Severe Thunderstorm Warning 220, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1147 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
THE BOWING LINE SEGMENT MOVING ACROSS ADAIR AND NORTHERN SEQUOYAH
COUNTY HAS SLOWED A LITTLE...BUT REFLECTIVITY PATTERN STILL SUGGESTS
SOME POTENIAL FOR NEAR SEVERE GUSTS.  WE HAVE NOT RECEIVED ANY
WIND REPORTS BUT WILL WILL CARRY A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
INTO CRAWFORD COUNTY BASED ON THE REFLECTIVITY PATTERN.  WE WILL
EXTEND THE WARNING INTO SEBASTIAN COUNTY AS THE LATEST RADAR
ANIMATION SHOWS A SURGE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
912 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
911 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

...SEVERE WEATHER TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA....EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.
	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...WEST OF A TULSA TO MCALESTER LINE.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.
	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
DRY LINE/COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG TO SEVERE INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE AIRMASS REMAINS FAVORABLE IN ADVANCE
OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS MORE THAN ADEQUATE. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP INTO A COMPLEX WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND STRONG WINDS EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION LIKELY NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS FROM TONIGHT WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY MORNING
BEFORE ENDING.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL TAKE CONTROL LATER IN THE
DAY AND WILL STAY OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
LATE THIS WEEK A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY ADVANCE INTO THE AREA
FROM THE NORTH WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TRIES TO MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO THE AREA FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.  THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL RESULT.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1011 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

OKZ063-068-250345-
CHEROKEE OK-DELAWARE OK-
1011 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     DELAWARE

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     CHEROKEE

AT 1011 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A GUST FRONT OUT AHEAD
OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF LEACH TO 8
MILES WEST OF LOST CITY TO 32 MILES WEST OF HULBERT...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
STORMS INCLUDE...OAKS...LEACH...TWIN OAKS...KANSAS...
TAHLEQUAH...HULBERT...ELDON...LOST CITY...PEGGS AND SCRAPER.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1043 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

OKZ067-068-070>072-074-250430-
CHEROKEE OK-HASKELL OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-SEQUOYAH OK-WAGONER
OK-
1043 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1130 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     CHEROKEE...MUSKOGEE AND SEQUOYAH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WAGONER

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     MCINTOSH AND HASKELL

AT 1043 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTH OF TULLAHASSEE TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST
OF EUFAULA...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF CHEROKEE...WAGONER...MUSKOGEE...SEQUOYAH...
MCINTOSH AND HASKELL COUNTIES WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
THROUGH 1130 PM CDT.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1116 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S WYNONA              36.52N 96.33W
04/24/2006  M64 MPH          OSAGE              OK   MESONET

&&

JDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1131 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

OKZ065-250500-
OKFUSKEE OK-
1131 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     OKFUSKEE

AT 1131 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4
MILES NORTH OF PADEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CASTLE...PADEN...
BOLEY...MASON AND WELTY.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1138 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

ARZ002-011-250545-
CARROLL AR-MADISON AR-
1138 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1245 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CARROLL AND MADISON

AT 1138 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF BUSCH TO 14 MILES WEST OF BEST...
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF CARROLL AND MADISON COUNTIES WILL BE AFFECTED BY
THESE STORMS THROUGH 1245 AM CDT.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1143 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

ARZ010-250515-
WASHINGTON AR-
1143 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     WASHINGTON

AT 1143 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM SUMMERS TO 4 MILES WEST OF ODELL...MOVING EAST AT
40 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF WASHINGTON COUNTY WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
THROUGH 1215 AM CDT.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.