Red Flag Warning 16, NWS Las Vegas, NV

000 
WWUS85 KVEF 071749
RFWVEF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1049 AM PDT MON AUG 7 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FROM 11 AM UNTIL 8 PM PDT FOR INYO -
ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTIES DUE TO INCREASING SOUTH WIND -
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 15 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER...

CAZ226-227-NVZ460-462-080300-
/O.CON.KVEF.FW.W.0016.060807T1800Z-060808T0300Z/
OWENS VALLEY/SOUTHERN INYO FOREST-DEATH VALLEY NATIONAL PARK-
ESMERALDA AND NYE COUNTY DESERTS/CNC DISPATCH-
NYE COUNTY DESERTS/LAS VEGAS DISPATCH-
1049 AM PDT MON AUG 7 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.

A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST WILL CROSS
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA DURING THE DAY. BY THIS AFTERNOON...THE STORM
WILL BRING SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
ACROSS INYO... ESMERALDA...AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTIES. AT THE SAME
TIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL WELL BELOW 15 PERCENT.
COMBINED WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... THESE CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MORGAN

000 
WWUS85 KVEF 080328
RFWVEF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
828 PM PDT MON AUG 7 2006

CAZ226-227-NVZ460-462-080430-
/O.EXP.KVEF.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-060808T0300Z/
OWENS VALLEY/SOUTHERN INYO FOREST-DEATH VALLEY NATIONAL PARK-
ESMERALDA AND NYE COUNTY DESERTS/CNC DISPATCH-
NYE COUNTY DESERTS/LAS VEGAS DISPATCH-
828 PM PDT MON AUG 7 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WIND GUSTS HAD
GENERALLY DIMINISHED TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH BY 8 PM ACROSS INYO
COUNTY CALIFORNIA AND WEST CENTRAL NEVADA. WIND GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 20 MPH BY LATE EVENING.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE VERY LIMITED OVERNIGHT AND MOST
SITES WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 PERCENT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
225 AM PDT MON AUG 7 2006

.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA WILL BRING
INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TODAY...WHILE
A WEAK RETURN OF MONSOON MOISTURE BEGINS OVER THE EASTERN MOJAVE
DESERT. THE MONSOON MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH FARTHER NORTH AND
WEST DURING THE WEEK...BRINGING CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS.
&&

.SHORT TERM...COUPLE OF NOTEWORTHY ISSUES IN THE SHORT TERM. FIRST
ISSUE IS POTENTIAL CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHICH MAY
DEVELOPE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF THE CWA. WITH
VERY LOW RH VALUES...WINDS INDUCED BY WEST COAST LOW WILL CREATE RED
FLAG OR NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN INYO ESMERALDA AND SOUTHERN NYE
COUNTIES. WINDS WILL BE MARGINAL...BUT WITH RH VALUES SO FAR BELOW
CRITERIA DECIDED TO UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO RED FLAG
WARNING RATHER THAN CANCEL IT.

NEXT MAIN ISSUE IS THE EASTERLY WAVE WHICH SHOWS UP ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY OVER NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. AS THIS WAVE MOVES WESTWARD
IT SHOULD HELP INDUCE A BIT OF A SURGE IN MONSOONAL MOISTURE BY
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
MAINLY IN THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...MODELS IN AGREEMENT REGARDING PATTERN THURSDAY THROUGH
NEXT MONDAY WITH A BROAD RIDGE STRETCHING ACROSS THE CONUS WITH THE
MAIN RIDGE AXIS LOCATED ALONG 105W ON THURSDAY...THEN PROGGED TO
SHIFT EASTWARD AND FLATTEN AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND OREGON ON SATURDAY. ONLY EXCEPTION IS THE
DGEX...WHICH DEPICTS AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE ON
THURSDAY...MOVING IT SLOWLY TO THE WEST...THEN PULLING A FAIR AMOUNT
OF MOISTURE INTO SOUTHERN NEVADA LATE SUNDAY. SINCE NONE OF THE OTHER
MODELS SHOW ANY EVIDENCE OF THIS FEATURE...WILL GO WITH THE
GFS/ECMWF SOLUTION.
IN THAT CASE...MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONFINED TO
THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CWA OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD...SO HAVE
KEPT POPS CONFINED PRIMARILY TO MOHAVE COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO HOVER RIGHT AROUND NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY BELOW AS RIDGING
NEVER REALLY GETS A GOOD CHANCE TO BUILD IN OVER THE AREA TO ANY
GREAT EXTENT.

&&

.AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY DESCRIBE EXPECTED WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR AREA TERMINALS. SEE TAFS FOR KLAS... KVGT... KDRA...
KBIH... KDAG... KEED... FOR DETAILS.

AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDED TAFS.
&&

.VEF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NV...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FIRE ZONES 460 AND 462 11 AM - 8 PM MONDAY.
.AZ...NONE.
.CA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FIRE ZONES 226 AND 227 11 AM - 8 PM MONDAY.

BAILEY/KENNEDY

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1004 AM PDT SUN AUG 6 2006

CAZ519>522-NVZ014-070700-
EASTERN SIERRA SLOPES-OWENS VALLEY-WHITE MOUNTAINS OF INYO COUNTY-
DEATH VALLEY NATIONAL PARK-ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTY-
1004 AM PDT SUN AUG 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AND
SOUTHERN NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY FOR THE COMBINATION
OF GUSTY SOUTH WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...AND VERY HIGH
FIRE DANGER. FOR TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE PROBABILITY OF
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

AZZ001>003-036-CAZ523>527-NVZ015>022-070700-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-NORTHWEST DESERTS-
LAKE MEAD NATIONAL RECREATION AREA-WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT-
EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT-MORONGO BASIN-CADIZ BASIN-
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY-UPPER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-LINCOLN COUNTY-
NORTHEAST CLARK COUNTY-WESTERN CLARK AND SOUTHERN NYE COUNTY-
SHEEP RANGE-SPRING MOUNTAINS-LAS VEGAS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTY-
1004 AM PDT SUN AUG 6 2006 /1004 AM MST SUN AUG 6 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
ARIZONA...CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST BEGINNING
ON TUESDAY...WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SLOWLY INCREASING AS WELL.
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

MORGAN