Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 11, NWS Tulsa, OK

January 12, 2006Choctaw County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 12, 2006, 8:19 PM CST for Choctaw County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 41 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 12, 2006, 8:19 PM CST (02:19 UTC)
Expired: Jan 12, 2006, 9:00 PM CST
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Choctaw County, OK

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 12, 8:30 PM CST	HAIL 0.75	Messer, OK	ALSO ESTIMATED STRONG WINDS OF 60 MPH

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 12, 6:53 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 194 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2398 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 130219
SVRTSA
OKC023-130300-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0011.060113T0219Z-060113T0300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
819 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 900 PM CST

* AT 816 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL
  AND WINDS TO 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF KENT TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  GOODLAND...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...GOODLAND...
  HUGO...MESSER...SAWYER AND FORT TOWSON.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3417 9560 3386 9575 3389 9517 3417 9514

$$

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 130239
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
839 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

OKC023-130300-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0011.000000T0000Z-060113T0300Z/
CHOCTAW OK-
839 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 900 PM CST FOR
CHOCTAW COUNTY...

AT 837 PM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A 
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES EAST OF APPLE TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF 
ORD...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SAWYER...FORT
TOWSON...HUSKEY...FROGVILLE AND SWINK.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

LAT...LON 3417 9560 3386 9575 3389 9517 3417 9514

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 130300
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
900 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

OKC023-130310-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0011.000000T0000Z-060113T0300Z/
CHOCTAW OK-
900 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CHOCTAW COUNTY EXPIRES AT 900
PM CST...

THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE WEAKENING AND MOVING OUT OF THE WARNED AREA.
THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2AM.

LAT...LON 3417 9560 3386 9575 3389 9517 3417 9514

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 12, 7:02 PM CST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 7:02 PM CST, 1 hour 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
702 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED FORECAST WILL INCLUDE INCREASING POPS ACROSS NORTHERN
LOCATIONS AND INCLUDING WORDING FOR TORNADO WATCH.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM THURSDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075.

AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM FORECASTER ID= 5
LONG TERM FORECASTER ID= 07

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 6:00 PM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
600 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 AND WEST OF
	HIGHWAY 75.

TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS (NON THUNDERSTORM).
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
VERY LOW HUMIDITIES.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL EASE SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT...
THOUGH WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN 10 TO 20 MPH.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE ALSO PRESENT ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
COLD FRONT.  FAVORABLE WIND FIELDS ALOFT AND ADEQUATE INSTABILITY WILL
SUPPORT A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL PROVIDE
A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL.  ADDITIONALLY...A LOW
TORNADIC RISK IS PRESENT PRIMARILY WITHIN THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY WHERE
MORE FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES WILL EXIST.  THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO END AFTER MIDNIGHT...AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM / WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...BUT
COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL PROVIDE SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL AGAIN INCREASE ON SATURDAY CAUSING FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO WORSEN.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON
SUNDAY. AS A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS SUNDAY NIGHT...ELEVATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHEAST INTO WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY...WITH A SLIGHT
OF A WINTRY MIX ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM
MAY AGAIN DEVELOP JUST EAST OF THE AREA...FURTHER AGGRAVATING ONGOING
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 12, 5:18 PM CST, 3 hours 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
518 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     SNOW             BURBANK                 36.69N 96.73W
01/10/2006  4.0 INCH         OSAGE              OK   PUBLIC

&&

NMK

Local storm report, Jan 12, 8:06 PM CST, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
806 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     HAIL             WARNER                  35.49N 95.31W
01/12/2006  0.75 INCH        MUSKOGEE           OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

NMK

Local storm report, Jan 12, 8:15 PM CST, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
815 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 PM     HAIL             WESTVILLE               35.99N 94.57W
01/12/2006  0.88 INCH        ADAIR              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

NMK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 12, 7:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	35 min
Jan 12, 7:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee	41 min
Jan 12, 7:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	41 min
Jan 12, 7:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	67 min
Jan 12, 7:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell	26 min
Jan 12, 8:04 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, Pushmataha	56 min
Jan 12, 8:06 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	54 min
Jan 12, 8:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	49 min
Jan 12, 8:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.