Flash Flood Warning 40, NWS Las Vegas, NV

000
WGUS75 KVEF 142353
FFSVEF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
452 PM PDT SAT OCT 14 2006

CAC071-150002-
SAN BERNARDINO CA-
452 PM PDT SAT OCT 14 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 500 PM PDT FOR EAST 
CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY...

AT 450 PM PDT...DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THAT RAIN HAD ENDED OVER THE 
WARNED AREA. HOWEVER...MANY ROADS ARE STILL CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD 
DAMAGE...AND DRIVERS SHOULD AVOID THE AREA IF POSSIBLE.

LAT...LON 3484 11496 3506 11493 3523 11492 3501 11464
      3493 11463 3492 11464 3490 11463 3489 11464
      3483 11458 3477 11455

$$

MORGAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
329 PM PDT SAT OCT 14 2006

.SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR NEEDLES CALIFORNIA WILL
SLOWLY MOVE EAST INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW THIS EVENING WILL
DECREASE WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY IN
NORTHWEST ARIZONA. AN AREA OF WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ACROSS THE
AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LOW BRINGS COOLER
TEMPERATURES... INCREASING WINDS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...ACCORDING TO THE LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR LOOPS
UPPER LOW NEARING THE TRIPLE POINT OF THE NEVADA/ARIZONA/CALIFORNIA
BORDER NEAR NEEDLES LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE 12 HOUR PROGS FROM THE
12Z NAM/GFS DID PLACE THE LOW CENTER NEAR NEEDLES SO THE MODELS HIT
THAT ONE. CURRENTLY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
OCCURRING NEAR THE LOW CENTER FROM SEARCHLIGHT SOUTH TO LAKE HAVASU
CITY WHILE ANOTHER SHIELD OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS
OVER NORTHEAST CLARK AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES. A DEFORMATION
ZONE IN THE NORTHWEST QUAD OF THE LOW EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL NYE
COUNTY SOUTHWEST INTO WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY. ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING IN THIS ZONE. NAM/GFS BOTH TAKE LOW CENTER
SLOWLY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL ARIZONA TONIGHT WITH LOW CENTER OVER EAST
CENTRAL ARIZONA LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS EVENING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE COLD POOL ACROSS
SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY WHILE ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOISTURE WRAPPING BACK AROUND INTO DEFORMATION ZONE ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEVADA. ON SUNDAY...ISOLATED SHOWERS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
MOHAVE COUNTY WHILE SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL BRING DRIER/SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. SHORTWAVE RIDGE STAYS PROGRESSIVE AND MOVES
EAST OF THE REGION MONDAY AS NEXT TROUGH STARTS TO DIG SOUTH OUT OF
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DID DROP THE TEMPERATURES...INCREASE THE
WINDS AND INTRODUCED SHOWERS TUESDAY AS TROUGH CLIPS THE AREA. WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED IF TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE MOJAVE DESERT
TUESDAY...AGAIN RIGHT NOW GFS CLIPS THE AREA WITH ANY QPF FORECAST
FOR MOSTLY EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA.

.LONG TERM...THE GFS IS A LITTLE FASTER IN MOVING THE NEXT TROF
THROUGH THE AREA...HAVING PUSHED IT AND ANY ACCOMPANYING PRECIP
THROUGH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE KEPT A SPLIT BETWEEN THE GFS AND
THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER ECMWF WITH KEEPING CLOUDS AND COOLER TEMPS IN
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GENERALLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE CWA ON
THURSDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN TO OUR WEST. MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO
INDICATE A POSSIBLE REX BLOCK PATTERN ONCE AGAIN FORMING BY FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
WITH A FEW DEGREES OF WARMING POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY ONWARDS AS THE
RIDGE SETS UP TO THE WEST.
&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS ALL ROUTES THROUGH 02Z BEFORE DECREASING FROM THE WEST AND
ENDING AFTER 12Z SUNDAY MOST ROUTES. LOWER CIGS/VSBY IN SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR AS FOG POSSIBLE AFTER 06Z
SUNDAY ESPECIALLY PEACH SPRING/MORMON MESA CORRIDORS. TAFS AND TWEBS
ADEQUATELY DESCRIBE EXPECTED WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR AREA TERMINALS.
SEE TAFS FOR KLAS...KVGT...KDRA... KBIH...KDAG...KEED FOR DETAILS.

AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDED TAFS.
&&

.VEF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NV...FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR THE MUDDY RIVER IN
      NORTHEAST CLARK COUNTY
.AZ...NONE.
.CA...NONE.

PIERCE/MOSES

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1206 PM PDT SAT OCT 14 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WILLOW BEACH            35.87N 114.67W
10/14/2006                   MOHAVE             AZ   AMATEUR RADIO

            RANGER AT WILLOW BEACH REPOTED ALL ROADS WASHED OUT
            LEADING INTO MARINA. SEWER LINES EXPOSED WITH NO POWER
            AND PHONES. ONE VEHICLE WASHED INTO RIVER. ARIZONA HOT
            SPRINGS HAS 39 PEOPLE STRANDED... BOATS AND CAMPERS
            WASHED INTO RIVER.

&&

CSCHLOTT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1209 PM PDT SAT OCT 14 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     FLOOD            4 S OVERTON             36.48N 114.45W
10/14/2006                   CLARK              NV   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            PARK RANGER REPORTS HIGHWAY 169..ST THOMAS ROAD 4 MILES
            SOUTH OF OVERTON HAS 4 FEET OF WATER WITH SWIFT WATER
            RESCUE IN PROGRESS.

&&

CSCHLOTT