Severe Thunderstorm Warning 247, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 020657
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
157 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

OKC091-020730-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0247.000000T0000Z-060502T0730Z/
MCINTOSH OK-
157 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT
FOR MCINTOSH COUNTY...

AT 149 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HITCHITA...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHECOTAH AND
RENTIESVILLE.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3554 9587 3542 9586 3541 9534 3555 9535

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 020725
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
224 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

OKC091-020734-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0247.000000T0000Z-060502T0730Z/
MCINTOSH OK-
224 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN MCINTOSH COUNTY 
EXPIRES AT 230 AM CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN MCINTOSH COUNTY UNTIL 330 
AM CDT. 

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT

LAT...LON 3554 9587 3542 9586 3541 9534 3555 9535

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
921 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2006

.UPDATE...
SURFACE BOUNDARY STRETCHES FROM NW AR TO NEAR MUSKOGEE...THEN
SWWD INTO SCNTRL OK. CONVECTION ACROSS SWRN MO HAS STRUGGLED
ALL EVENING...AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF BACKBUILDING AS CAP HAS
HELD STRONG. 00Z NAM SUPPORTS THE 18Z RUN OF THE PARALLEL ETA
WITH CONVECTION HOLDING OFF UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL
JET STRENGTHENS THROUGH THE DEEPER MOISTURE PLUME. WILL DROP
OR LIMIT POPS THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN FOCUS HIGHEST POPS ALONG
THE RED RIVER LATER TONIGHT.

UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM FORECASTER ID= 6
LONG TERM FORECASTER ID= 18

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
120 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
120 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA.  STRONG ELEVATED INSTABILITY WAS LOCATED ALONG AND NORTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY.  WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET KICKING IN...STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING AND ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. CONDITIONS FOR SEVERE WEATHER
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH STRONG INSTABILITY
EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT...A SURFACE BOUNDARY DRAPED OVER THE
AREA...A DRYLINE SETTING UP TO THE WEST AND A SERIES OF UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA IN A VERY PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN. SPECIFIC DETAILS OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ARE
DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN AT THIS TIME...RIGHT NOW THE BEST CHANCES OF
SEVERE WEATHER APPEAR TO BE DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
LATER FORECASTS SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEK AS DETAILS BECOME MORE SPECIFIC.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1234 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

OKZ065-020600-
OKFUSKEE OK-
1234 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     OKFUSKEE

AT 1234 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4
MILES NORTHEAST OF PADEN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CASTLE...PADEN...BOLEY...
MASON...OKFUSKEE AND WELTY.

A LARGE PORTION OF OKFUSKEE COUNTY WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
THROUGH 100 AM CDT.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1237 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

OKZ074-020615-
HASKELL OK-
1237 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 115 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     HASKELL

AT 1237 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ENTERPRISE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MCCURTAIN...STIGLER...
LEQUIRE...LEWISVILLE...KINTA...MC CURTAIN...ENTERPRISE...
WHITEFIELD...KEOTA AND KANIMA.

A LARGE PORTION OF HASKELL COUNTY WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
THROUGH 115 AM CDT.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1248 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

OKZ066-070-071-020645-
MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-
1248 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 145 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     MUSKOGEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OKMULGEE

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     MCINTOSH

AT 1248 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
GRAYSON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PORTIONS OF MUSKOGEE...OKMULGEE AND MCINTOSH COUNTIES WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS THROUGH 145 AM CDT.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.