Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2006
Red Flag Warning 86, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Nov 19, 2006, 11:54 AM EST for 5 counties in Florida. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 19, 2006, 11:54 AM EST (16:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 19, 2006, 6:00 PM EST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties DeSoto County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1701 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -107 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -5 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 191654 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1154 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED TO INTERIOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON... FLZ043-052-056-057-061-062-065-192300- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0086.061119T1654Z-061119T2300Z/ SUMTER-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 1154 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. COOL AND VERY DRY WILL REMAIN OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 HOURS OR MORE BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Nov 19, 10:02 AM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 19, 10:02 AM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1002 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2006 ...WELL ADVERTISED SIGNIFICANT COLD SNAP ON TAP FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS... CLEAR SKIES AND DRY ATMOSPHERE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH MORNING SOUNDING PWATS DOWN TO .28 INCHES. WV SAT IMAGERY ALSO SHOWING LARGE AREA OF DRY AIR ALOFT OVER THE REGION WHILE UPPER TROF PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN U.S. AND CLIPPER TYPE SHORTWAVE IS DIVING S FROM THE N PLAINS. EVEN COLDER AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE DEEP SOUTH THIS MORNING WITH CANADIAN SFC HIGH NOW LOCATED IN THE PLAINS STATES. SFC LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS THIS MORNING TO SLIDE INTO THE ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT. SETTING UP SCENARIO FOR COLD BLUSTERY START TO THE SHORT WORKWEEK. TODAY AFTERNOON TEMPS ONLY TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 MOST LOCATIONS AGAIN 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WHICH WILL SEEM WARM COMPARED TO NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. CURRENT GRIDS AND FCST ON TRACK. && .MARINE...MODERATE GRADIENT CONTINUES OVER THE WATERS TODAY TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN WITH SIGNIFICANTLY ELEVATED SEAS OVERNIGHT THRU WED. LATEST BUOY REPORTS HAVE WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN CURRENT FORECAST. NO CHANGES TO TODAYS FCST EXPECTED ATTM. && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && RD
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 19, 5:02 AM EST, 6 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 502 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2006 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-191800- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 502 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AROUND 35 PERCENT FOR UP TO THREE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEADS TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POTENTIAL FOR RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST ON MONDAY...WHILE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE COMBINATION OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL RESULT IN STRONG NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING EARLY MONDAY AND PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS OVER TAMPA BAY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM EARLY MONDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. SEAS OFFSHORE MAY BUILD AS HIGH AS 10 FEET MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. ALONG THE BEACHES...HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. BEACH GOERS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE WATER DURING THIS TIME. IN ADDITION TO CREATING HAZARDOUS BOATING AND BEACH CONDITIONS...THE STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL BRING THE COLDEST AIRMASS SO FAR THIS SEASON TO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. DAYTIME HIGHS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60...WHILE LOWS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES...AND MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE TAMPA BAY AREA INLAND FROM THE WATER. A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING NORTH OF TAMPA BAY ACROSS THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES. THE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR NORTH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.