Flash Flood Warning 114, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 071541
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
836 AM MST THU SEP 7 2006

AZC019-071645-
PIMA AZ-
836 AM MST THU SEP 7 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM MST FOR
EASTERN PIMA COUNTY...

AT 835 AM MST...RAINFALL RATES HAD GREATLY DIMINISHED ACROSS MOST OF 
EASTERN PIMA COUNTY...WITH MODERATE RAINFALL REMAINING OVER PORTIONS 
OF THE CATALINAS AND RINCONS AND GENERALLY LIGHT ELSEWHERE. EARLIER 
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WAS NOTED WITH RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES 
EXCEEDING 2 INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS AND SEVERAL GAGE REPORTS 
BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 INCHES AROUND THE CITY. EXPECT FLOODING OF WASHES 
WITH WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING AS HEAVY RUNOFF CONTINUES THIS 
MORNING.

NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TO DEEP 
TO ALLOW FOR SAFE PASSAGE. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN 
AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED 
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A 
FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT.

LAT...LON 3176 11115 3174 11049 3250 11050 3250 11137
      3200 11136

$$

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
215 AM MST THU SEP 7 2006

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY
AND TONIGHT AND BRING SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION. ADDITIONAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY KEEPING CONDITIONS UNSETTLED. ENOUGH
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND FOR A CONTINUED
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME DRYING POSSIBLE NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...YUMA AND PHOENIX RADARS THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN LIT UP
WITH SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS
MARICOPA/YUMA AND LA PAZ COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO PUSH
EAST INTO WESTERN PIMA COUNTY AS OF 2 AM...BUT HAVE STARTED TO
WEAKEN IN STRENGTH A BIT. ALL THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND JET DYNAMICS THAT IS MOVING INTO WESTERN
ARIZONA THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
STATE TODAY AND DEEPEN A BIT AS IT MOVES EAST. SO LOOK FOR SCATTERED
HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SPREAD/DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE A CHALLENGE TODAY AND
HAVE CUT THEM BACK SEVERAL DEGREES FROM EARLIER FORECAST. THE MAIN
PART OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE IN NEW MEXICO FRIDAY MORNING
BUT WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING IN ON THE BACK SIDE OF SYSTEM WILL WORK
ON MOISTURE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT
AND INTO FRIDAY.

A BIT OF DRYING THIS WEEKEND WITH LESS AREAL COVERAGE OF STORMS AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING A BIT. A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL MOVE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK AND WORK ON
MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ACTIVITY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. IF
GFS MODEL IS CORRECT THIS SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN IN NEW MEXICO ON
WEDNESDAY BRINGING A DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WHICH MAY BE THE
BEGINNING TO THE END OF THE 2006 THUNDERSTORM SEASON. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
AT KTUS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

JRG

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
340 AM MST THU SEP 7 2006

AZZ029-031>034-081400-
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION-
TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-
340 AM MST THU SEP 7 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PINAL...PIMA AND SANTA CRUZ
COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE STATE TODAY AND TONIGHT
WILL BRING SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.
MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS TODAY WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WITH THE HEAVY
SHOWERS PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES. THIS
MAY LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS. CAN NOT ALSO RULE
OUT A WIND GUST OR TWO NEAR 50 MPH WITH AFTERNOON STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

IT WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED ON FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH STARTS TO
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA. AGAIN THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL BE
HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ019-030-035-081400-
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-COCHISE COUNTY-
340 AM MST THU SEP 7 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COCHISE...GRAHAM AND
GREENLEE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE STATE TODAY AND TONIGHT
WILL BRING SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.
MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS TODAY WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WITH THE HEAVY
SHOWERS PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES. THIS
MAY LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS. CAN NOT ALSO RULE
OUT A WIND GUST OR TWO NEAR 50 MPH WITH AFTERNOON STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

IT WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED ON FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH STARTS TO
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA. AGAIN THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL BE
HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.