Severe Thunderstorm Warning 122, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
825 PM EDT MON MAY 8 2006

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER VERY ACTIVE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
NUMEROUS WARNINGS ISSUED AND REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL ALONG WITH SOME
WIND DAMAGE. REMNANT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG...
MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND AND NORTHERN APALACHEE BAY.
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOP CONTINUES TO
BE THE STALLED FRONT STRETCHING WEST TO EAST ACROSS OUR CWA. WILL
WAIT FOR ALL ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH AND UPDATE ZONES TO REMOVE POPS.
MANY LOCATIONS RECEIVED A DECENT AMOUNT OF RAIN AND PATCHY DENSE FOG
WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG EVENT OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...A WEAK STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ORIENTED
WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTH GEORGIA THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY HAS PUSHED OFF TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE TLH AND VLD TERMINALS THIS EVENING...BUT WILL STILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF TWEB ROUTES 112 AND 117 THROUGH THE EVENING
BEFORE DISSIPATING. WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXPECT A REPEAT OF
WIDESPREAD MVFR TO IFR VSBY AND LIFR CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT TLH AND VLD. SHRA/TSRA
ACTIVITY WILL REDEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ON TUESDAY ALONG AND NEAR THE
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.

AVIATION...SHAFER
PUBLIC/MARINE...BARRY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
523 AM EDT MON MAY 8 2006

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ750-755-770-775-090930-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
423 AM CDT MON MAY 8 2006 /523 AM EDT MON MAY 8 2006/

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED EARLY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL LINGER
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY DRIFTING SOUTH BY EVENING. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LEVELS. AREAS OF FOG WITH PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL AGAIN DEVELOP
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH PERHAPS A BRIEF
RESPITE IN THE UNSETTLED WEATHER. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL RETURN TO
THE FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH IT IS STILL
EARLY IN THE FORECAST...THIS COULD RESULT IN SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TAE.

24-BLOCK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1102 PM EDT MON MAY 8 2006

FLZ007-008-090345-
COASTAL WALTON-INLAND WALTON-
1102 PM EDT MON MAY 8 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR WALTON COUNTY...

* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT

AT 956 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND IS ALSO
PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

14-MROCZKA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1121 PM EDT MON MAY 8 2006

FLZ018-090345-
JEFFERSON-
1121 PM EDT MON MAY 8 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY...

* UNTIL 1145 PM EDT

AT 1115 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES WEST OF MONTICELLO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTICELLO BY 1130 PM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND IS ALSO
PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

14-MROCZKA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1203 AM EDT TUE MAY 9 2006

GAZ156-090445-
DECATUR-
1203 AM EDT TUE MAY 9 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR DECATUR COUNTY...

* UNTIL 1245 AM EDT

AT MIDNIGHT EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BAINBRIDGE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND ARE
ALSO PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

14-MROCZKA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
114 AM EDT TUE MAY 9 2006

FLZ016-017-090615-
GADSDEN-LEON-
114 AM EDT TUE MAY 9 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR GADSDEN AND LEON
COUNTIES...

* UNTIL 215 AM EDT

AT 115 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF
CAIRO TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF CHATTAHOOCHEE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF CAIRO TO 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BLOUNTSTOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  TALLAHASSEE BY 140 AM EDT.
  WOODVILLE BY 200 AM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND IS ALSO
PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

14-MROCZKA