Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 157, NWS Topeka, KS

August 2, 2006Lyon County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 2, 2006, 7:08 PM CDT for Lyon County, Kansas. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2006, 7:08 PM CDT (00:08 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2006, 7:34 PM CDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Lyon County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2006-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 807 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2006-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 65 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
807 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2577 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 2, 4:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 2, 4:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
412 PM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...SFC BOUNDARY MOVING SLOWLY INTO NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
ATTM...AS SEEN AS FINE LINE ON RADAR IMAGERY FROM BROWN TO OTTAWA
COUNTIES. STORMS FIRING QUICKLY ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN CNTRL
KS...MOVING NE IN THE MEAN FLOW. UPPER WAVE MAKING SLOW EASTWARD
PROGRESS THROUGH NEBRASKA. WARM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM HAS KICKED HIGH TEMPS INTO THE 90S MOST AREAS.

CIN HAS ALL BUT GONE FROM THE AREA AT THIS HOUR.  CAPE RUNNING
GENERALLY 1500-2500 J/KG ACROSS THE AREA...AND 0-6KM SHEAR HAS
INCREASED TO 35-50KTS ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES. STORM MOTION IS
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST...ALONG THE BOUNDARY. DEWPOINTS HAVE POOLED
INTO THE 70S ALONG THE BOUNDARY...WHILE COLUMN PWS INCREASE BY
MIDNIGHT TO NEARLY 2.5 INCHES.  RESULT IS THAT MAIN THREATS ARE WIND
AND HEAVY RAIN FOR TONIGHT. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS NEAR 3 INCHES
MOST AREAS...BUT IF MUCH RAIN FALLS IN A SHORT TIME COULD CERTAINLY
SEE LOCAL FLOODING. WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS STORMS DEVELOP.

WATCH ISSUED FOR MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS...SOME
EAST CENTRAL AREAS LEFT OUT FOR NOW BUT WILL ALSO NEED TO BE WATCHED
AS EVENING PROGRESSES...DEPENDING ON HOW LINE DEVELOPS. COOLER TEMPS
BEHIND THE BOUNDARY TOMORROW AS POPS EXIT FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE
AREA.

COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE CWA THURSDAY
EVENING WITH COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILTERING SOUTHWARD IN ITS WAKE.
AT THIS TIME...APPEARS PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE CWA BY
THURSDAY EVENING...SO HAVE REMOVED THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST CWA THURSDAY EVENING...AND
CONTINUED A DRY FCST OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL
FLOW PERSISTS AS NAM TRIES TO HANG ON TO PRECIP TOO LONG ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CWA.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE BACK INTO THE 90S MOST AREAS BY FRIDAY AND
ACROSS THE CWA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HAVE INCREASED HIGHS THROUGH THE
MID 90S MOST AREAS SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY. MORE ELEVATED
CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP WITHIN LOW LEVEL JET SATURDAY NIGHT NORTH
INTO SUNDAY MORNING...THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CWA BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE WENT DRY WITH THE FCST ON THROUGH WED NEXT
WEEK AS MAIN FORCING AND BOUNDARIES REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE CWA.
WILL KEEP HIGHS IN THE MID 90S THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 2, 4:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
424 PM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-032130-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
424 PM CDT WED AUG 2 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY
56. SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WILL BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARD...BUT SOME LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT SOME AREAS REPEATEDLY AND PRODUCE LOCALLY
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...THAT COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST LOCATIONS THURSDAY
MORNING...BUT WILL BE LIMITED TO PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL RETURN TO PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS
SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTH AND WEST OF
THE KANSAS TURNPIKE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 2, 5:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 2, 6:10 PM CDT, 58 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 2, 6:13 PM CDT, 55 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 2, 6:17 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 2, 6:24 PM CDT, 44 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 2, 6:44 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPNemaha42 min
Aug 2, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOsage39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.