Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2006
Red Flag Warning 80, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Oct 23, 2006, 4:45 AM EDT for Pinellas County, Sumter County, Florida. It took effect at Oct 23, 2006, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 23, 2006, 4:45 AM EDT (08:45 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 23, 2006, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 23, 2006, 7:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties Pinellas County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 219 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -42 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1098 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -23 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 14 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 230845 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 445 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES AND FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TUESDAY... .A VERY DRY AND COOL AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE ENTIRE AREA MONDAY AND THROUGH TUESDAY WHICH COULD CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME. FLZ039-042-043-232045- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0058.061023T1600Z-061023T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0080.061023T1600Z-061023T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0059.061024T1500Z-061024T1900Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER- 445 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. VERY DRY AND COLD AIR IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE ALONG WITH INCREASING SURFACE WINDS WILL BRING CONDITIONS FAVORABLE THE THREAT OF WILD FIRES IN THE ADVISED AREA ON THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ048>052-055>057-060>062-065-232045- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0059.061024T1500Z-061024T1900Z/ HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE- HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 445 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND WILL BRING VERY DRY AND COOL AIR ON TUESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES IN THE ADVISED AREA LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTBW 231045 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 645 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .A VERY DRY AND COOL AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WHICH COULD CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH. FLZ039-042-043-232300- /O.EXT.KTBW.FW.A.0059.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0080.061023T1600Z-061023T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER- 645 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. VERY DRY AND COOL AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY CAUSING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL JUST BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. ON TUESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL BE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED WHICH COULD RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ048>052-055>057-060>062-065-232300- /O.EXT.KTBW.FW.A.0059.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE- HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 645 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY USHERING IN VERY DRY AND COOL AIR FOR TUESDAY WHICH COULD RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH. THESE CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES IN THE ADVISED AREA LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY EVENING. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ PRC
000 WWUS82 KTBW 231825 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 225 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .A VERY DRY AND COOL AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA WHICH WILL LIKELY CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME...ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS APPROACHING 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. FLZ039-042-043-232300- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0059.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0081.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0060.061025T1500Z-061025T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0080.000000T0000Z-061023T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER- 225 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. VERY DRY AND COOL AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON CAUSING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. ON TUESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL BE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH. ON WEDNESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ048>052-055>057-060>062-065-232300- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0059.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0081.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0060.061025T1500Z-061025T2300Z/ HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE- HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 225 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. VERY DRY AND COOL AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH ON TUESDAY. ON WEDNESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ PRC
000 WWUS82 KTBW 231947 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 347 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE SUNCOAST AND AND NATURE COAST FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA NORTH... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .A VERY DRY AND COOL AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA WHICH WILL LIKELY CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME...ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS APPROACHING OR BRIEFLY EXCEEDING 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. FLZ048>051-232300- /O.EXA.KTBW.FW.W.0080.000000T0000Z-061023T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0081.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0060.061025T1500Z-061025T2300Z/ HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH- 347 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. UPDATE FOR THIS AFTERNOON: DRY AIR IS SURGING SOUTHWARD AND HUMIDITY HAS FALLEN TO 25 PERCENT IN MANY AREAS. IN ADDITION...NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH ESPECIALLY IN EXPOSED AREAS WOULD AID THE SPREAD OF ANY BRUSH OR WILD FIRES THROUGH EARLY EVENING. VERY DRY AND COOL AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH ON TUESDAY. ON WEDNESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ039-042-043-232300- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0080.000000T0000Z-061023T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0081.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0060.061025T1500Z-061025T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER- 347 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. VERY DRY AIR CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AND HUMIDITY HAS FALLEN TO 25 PERCENT IN MANY AREAS. THESE VALUES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND 6 PM BEFORE RISING QUICKLY TOWARD SUNSET. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH MAY INCREASE THE THREAT FOR THE SPREAD OF ANY ONGOING BRUSH OR WILD FIRES. ON TUESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL BE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH. ON WEDNESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ052-055>057-060>062-065-240800- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0081.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0060.061025T1500Z-061025T2300Z/ POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 347 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. VERY DRY AND COOL AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH ON TUESDAY. ON WEDNESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ PRC/EJ/BSG
000 WWUS82 KTBW 232315 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 715 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FOR MORE THAN 4 HOURS OF HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN 4 HOURS OF HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .THE DRIEST AND COOLEST AIR OF THIS YOUNG AUTUMN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER FLORIDA. FLZ039-042-043-048>051-241130- /O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0080.000000T0000Z-061023T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0081.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0060.061025T1500Z-061025T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH- 715 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED THIS MONDAY EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. WITH SUNSET...TEMPERATURES HAVE QUICKLY FALLEN INTO THE 60S AND HUMIDITY IS LIKEWISE RISING WELL ABOVE 35 PERCENT. ON TUESDAY...THE DRY AIR WILL BE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH. ON WEDNESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ052-055>057-060>062-065-241130- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0081.061024T1500Z-061024T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0060.061025T1500Z-061025T2300Z/ POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 715 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. VERY DRY AND COOL AIR HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH SUSTAINED TWENTY FOOT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. ON WEDNESDAY THE DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ BSG/PRC
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 23, 2:50 AM EDT, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 23, 2:50 AM EDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
250 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2006
.SHORT TERM (TODAY - WEDNESDAY)...COLD FRONT NOW MOVING OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA WITH A WEAK SIGNATURE ON RADAR AND A SOMEWHAT
BETTER NARROW CLOUD SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE AROUND CENTRAL LEVY
COUNTY AT 2 AM EDT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE REACHING
THE TAMPA BAY AREA IN THE MID MORNING HOURS.
