Flash Flood Warning 63, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 032315
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
412 PM MST THU AUG 3 2006

AZC011-040015-
GREENLEE AZ-
412 PM MST THU AUG 3 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MST FOR
GREENLEE COUNTY...

AT 405 PM MST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS IN HANNAGAN MEADOW  
REPORTED THAT 1.11 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN 30 MINUTES. ALTHOUGH 
MODERATE RAINFALL NOW PERSISTS ACROSS NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...THE 
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN FLASH 
FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS...ROADWAY DIPS AND OTHER LOW LYING 
AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG HIGHWAY 191 BETWEEN ROSE PEAK AND HANNAGAN 
MEADOW.

LAT...LON 3305 10949 3288 10935 3308 10931 3284 10906
      3377 10906 3378 10933 3369 10939 3365 10949

$$

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 PM MST THU AUG 3 2006

.SYNOPSIS...A SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS DRAWN IN INCREASED MOISTURE AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY. EXPECT AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IN SOME
LOCATIONS...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING A CONCERN. AN UPPER LOW
NEAR THE TEXAS BIG BEND AREA WILL MOVE NEAR SOUTHERN ARIZONA BY
SATURDAY...FURTHER ENHANCING OUR CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ITS BACK. PRECIPITABLE WATER WAS BACK UP TO 1.57 ON
THE 12Z KTUS SOUNDING...OUTFLOW FROM A COMPLEX IN CENTRAL SONORA
LAST NIGHT TRIGGERED A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR THE BORDER
DURING THE MORNING HOURS. THIS HAS SPREAD THROUGH MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE DAY...FOLLOWED BY MULTIPLE FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS. EXPECT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT...BUT NOT STOP.

EASTERLY WAVE NEAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS WILL SERVE AS A FAIRLY STRONG
FOCUS FOR ORGANIZING PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BY FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. STILL SOME QUESTION ABOUT ITS TRACK...BUT IT COULD
ACTUALLY MOVE BODILY INTO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FRIDAY NIGHT. WITH THE
STILL RELATIVELY WET GROUND...FLOODING REMAINS A CONCERN AS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOME MORE FREQUENT AND WIDESPREAD AGAIN OVER THE
NEXT 72 HRS.

&&

.AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
AT KTUS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR EASTERN
 PIMA...SANTA CRUZ...COCHISE...AND CENTRAL PIMA COUNTIES...
 AZZ032>035...UNTIL 10 PM MST.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1100 AM MST THU AUG 3 2006

AZZ032>035-041800-
TOHONO OODHAM NATION-TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-
SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY-
1100 AM MST THU AUG 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MOISTURE IS INCREASING UNDER SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. THUNDERSTORMS
SPREADING INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA FROM NORTHERN MEXICO THIS MORNING AS
WELL AS THOSE DEVELOPING LATER THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO GENERATE
HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH THE GROUND STILL WET FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY
RAIN...FLOODING IS AGAIN A MAJOR CONCERN. IN ADDITION...A
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE TEXAS BIG BEND AREA THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE CLOSER TO THE AREA TODAY. THIS FEATURE MAY INCREASE THE
CHANCE OF GETTING VERY GUSTY WINDS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA ON FRIDAY
AND BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME VERY MOIST...RESULTING IN AN INCREASED
LIKELYHOOD THAT THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL PRODUCE VERY
HEAVY RAIN FRIDAY AND ALSO ON SATURDAY. WITH CURRENT WET SURFACE
CONDITIONS IN PLACE...THIS MAY LEAD TO THE INCREASED LIKELIHOOD OF
FLASH FLOODING AND ALSO FOR INCREASE IN FLOWS ON MAIN STEM
RIVERS...WASHES AND CREEKS. FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ019-029-030-041800-
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
1100 AM MST THU AUG 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AROUND TODAY WITH
MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS BEING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AS A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH SOUTHERN
ARIZONA. THIS FEATURE MAY BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY LEAD TO FLOODING CONCERNS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ031-041800-
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
1100 AM MST THU AUG 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH SOUTHERN ARIZONA. THIS FEATURE
MAY BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY LEAD TO
FLOODING CONCERNS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
237 PM MST THU AUG 03 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSW ORO VALLEY        32.40N 110.97W
08/03/2006                   PIMA               AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LAMBERT LANE CLOSED BETWEEN 1ST AND LA CANADA DUE TO
            FLOWING WATER ACROSS ROADWAY.

&&

EVANS