Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2006
Red Flag Warning 55, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at May 1, 2006, 1:57 PM EDT for 5 counties in Florida. It took effect at May 2, 2006, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 1, 2006, 1:57 PM EDT (17:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 2, 2006, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- May 2, 2006, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties DeSoto County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1064 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -45 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -37 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 011757 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 157 PM EDT MON MAY 1 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-012300- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0043.060502T1600Z-060502T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0055.060502T1600Z-060502T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0054.000000T0000Z-060501T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 157 PM EDT MON MAY 1 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED NORTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S FOR LONG DURATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AS WELL. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTBW 012342 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 742 PM EDT MON MAY 1 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-030000- /O.EXT.KTBW.FW.W.0055.060502T1600Z-060503T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 742 PM EDT MON MAY 1 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED NORTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S FOR LONG DURATIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 020800 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 400 AM EDT TUE MAY 2 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY AND WEDNESDAY FROM 12 NOON UNTIL 8 PM FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-022000- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0056.060503T1600Z-060504T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0055.060502T1600Z-060503T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 400 AM EDT TUE MAY 2 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH MID WEEK. WARMING AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE VERY LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20S IN MOST LOCATIONS TODAY AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A LATE AFTERNOON SEABREEZE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS RIGHT ALONG THE COAST. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 021807 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 207 PM EDT TUE MAY 2 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY AND WEDNESDAY FROM 12 NOON UNTIL 8 PM FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-061-030000- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0044.060504T1700Z-060504T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0055.000000T0000Z-060503T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0056.060503T1600Z-060504T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DE SOTO- 207 PM EDT TUE MAY 2 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THURSDAY. A VERY DRY AIR MASS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH COMBINED WITH WARMING AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE VERY LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER INTERIOR LOCATIONS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL AS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS WITH HUMIDITY VALUES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20S AWAY FROM THE COAST. A LATE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD KEEP HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS RIGHT ALONG THE COAST. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ060-062-065-030000- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0055.000000T0000Z-060503T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0056.060503T1600Z-060504T0000Z/ SARASOTA-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 207 PM EDT TUE MAY 2 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THURSDAY. A VERY DRY AIR MASS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH COMBINED WITH WARMING AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE VERY LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER INTERIOR LOCATIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS WITH VALUES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20S AWAY FROM THE COAST. A LATE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS RIGHT ALONG THE COAST. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ JCM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 1, 10:00 AM EDT, 3 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 1, 10:00 AM EDT, 3 hours 57 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 1000 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2006 .DISCUSSION...LATEST TBW AND UPSTREAM JAX SOUNDING SHOW NEARLY IDENTICAL DEWPOINT TRACES THROUGH 800 MB WITH SIGNIFICANT DRYING NOTED AT 850 MB. SKIES ARE STARTING OUT SUNNY ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA...THOUGH MODELS SUGGEST SOME CU WILL FORM BY THIS AFTERNOON. MADE SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO THE WINDS IN THE GRIDS. OTHERWISE...WILL BE SENDING AN UPDATE TO REWORD SKY AS MOSTLY SUNNY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. && .MARINE...WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 15 TO 20 KT AT BUOY 42036 WITH A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN SEAS TO AROUND 5 FT. ONLY CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WILL BE TO INCREASE UPPER RANGE OF SEAS TO 4 FT. && .AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS. && .FIRE WEATHER...EXPANDED AREAL COVERAGE OF RFW TO ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT FOR PINELLAS FOR TODAY. OFFSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH EFFICIENT MIXING SHOULD RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH FOR MOST AREAS. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE ALONG THE COAST...WHERE WINDS WILL ACQUIRE AN ONSHORE COMPONENT. && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... RED FLAG WARNING FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR...CHARLOTTE...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...LEE... MANATEE...SARASOTA...CITRUS...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEVY... PASCO...POLK...AND SUMTER. FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR...CHARLOTTE...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...LEE... MANATEE...SARASOTA...CITRUS...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEVY... PASCO...POLK...AND SUMTER. GULF WATERS...NONE. && HIRSCH
Hazardous weather outlook, May 1, 4:36 AM EDT, 9 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 436 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2006 FLZ039-042-043-048-011445- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO- 436 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A DRY AIRMASS MOVING IN TODAY WILL ALLOW HUMIDITIES TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE AREA SHOULD BE EXTRA CAREFUL WITH ANY OUTDOOR OPEN FLAMES OR BARBECUES TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED RISK FOR THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE STATE AND ALLOWS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO FALL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS EACH AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FLZ049>052-055>057-060>062-065-011445- PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 436 AM EDT MON MAY 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT DRY AIR GRADUALLY MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH TODAY WILL ALLOW HUMIDITIES TO BRIEFLY FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT OVER PARTS OF INTERIOR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE AREA SHOULD BE EXTRA CAREFUL WITH ANY OUTDOOR OPEN FLAMES OR BARBECUES TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED RISK FOR THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE STATE AND ALLOWS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO FALL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS EACH AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 4:22 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Polk, Sumter | 15 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.