SO FAR IT HAS BEEN A RATHER DRY EVENT WITH ONLY SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS. CURRENT 20
POPS...FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
FRONT...WILL BE KEPT ON THE GRIDS AS THERE IS NO INDICATION ON
EITHER MODEL OR OBS DATA THAT THIS FRONT WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING CHANCES OF RAIN BETTER THAN 20 PERCENT. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS ALSO VERY UNLIKELY AS NEITHER MOISTURE CONTENT OR
DYNAMIC UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT ARE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH. MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE TO THE SKY/POPS/WX GRIDS TO BETTER DEPICT
THE APPROXIMATE POSITION OF THE FRONT AS IT MIGRATES SOUTHWARD.
VERY DRY AND COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...THEN
EXPANDING INTO THE WHOLE CWA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL
VEER TO THE NORTHWEST AND STEADILY INCREASING INTO THE 10 TO 15 MPH
CATEGORY WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TEMPS HAVE ALREADY BEEN ADJUSTED TO
REFLECT THE MODEL DATA TREND TO A QUICK STATEWIDE COOLING EVENT ON
TUESDAY. MORNING LOWS WILL DROP SIGNIFICANTLY WITH UPPER 30S AND MID
40S EXPECTED OVER THE NATURE COAST...AND UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S
ELSEWHERE INCLUDING THE TAMPA BAY AREA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. DRY
AND PLEASANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON PERIODS ON BOTH
DAYS WITH MAX TEMPS STAYING IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
PLEASE SEE THE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT /PNS/ ISSUED ON SUNDAY
OCTOBER 22 REGARDING RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY MORNINGS.
&&
.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY)...THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL
START OFF WITH HIGH PRES MOVING EAST OFF THE SE U.S. COAST....BUT
REMAINING EXTENDED ACROSS THE STATE MOST OF THU. THIS HIGH WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THU NIGHT...AND WILL BE FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COLD FRONT PROGGED TO PASS ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE DAY FRI. DRY
FORECAST WED NIGHT AND THU...THEN CHANCE POPS NORTH OF TAMPA BAY THU
NIGHT...CONTINUING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA ON FRI ASSOC WITH THE COLD
FRONT PASSAGE. THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY PASS SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE GULF AND
WEST CENTRAL FL DURING THE DAY SAT...BRINING ANOTHER SHOT OF COOLER
DRIER AIR FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&
.MARINE...THE NORTHERN WATERS ARE ALREADY SHOWING 20 KNOTS AT BUOY
42036 WHICH JUST EXPERIENCED THE PASSAGE OF THE LEADING EDGE OF
THE COLD FRONT. THE CURRENT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTENDED INTO THE NORTHERN NEARSHORE WATERS
LATER THIS MORNING...AND OTHER NEARSHORE ZONES MAY BE INCLUDED IF
NECESSARY. AS WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 KNOTS CATEGORY AND
SEAS RISE MARINERS SHOULD BE EXTREMELY CAREFUL WHEN OPERATING SMALL
CRAFT UNDER SUCH CONDITIONS AND MAY WANT TO REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL
CONDITIONS IMPROVE...SOMETHING THAT IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL AT LEAST
TUESDAY EVENING WHEN WINDS WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO DECREASE.
&&
.AVIATION...SCAT SPOTS OF MVFR AND ISOLD IFR ATTM DUE TO FOG.
EXPECTING THIS WILL CLEAR OUT WITH NW WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
LATE MORNING. OTHERWISE...SKY CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MAINLY VFR
TODAY...WITH LOCAL MVFR IN LOWER CIGS RIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT. CLEAR
SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR LEVY...CITRUS AND
SUMTER COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
QUICKLY DROP ALONG WITH SURFACE WINDS INCREASING INTO THE 10 TO 15
MPH RANGE.
AN EVEN BIGGER EVENT IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WHEN A MASSIVE DRY AND
COLD AIRMASS WILL SPREAD OVER THE ENTIRE CWA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED INTO A RED FLAG WARNING LATER TODAY FOR
BASICALLY ALL COUNTIES ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 78 50 71 51 / 20 0 0 0
FMY 85 54 75 51 / 20 0 0 0
GIF 80 50 71 49 / 20 0 0 0
SRQ 80 51 73 51 / 20 0 0 0
BKV 77 38 69 39 / 10 0 0 0
SPG 78 57 72 57 / 20 0 0 0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON FOR CITRUS-LEVY-SUMTER.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL COUNTIES.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY FOR TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-ENGLEWOOD TO
TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
&&
SHORT TERM/MARINE....AR
LONG TERM/AVIATION...NPThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2:25 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Pinellas, Polk, Sumter | 37 hr |
| Oct 23, 2:25 PM EDT | Red Flag Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Pinellas, Polk, Sumter | 29 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.