Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 107, NWS Tucson, AZ

August 13, 2006Pima County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 13, 2006, 7:03 PM MST for Pima County, Arizona. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2006, 7:03 PM MST (02:03 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2006, 7:45 PM MST
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Pima County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 00:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2006-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1014 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2006-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1014 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1695 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 13, 1:45 PM MST, 5 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 13, 1:45 PM MST, 5 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
145 PM MST SUN AUG 13 2006

.SYNOPSIS...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA FOR CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LARGE COMPLEX FROM NORTHERN SONORA FED DEBRIS CLOUD
AND MOISTURE INTO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WITH MULTIPLE OUTFLOWS EARLIER
TODAY. 12Z KTUS SOUNDING CAME IN WITH A HEALTHY 1.6 INCHES
PRECIPITABLE WATER AND PLENTY UNSTABLE. SOME LOW LEVEL SHEAR BUT
WINDS ARE QUITE LIGHT AT STEERING LEVELS. SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS
HAD NO PROBLEM FROM THE MORNING HOURS ON. VERY SLOW MOVEMENT WITH
TRAVEL MAINLY BASED ON REBUILDING THROUGH DISCONTINUITIES AND
FOLLOWING MOISTURE GRADIENTS. HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN CONCERN WITH
ISOLATED WET MICROBURSTS A POSSIBILITY.

INFLUENCE OF DEVELOPING WEST COAST TROUGH SEEMS TO BE LOOSING ITS
PUNCH AT THIS LATITUDE. AREAS FROM TUCSON EAST NOT LIKELY TO SEE
MUCH IN THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT DRYING AS WE KEEP MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
COMPONENT TO OUR FLOW...KEEPING THE DEEPER MOISTURE IN OR VERY NEAR
TO THE AREA. THE FORECAST HAS MODERATED BACK FROM THE PREVIOUSLY
EXPECTED DRYING TREND TO A MORE SEASONAL MID AUGUST FORECAST.
EASTERLY WAVE NEAR FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS / NORTHERN MEXICO WILL HAVE
TO BE WATCHED...BUT MAY END UP PULLING UP AND AROUND THE HIGH SHORT
OF ARIZONA.

&&

.AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
AT KTUS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 7:00 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima60 min
Aug 13, 7:00 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPinal60 min
Aug 14, 1:17 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise58 min
Aug 14, 2:01 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.