF A TRUE GULF SURGE DOES DEVELOP WE WILL
PROBABLY HAVE TO LOWER TEMPERATURES AND RAISE POPS FOR WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...
FORECAST TRACK FROM THE NHC FOR TROPICAL STORM EMILIA HAS CHANGED
LITTLE OVERNIGHT...AND STILL EXPECTING EMILIA TO TRACK TO THE
NORTHWEST OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. ALL SIGNS STILL POINTS TO AN ACTIVE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK
CWA WIDE AS THE STORMS TRIGGERS A MOISTURE SURGE INTO THE AREA. THE
GFS IS STILL BRINGING WELL OVER 2 INCHES OF PWATS INTO THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE CWA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH AT LEAST AN INCH FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. IN ADDITION...WITH WINDS UP TO 850MB
MOSTLY UNDER 15 KTS FOR ALL LOCATIONS THE BIGGEST CONCERN WILL BE
FOR FLASH FLOODING DURING THIS EVENT. ALSO OF NOTE IS A 40 TO 50 KT
FLOW AT 250MB ALONG THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA STARTING ON FRIDAY.
THIS SHOULD HELP TRIGGER MORE CONVECTION FURTHER NORTH. THE GFS IS
INDICATING SOME DRYING AS IT ATTEMPTS TO PUSH A TROF INTO THE
PACIFIC NW...BUT THE TREND HAS BEEN WEAKER WITH SUCCESSIVE MODELS
RUNS AND EXPECT THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS ALL CORRIDORS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT TO SEE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AROUND
ANY STORMS THAT FORM. TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY DESCRIBE EXPECTED
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR AREA TERMINALS. SEE TAFS FOR KLAS... KVGT...
KDRA... KBIH... KDAG... KEED.

AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDED TAFS.
&&

.VEF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NV...NONE.
.AZ...NONE.
.CA...NONE.

HARRISON/MOSES

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
854 AM PDT MON JUL 24 2006

AZZ001>003-036-CAZ519>527-NVZ014>022-250700-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-NORTHWEST DESERTS-
LAKE MEAD NATIONAL RECREATION AREA-EASTERN SIERRA SLOPES-
OWENS VALLEY-WHITE MOUNTAINS OF INYO COUNTY-
DEATH VALLEY NATIONAL PARK-WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT-
EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT-MORONGO BASIN-CADIZ BASIN-
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY-UPPER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-
ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY-
NORTHEAST CLARK COUNTY-WESTERN CLARK AND SOUTHERN NYE COUNTY-
SHEEP RANGE-SPRING MOUNTAINS-LAS VEGAS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTY-
854 AM PDT MON JUL 24 2006 /854 AM MST MON JUL 24 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
ARIZONA...CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO CIRCULATE UNDER AN AREA OF STRONG HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER
ROUND OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
GENERALLY NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED AS
MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED UNDER THE HIGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED
STATES. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE TUESDAY
OR WEDNESDAY AS TROPICAL STORM AMELIA MOVES NORTHWEST NEAR THE
BAJA PENINSULA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER THAT DOES OCCUR.