Severe Thunderstorm Warning 328, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
951 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

.UPDATE...
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING ACROSS CARROLL COUNTY
WITH GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL JUST NOW BEING REPORTED IN OAK GROVE.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE WITH THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING AND SHOULD FIZZLE OUT BY MIDNIGHT.

WILL KEEP POPS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS NEAR THE KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA BORDER.
WOULD EXPECT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN WESTERN KANSAS ASSOCIATED
WITH A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TO MOVE EAST ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY
POSSIBLY MOVING INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
LATE TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

HAVE ADJUSTED POPS SLIGHTLY FOR THE OVERNIGHT. HAVE ALSO ADJUSTED
OVERNIGHT TEMPS TO BETTER REFLECT THE CURRENT TRENDS AND THE
LATEST MODEL DATA.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM FORECASTER ID= 10
LONG TERM FORECASTER ID= 12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
125 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
108 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHWEST OF I44 AND BENTON CARROLL AND MADISON COUNTIES
               IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...A NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY NEAR THE KANSAS OKLAHOMA
BORDER AND A MOIST NIGHTTIME LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
STORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THOSE STORMS WILL MIGRATE SOUTHEAST
INTO NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE TULSA FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
MORE STORMS ALONG A BOUNDARY FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI WILL MIGRATE INTO BENTON CARROLL AND MADISON COUNTIES IN
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE BOUNDARY
SHOULD LIFT WELL NORTH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY SO A REPEAT PERFORMANCE
FRIDAY NIGHT IS NOT EXPECTED.  DRY AND WARMER THAN NORMAL WEATHER IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
944 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0943 PM     HAIL             OAK GROVE               36.46N 93.45W
05/25/2006  E1.75 INCH       CARROLL            AR   PUBLIC

&&

NMK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
228 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006

OKZ054-260815-
OSAGE OK-
228 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 315 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OSAGE

AT 228 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAINOLA TO 19 MILES WEST OF
APPERSON...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...PAWHUSKA...SHIDLER...HOMINY...
WYNONA...FAIRFAX...BARNSDALL...PERSHING...TALLANT...NELAGONEY...
BURBANK...OKESA...APPERSON...WEBB CITY...PEARSONIA...FORAKER AND
GRAINOLA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.