Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 300148
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
642 PM MST THU JUN 29 2006

AZC019-021-300300-
PIMA AZ-PINAL AZ-
642 PM MST THU JUN 29 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MST FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL PINAL AND CENTRAL PIMA COUNTIES...

AT 635 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER 
THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO AREAS FROM 
SOUTH OF PICACHO PEAK AND FRIENDLY CORNERS SOUTHWARD TO SILVER BELL 
AND QUEENS WELL...AND EASTWARD ACROSS INTERSTATE 10 TO ORO VALLEY 
AND DOVE MOUNTAIN. IN ADDITION...FLOODING WILL ALSO BEGIN TO OCCUR 
IN THE TUCSON METRO AREA AND SOUTHWARD TOWARDS SAHUARITA AND NEAR 
GREEN VALLEY.

FLOOD WATERS WILL MOVE DOWN BIG WASH IN NORTHEAST PIMA COUNTY...BUT 
MOST OF THE WATER THAT HAS FALLEN WITH THESE STORMS WILL FLOW OFF 
THE TORTOLITA MOUNTAINS INTO GUILD WASH AND WILL FLOW TOWARDS 
INTERSTATE 10 AND THE CENTRAL ARIZONA PROJECT AQUEDUCT. THERE COULD 
BE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER JUST EAST OF INTERSTATE 10 IN THE 
VICINITY OF OWL HEAD RANCH ROAD...GRAND VALLEY ROAD...DAVIS RANCH 
ROAD...MINUTEMAN DRIVE AND ESTANCIA ROAD. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN 
WILL RESULT IN FLOODING FOR AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN THE 
COMMUNITIES OF QUEENS WELL...SILVER BELL...PICTURE ROCKS AND SAGUARO 
NATIONAL PARK WEST. FLOODING WILL ALSO BEGIN TO OCCUR IN THE TUCSON 
METRO AREA AND TOWARD SAHUARITA AND NEAR GREEN VALLEY AS THE STORMS 
BEGIN TO DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THESE AREAS.    

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3222 11169 3211 11144 3187 11117 3183 11082
      3274 11094 3267 11159

$$

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 300259
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
758 PM MST THU JUN 29 2006

AZC019-021-300308-
PIMA AZ-PINAL AZ-
758 PM MST THU JUN 29 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM MST FOR SOUTH 
CENTRAL PINAL AND EAST CENTRAL PIMA COUNTIES...

THE HEAVY RAINS THAT OCCURRED EARLIER HAVE BEEN STEADILY DECREASING 
IN INTENSITY. THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 800 
PM MST. 

LAT...LON 3222 11169 3211 11144 3187 11117 3183 11082
      3274 11094 3267 11159

$$

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
220 PM MST THU JUN 29 2006

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTHWARD BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK MAINTAINING A MOIST EASTERLY FLOW OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.
THIS WILL EVENTUALLY RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH BECOMES POSITIONED NORTH OF ARIZONA. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER AROUND SEASONAL READINGS THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...AND BE MODERATED SOME NEXT WEEK WITH THE INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING NICELY IN THE HIGH
COUNTRY FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU SOUTHEAST ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM
INTO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. PROPAGATION OF THESE STORMS WAS TOWARD THE
SOUTHWEST WITH NEW DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED ALONG THE MOUNTAIN CHAINS
ACROSS GRAHAM COUNTY THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
WERE ALSO STARTING TO SHOW UP ON RADAR NEAR NOGALES SOUTH INTO
NORTHERN SONORA MEXICO. STILL EXPECT THE CURRENT ACTIVITY TO
GENERATE STRONG ENOUGH COLD POOLS AT THE SURFACE TO TRIGGER
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS FARTHER WEST AS THE DAY GOES ON. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS WHICH COULD BE SEVERE. IF
STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF OUR CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CWA...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE...THE LATEST GFS MODEL SUGGESTED THAT PATTERN WILL REMAIN
SOMEWHAT THE SAME TOMORROW INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE HIGH
DRIFTING A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH BY SUNDAY. THIS MAY LEAD TO A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE OVER THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...EARLY
NEXT WEEK THE GFS SHOWED THE UPPER HIGH AMPLIFYING OVER THE WESTERN
STATES WITH THE ANTICYCLONE BECOMING CENTERED NORTH OF ARIZONA. THIS
AMPLIFYING RIDGE WILL DEEPEN THE EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT...AND OPEN THE
DOOR FOR DISTURBANCES IN THE EASTERLIES TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
NEXT WEEK. OVERALL...WILL CALL FOR AN UPSWING IN THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY NEXT WEEK STARTING AROUND TUESDAY. WILL LIKELY SEE HIGH
TEMPERATURES INCREASE A FEW DEGREES AND LEVEL OFF OVER THE WEEKEND
BEFORE LOWERING NEXT WEEK WITH THE ANTICIPATION OF HIGHER MOISTURE
LEVELS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION
THROUGH NEXT WEEK CONTINUING THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT.
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...COMBINED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING WILL RESULT IN THE POSSIBILITY OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. OVERNIGHT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RECOVERIES
WILL REMAIN FAIR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS.
&&

.AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
AT KTUS.
&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE

&&

PUBLIC DISCUSSION...DAVIS
FIRE WEATHER/AVIATION...EVANS

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
359 PM MST THU JUN 29 2006

AZZ029-031>033-302300-
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION-
TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-
359 PM MST THU JUN 29 2006

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PINAL AND PIMA COUNTIES
UNTIL 900 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED RISK OF ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MOGOLLON
RIM THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWEST INTO THE LOWER
DESERTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA.. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING STRONG DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...RESULTING
IN QUICK REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING DUST. IN
ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MST FOR PINAL
AND PIMA COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
514 PM MST THU JUN 29 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WSW ORACLE            32.60N 110.85W
06/29/2006                   PINAL              AZ   PUBLIC

            PINAL COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED RECEIVING SEVERAL
            REPORTS OF FLOODING ALONG ROUTE 77 BEWTEEN ORACLE AND
            ORACLE JUNCTION.

&&

SCHAFFNER