Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2006

Red Flag Warning 87, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

December 4, 2006

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Dec 4, 2006, 2:55 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 4, 2006, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 4, 2006, 2:55 AM EST (07:55 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 4, 2006, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 4, 2006, 5:00 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KTBW 040755
RFWTBW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
255 AM EST MON DEC 4 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INTERIOR PARTS OF 
LEVY COUNTY FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR CITRUS 
AND SUMTER COUNTIES...

.COLD AND DRY AIR IS FILTERING IN BEHIND A FRONT MOVING THROUGH
THE STATE TODAY. THE DRIEST AIR IS EXPECTED TO STAY OVER NORTH
FLORIDA. THUS A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ONLY LEVY COUNTY.


FLZ042-043-040900-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FW.A.0065.061204T1700Z-061204T2200Z/
CITRUS-SUMTER-
255 AM EST MON DEC 4 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. 

THE DRIEST AIR BEHIND A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TODAY
IS EXPECTED TO STAY OVER NORTH FLORIDA...NORTH OF CITRUS AND
SUMTER COUNTIES. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES CAN STILL DROP INTO THE MID
30S BY MID AFTERNOON...BUT DURATIONS AT THIS LEVEL ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LESS THAN FOUR HOURS. THUS THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TODAY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

FLZ039-042200-
/O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0065.061204T1700Z-061204T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0087.061204T1700Z-061204T2200Z/
LEVY-
255 AM EST MON DEC 4 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO FILTER IN BEHIND A FRONT THAT HAS PUSHED
THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO
RISE INTO THE LOWER 60S THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...DEWPOINTS SHOULD
FALL TO AROUND 30 DEGREES. THUS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO
OR BELOW 30 PERCENT. DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LONGER THAN 4 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24
HOURS.

$$

RJS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Dec 3, 8:40 PM EST, 6 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 3, 8:40 PM EST, 6 hours 15 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
840 PM EST SUN DEC 3 2006

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES
NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST WITH COLD FRONT EXTENDING
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND THEN OUT INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
U.S. BUILDING INTO THE REGION USHERING IN MUCH COOLER DRIER AIR.
LATEST WRF MODEL CONTINUES TO BRING BAND OF LOW/MID CLOUDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ZONES TONIGHT AND LINGERING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH FOR A
GOOD PART OF MONDAY. THEREFORE...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY FOR
TONIGHT LOOKS GOOD...BUT MAY NEED TO KEEP CLOUDS IN LONGER ON
MONDAY. MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED ACROSS THE REGION WITH EVENING
TBW SOUNDING INDICATING PRECIPITABLE WATER ONLY AROUND 1.13
INCHES...BUT THERE SHOULD BE SOME MORE MOISTURE ALONG AND JUST
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY AS INDICATED BY THE PRECIPITABLE WATER OF
1.66 INCHES AT JAX. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A FEW SHOWERS/SPRINKLES TO
FORM AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH OVERNIGHT AND CURRENT 20 POPS LOOK
GOOD. OVERALL THE CURRENT ZONE FORECAST LOOKS OK AND NO EVENING
UPDATE PLANNED.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO
NORTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH SLIDES BY TO
THE NORTH OF THE AREA. STILL LOOKS LIKE SPEEDS AND SEAS WILL REACH
ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS MONDAY AND EXERCISE
CAUTION NEAR SHORE. PRESENT MARINE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AT THIS
TIME AND NO MAJOR CHANGES PLANNED FOR LATE EVENING FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VARYING LEVELS OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MVFR/IFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY. BEHIND THE
FRONT IT LOOKS LIKE BROKEN-OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS
WILL LINGER INTO A GOOD PART OF MONDAY...BUT CEILINGS SHOULD BE
ABOVE 3000 FEET. THEREFORE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN
A FEW HOURS AFTER THE FRONT PASSES.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR CITRUS-LEVY-SUMTER.

GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
     MONDAY NIGHT FOR BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
     EVENING FOR BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM.

&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE...PRC
AVIATION...JLC
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 3, 5:45 AM EST, 21 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
545 AM EST SUN DEC 3 2006

FLZ039-042-043-048-031645-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-
545 AM EST SUN DEC 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO NEAR FREEZING OVER INTERIOR LEVY COUNTY
TUESDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FLZ049>052-055>057-060>062-065-031645-
PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
545 AM EST SUN DEC 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE WITH VISIBILITY LESS
THAN A MILE. VISIBILITY WILL IMPROVE BY MID MORNING.  OTHERWISE NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.